Felix & Friends (Goat Academy): Stock Picks & Accuracy

The YouTuber recommends Credo Technology Group, which produces high-speed connectivity chips essential for AI processing. The company has seen its revenues triple in one year and maintains impressive gross margins of 68%, indicating strong pricing power and a superior technological offering. Despite a larger market cap, its business quality is considered exceptional within a rapidly growing market.

“Their revenues just tripled, tripled in one year from 400 million to 1.3 billion in one year. Insane. And their gross margins are 68%.” — ▶ 14:50

The YouTuber recommends Cellebrite as a 'sleeper' pick, noting its role in providing tools for law enforcement and intelligence agencies to extract data from digital devices. As AI becomes embedded everywhere, Cellebrite is building AI-powered tools to analyze AI-generated data, addressing a critical need in digital forensics. The company boasts an 84% gross margin, strong free cash flow, and a 20% revenue growth guidance, with its small market cap offering significant growth potential.

“As AI gets embedded into everything, phones apps communications the investigations get way more complex, you need AI powered tools to analyze AI generated data. Celbrite is building exactly that.” — ▶ 22:00

The YouTuber recommends Vicor Corporation, which specializes in power modules for AI GPU racks, solving a critical power delivery bottleneck. The company has achieved all-time high revenues and a $300 million backlog, with revenue profit growth up 700% year-on-year. Its 55% margins are exceptional for a hardware company, and its relatively small market cap suggests significant upside potential.

“Revenue profit growth is up 700% yearonear margins check 55% for people building hardware this is crazy have a look at Tesla's margin it'll be below 20% I think last time I checked because they're building physical things very hard to build physical things with margins that are higher than 20%.” — ▶ 17:00

The YouTuber recommends Argan, highlighting its subsidiary Gemma Power Systems, which builds natural gas power plants specifically for data centers. The company boasts an exceptionally high free cash flow margin (40%+) and a $3 billion backlog, ensuring revenue visibility. Argan also has no debt, which is rare for a capital-intensive construction business, making it a well-run company in a high-demand market.

“Most companies would love to have like a 10% free cash flow margin. These guys have a 40some percent. So for every dollar of revenue about 40 cents just turns into cash that they don't need.” — ▶ 11:50

The YouTuber recommends Okta, positioning it as the identity layer for AI, particularly with its 'Okta for AI agents' product. This solution helps companies control AI agent access to systems and data, addressing a growing cybersecurity need. Okta exhibits strong financial performance with high revenue and profit growth, nearly 80% margins, and significant free cash flow, indicating a robust business model in an expanding market.

“Octa is now positioned itself as the identity layer for AI. They locked they they launched something called Octa for AI agents which basically lets companies control which AI agents can access which system what data they can see and what actions they can take.” — ▶ 20:00

The YouTuber recommends Sterling Infrastructure due to its E-infrastructure Solutions segment, which builds foundations and electrical systems for data centers. This segment is experiencing rapid growth (92% year-over-year revenue increase) and has a substantial $5 billion backlog of contracted work, providing predictable future revenue. The company operates in a booming industry (data center construction) and is considered best-in-class for its growth and backlog.

“Their most recent quarter revenue went up 92% year-over-year, 92%, right? They build boring stuff. Construction doesn't happen very often. They have a backlog of $5 billion.” — ▶ 10:00

The YouTuber suggests LQD, an ETF that invests in longer-term corporate bonds, offering a higher income of 4.5% to 5.2% per year. He notes that while it provides more income, its price can be more volatile, potentially dropping 7-8% if interest rates rise by 1%.

“Now there's another one which is called LQD and this fund holds longerterm company loans. They pay 4 and a half to 5.2% per year a bit more income but the price bounces around a bit more.” — ▶ 19:20

The YouTuber discusses HYG, the largest high-yield (junk) bond ETF, which pays about 6.5% per year. He explains that while it offers higher returns, it carries significantly more risk, especially during economic downturns when its value could drop by 15-25%. He advises against treating it as a 'pocket and forget it' investment.

“There are there's an ETF called HYG. It's the biggest risky company bond fund in the world. Pays about 6 and a half% per year. It's about double what you get from the government.” — ▶ 22:00

The YouTuber recommends Amazon as a 'hyperscaler' that has already struggled and discounted AI spending fears. These companies are seen as beneficiaries of the market's 'broadening' as funds shift from chip suppliers to chip users. Amazon's strong e-commerce and cloud businesses, along with its positioning for AI applications and ability to cut costs, make it an attractive investment.

“Amazon's struggling. The pain's already happened. It's in the past.” — ▶ 00:15:50

The YouTuber suggests Google as a 'hyperscaler' that has already experienced its period of pain and underperformance. The market has already discounted the worst-case scenario for AI spending in these stocks. Google, with its massive core businesses like search and advertising, is well-positioned for the application phase of AI and has cost-cutting capabilities, making it attractive as money rotates from chip suppliers.

“Google's down, Amazon's struggling. The pain's already happened. It's in the past.” — ▶ 00:15:50

The YouTuber recommends Meta as a 'hyperscaler' that has already undergone a correction. Despite previously underperforming, Meta is now seen as an opportunity because it has already priced in AI spending fears. Hyperscalers have strong core businesses, are positioned for AI applications, and can cut costs, making them beneficiaries of the market's rotation away from chip suppliers.

“Meta's down. Google's down, Amazon's struggling. The pain's already happened. It's in the past.” — ▶ 00:15:50

The YouTuber suggests buying Microsoft, classifying it as a 'hyperscaler' that has already experienced its period of pain, with the stock down 30%. The argument is that hyperscalers have discounted the worst-case scenario on AI spending and are positioned for the next phase of AI (applications), possess massive core businesses, and have cost-cutting levers. The money is rotating from chip suppliers to these chip users.

“Microsoft's down 30%, Meta's down. Google's down, Amazon's struggling. The pain's already happened. It's in the past.” — ▶ 00:15:50

The YouTuber identifies Microsoft as a 'falling knife' despite its strong fundamentals and long-term prospects, noting that money is quietly leaving the stock, and it's trading below all major trend lines, including a downward-sloping long-term trend line. He advises against buying the dip, stating that it's in a 'private bear market' and recommends waiting for specific signals like the price reclaiming its 150-day moving average and money flowing back in before considering an investment.

“Microsoft is trading below every major trend line in the long-term trend line is sloping down. And by the standard definition, this great company is in its own private bare market.” — ▶ Watch clip

The YouTuber suggests that Microsoft, along with other foundational AI companies, presents a buying opportunity. He argues that these companies have real businesses, revenue, and cash flow, and their valuations are historically low despite growing businesses. He believes fear is currently winning over facts, making them attractive at a discount.

“They're looking at companies like Microsoft and NVIDIA and Micron. These companies were real businesses, real revenue, real cash flow. They're the foundational layer of the AI build-out.” — ▶ 10:00

The YouTuber advises avoiding semiconductor stocks, stating they are underperforming and money is leaving the sector. The 'broadening' trend indicates a rotation away from these 'old winners' as expectations are too high and the parabolic moves resemble past commodity bubbles. The strategist's analysis suggests further correction, especially for memory chips.

“As long as semiconductor stocks are losing strength compared to the rest of the market. You see where the rotation is going. Money is leaving semis.” — ▶ 00:28:50

The YouTuber argues that Nvidia, as a leading semiconductor stock, is at risk due to the 'broadening' phenomenon. Expectations for AI chip companies have reached historical highs, making them vulnerable to corrections even with good results. The market is rotating away from these 'old winners' as the rate of growth in chip spending may be peaking, and the stock's parabolic move resembles past silver rallies that ended in crashes.

“Nvidia, the king is down about 18%.” — ▶ 00:07:40

The YouTuber suggests that NVIDIA, as a foundational AI company, offers a buying opportunity. He notes that these companies have strong underlying businesses with real revenue and cash flow, and their current valuations are historically low despite continued business growth. He believes the market's irrational fear creates a chance to buy at a discount.

“These companies were real businesses, real revenue, real cash flow. They're the foundational layer of the AI build-out and their valuations right now, they are historically low.” — ▶ 10:00

The YouTuber mentions buying EXFY two weeks prior, stating it went up 34% since. This purchase was based on the same 'broadening' thesis as Wall Street, suggesting a rotation of money into underperforming sectors like consumer discretionary, which EXFY is implied to be part of.

“I bought Xfire. EXFY. went up 34% since.” — ▶ 00:00:40

The YouTuber identifies Expensify as a speculative buy due to its extreme undervaluation (down 97% from peak) and potential for a short squeeze. Despite its small size and high risk, the company is cash-generative, has conducted share buybacks, and is integrating AI into its expense management platform, suggesting a potential bottoming out.

“Expensify. And I know it's a teeny tiny company. It's trading at a dollar in a bit. And normally I'd be very cautious about something this small, especially something that um peaked at $50. So this thing is down about 97%.” — ▶ 25:40

The speaker recommends owning gold as a hard asset that tends to appreciate when the dollar devalues. He notes that central banks globally are hoarding gold at the fastest pace in decades, indicating they anticipate a weakening dollar and are acting on this expectation.

“Central banks around the world have been hoarding gold and buying at the fastest pace in decades. They see the same things that you now see. They know what a weakening dollar means and they're acting on it.” — ▶ 20:00

The speaker is bullish on gold for the long term, citing central bank accumulation as a key indicator of 'smart money' movement. He also notes gold's historical role as an insurance policy against inflation, government debt, and economic uncertainty, which he believes are current market conditions. He advises dollar-cost averaging into gold rather than trying to time the market.

“I am bullish on gold. I'm bullish on even silver, but I'm not a crystal ball owner. You know, we have to look at the facts rather than what we the story that we would like to beat.” — ▶ 10:00

The speaker argues that gold is currently in a 'mechanical suppression' phase, similar to historical patterns after major oil shocks. He notes that gold is trading significantly below its 200-day moving average, which has historically presented buying opportunities. Additionally, central banks are now net buyers of gold, contrasting with past periods of selling, and the US debt situation makes gold a more attractive alternative to bonds.

“When it does, it is, I believe, an opportunity. I'm not telling you to buy it. I'm not a financial adviser. you got to come to your own conclusions, but it's something to understand in study.” — ▶ 14:00

The YouTuber identifies Corning as a 'picks and shovels' play for the AI boom, providing the optical fiber needed for data centers. He notes its chart shows strong 'green light' signals, indicating money is already flowing in, it's climbing near all-time highs, and has significant volume, making it a proven leader rather than a speculative gamble.

“Every single AI data center on Earth is a giant building full of computer trees right now. Those chips are useless unless they're connected to each other. And they're connected with Corning's optical fiber, the very thin glass cables that carry the data.” — ▶ 12:00

The YouTuber highlights Affirm's integration into major platforms like Apple Pay, Amazon, and Shopify, which drives significant user adoption. He also points out that the company is transitioning from losing money to turning a profit, a key indicator for institutional money to start buying, and its chart shows an upward trend.

“A farm is now built right into Apple Pay, into Amazon, and into Shopify checkouts. Like all the checkouts that matter of literally hundreds of millions of shoppers that are handed to them without having to chase a single one.” — ▶ 14:40

The YouTuber notes Rush Street Interactive recently closed at a new all-time high, indicating no overhead resistance from previous sellers. He emphasizes that unlike many online gambling companies, RSI is profitable and is benefiting from the ongoing legalization of online casino gaming across more US states, showing strong 'green light' signals.

“At an all-time high, there is nobody in its history who owns this stock and is sitting on a loss, waiting to get back to even in South. There's no ceiling of frustrated sellers above it, but path up is potentially very clear.” — ▶ 16:40

Despite Palantir being a beloved AI stock with continued business growth, the YouTuber identifies it as a 'falling knife' due to its price being well below a downward-sloping 150-day moving average. He advises against buying it, classifying it as 'amber' (a great company at the wrong moment), and recommends waiting for institutional money to return and the trend to turn positive.

“The trend has rolled over prices well below its time 50-day moving average line. It's turned downwards in terms of slope. So it's it's just not something I would ever touch. It is a clear red flag for me.” — ▶ Watch clip

The YouTuber labels Palantir as a 'trap' for the counter-drone theme, despite acknowledging it as a good business with strong sales growth and margins. He argues that Palantir provides general AI tools, not specific counter-drone hardware or software, and the Cuba narrative won't significantly impact its $300 billion market cap. He advises seeking direct exposure to counter-drone companies instead of indirect plays.

“So don't buy indirect exposure when you can buy direct exposure because you want to be in the counter drone defense thing. Go for the companies that actually make the counter drone systems, not just someone who sort of sits on the sidelines.” — ▶ 41:00

The YouTuber notes that institutional money is starting to flow back into SoFi, and its price has clawed its way above its short-term trend line, indicating a potential recovery. However, the longer-term 150-day moving average hasn't fully turned up yet, suggesting it's still early. He advises waiting for confirmation by seeing the stock rise above its recent highs before buying.

“I'd wait for it to rise above the recent highs because just because you think the worst is behind it doesn't mean that's actually the case.” — ▶ Watch clip

The YouTuber argues that SpaceX is currently overvalued at 100 times revenue, especially given its transition to a 'Neo-Cloud' business heavily reliant on AI infrastructure. He highlights that institutional money is pulling back from high-valuation tech companies like SpaceX due to uncertainty around AI returns and the company's need to raise more capital after its IPO, spooking the market. Additionally, he notes that rising interest rates are kryptonite for high-valuation growth stocks, making SpaceX particularly exposed.

“SpaceX sitting at 100 times revenue valuation is betting everything on AI infrastructure. So we're in an environment that is toxic for an AI stock.” — ▶ 06:00

The YouTuber advises considering trimming SpaceX holdings before August 11th, when a significant portion of insider shares (5% to 25% of total float) will unlock. This event, combined with forced buying by index funds, is expected to create a supply-demand imbalance, potentially leading to a price drop similar to past IPOs like Facebook. He suggests re-entering at a potentially lower price in the long term.

“consider trimming before August 11th. Now, I'm not a financial adviser. I'm not a registered investment adviser. I'm not telling you what to do. I'm just saying think about these things.” — ▶ Watch clip

The YouTuber identifies Micron as a foundational AI company that presents a buying opportunity. He emphasizes that these companies possess robust underlying businesses with real revenue and cash flow, and their current valuations are historically low despite ongoing business expansion. He attributes this to market irrationality and fear, creating a chance to acquire them at a discount.

“These companies were real businesses, real revenue, real cash flow. They're the foundational layer of the AI build-out and their valuations right now, they are historically low.” — ▶ 10:00

The YouTuber is bullish on Intel, citing strong institutional interest from figures like Nancy Pelosi and Donald Trump, which he interprets as a signal of government support for domestic semiconductor manufacturing. He also highlights Intel's strategic shift towards AI deployment and foundry services with new technologies like 18A and PowerVia, positioning it for future growth despite current financial struggles. The government's 10% ownership and the CHIPS Act further underpin the investment thesis.

“It is on my watch list. It is on my potential buy list. I actually really like it. I just don't think my Intel order is triggered yet.” — ▶ Watch clip

Intel is expected to benefit from the shift towards agentic AI, which increases demand for CPUs. Despite being 'beaten up' for a decade, the YouTuber sees its recent doubling as potentially the first leg of a larger move, driven by its role in the AI chip supply chain for companies like SpaceX.

“Intel is the CPU monopoly, essentially... It's potentially this is the first leg. It's not the last leg, right? There's there's space here.” — ▶ Watch clip

The YouTuber suggests buying the IGV ETF, which tracks the NASDAQ 100 software sector, due to a 'rubber band effect' where the sector has been heavily shorted and is now showing signs of a rebound. He notes that the ETF is bouncing off its 50-day moving average and holds 110 leading software companies, providing broad exposure to a sector he believes is oversold.

“The simplest way to play this is to buy the the index fund for example IGV. And again, I'm not telling you to buy it. I'm just saying seeing a similar pattern here. We've come up, we go gone gone down again. We're bouncing off. We're finding some support down here at the 50-day moving average line, which is a good thing.” — ▶ 20:00

The YouTuber recommends Commvault Systems (CVLT) as a cyber resilience and data protection company. He argues that despite fears of AI killing software, companies will increasingly need data protection as AI-driven cyber attacks rise. CVLT has strong revenue growth, enterprise clients, and recent institutional buying, indicating a recovery after being 'hammered' down 60%.

“Com is essentially a cyber resilience and data protection company. So, everyone's panicking about AI killing software. These are guys are building the tools that protect the data that AI runs on.” — ▶ 22:50

The YouTuber suggests Mara (formerly Marathon Digital) as a short squeeze candidate, with over a quarter of its shares shorted. He notes its pivot from Bitcoin mining to an energy and AI infrastructure play through acquisitions, and its chart shows signs of bottoming out with higher lows, indicating potential for a forced buying rally if Bitcoin or AI infrastructure gains attention.

“The third stock is called Mara and let me just zoom out on the chart for you to give you a little bit of a feel for what pain looks like for the buy and hold crowd. Imagine you bought this at the top and you're down 83%.” — ▶ 27:50

Redwire is highlighted as a pure-play space infrastructure company, building physical components for satellites and space stations, with significant contracts including a $1.8 billion deal with the Department of Defense. Despite a recent pullback and being a high-risk growth stock that is still burning cash, the YouTuber sees a 'second chance' opportunity. The recommendation is to buy if the stock bottoms out and then exceeds its recent high of around $17.30, indicating a bullish technical setup.

“But I believe right here where we are is is your second chance. Doesn't mean you should run out and buy it obviously, but what I'm what am I looking for? I'm looking for a stock that pulls back from its squeeze up, which it did. And then I'm looking for that to bottom out ideally above this magic little line we're going to talk more about on Sunday. And then what I would really like for this to do, I'd like for this to exceed the recent high, which would be around about, let me give you the number, 1730 or thereabouts.” — ▶ 18:00

The YouTuber previously recommended Redwire, which has seen significant gains. He suggests buying on a pullback, implying continued upside potential as part of the broader space industry growth, particularly with the upcoming SpaceX IPO.

“If you didn't get into these, I would buy these only on a pullback.” — ▶ Watch clip

The analyst suggests Redwire as a 'picks and shovels' play in the space industry, building essential hardware for satellites, space stations, and lunar missions. The company has strong government contracts and is positioned to benefit from the increasing space buildout, with potential catalysts from commercial space station projects. Technical analysis indicates a potential breakout above recent highs, supported by institutional buying.

“This is a $2 billion company. This could become a $20 billion company. It's quite feasible, right?” — ▶ 12:50

The YouTuber highlights Mercury Systems as the 'brains' inside military hardware, citing its critical role in F-35s and Patriot missiles. The company has a strong backlog of $1.5 billion, recently beat Wall Street's revenue and EPS estimates, and possesses a significant moat due to required security clearances and embedded supply chain position. While acknowledging it's trading at all-time highs, the YouTuber suggests the setup is favorable for continued growth.

“I don't promise you returns. I'm just saying we had a reason for looking at it, then we have a reason for looking at it right now. And there is something in stocks before you think it's too late. There is something that I call a second chance.” — ▶ 10:00

Astronics is presented as a critical supplier of electrical systems for commercial and military aircraft, with a substantial backlog of $734 million and projected revenue of $1 billion. The company benefits from a strong moat due to its embedded position in aerospace supply chains and the need for certifications and security clearances. The YouTuber suggests buying only after it breaks out above recent highs, indicating a bullish technical setup.

“So where the it is right now, I wouldn't buy it right now. I wouldn't wait for it to break out of the recent highs. And that might sound idiotic to you. It might seem like lunacy to you to buy something at a higher price.” — ▶ 14:40

The YouTuber identifies Adaptive Biotech Technologies (ADPT) as a potential 10x stock by 2030, based on a pattern where the stock price has been flat for years while the underlying business (revenue growth) has been growing significantly. He highlights their FDA-cleared ClonoSEQ test for blood cancer, which has low market penetration and is expected to become profitable this year, acting as a catalyst for market re-evaluation. Despite acknowledging high risk and competition, he believes the company's unique product and market position make it an attractive investment.

“And it's a stock that could literally save your life. Like ADPT, a company called Adaptive Biotech Technologies.” — ▶ 10:00

The YouTuber argues that S&P 500 index funds are highly concentrated in a few mega-cap tech stocks, making them vulnerable to a market correction. He cites three forces: large IPOs (SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic) drawing capital, existing tech companies diluting shares, and index rebalancing forcing sales of current holdings to buy new entrants. He also notes that prominent investors like Monish Pabrai and Tom Lee are bearish or predicting corrections, and even Berkshire Hathaway has sold its S&P 500 holdings.

“If the greatest value investors on earth won't touch the S&P 500, you need to understand why.” — ▶ 10:40

The speaker notes Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) for its strong revenue growth and cash generation in recent quarters. He identifies the same 'heartbeat pattern' on WPM's chart, suggesting it is setting up for a move, and is waiting for the pattern to complete before buying.

“And again, WPM has the same pattern that I look for. Not quite where I wanted to be yet, but setting itself up in my humble opinion.” — ▶ 25:20

The speaker highlights FNV, a gold royalty company, for its impressive 88% revenue growth and solid numbers. He observes his 'famous pattern' on the stock chart, indicating that selling is fizzling out, and is waiting for the pattern to complete before considering a purchase.

“I'm seeing my famous pattern, right? Still not where I wanted to be, but I'm seeing the selling fizzling out.” — ▶ 24:00

The speaker identifies Agnico Eagle Mines as a gold miner with a strong profit margin ($3,300 per ounce) given current gold prices. He notes a 'heartbeat pattern' on the chart, suggesting the stock is in the late stages of selling and setting up for a rally, though he is waiting for the pattern to complete before buying.

“But for me, that's exactly what I'm looking for here.” — ▶ 22:40

The YouTuber is highly excited about 10X Genomics, a leader in spatial biology that allows scientists to understand individual cells at a molecular level, potentially revolutionizing disease treatment. He highlights its strong cash position, decent margins, and improving profitability as a turnaround story. The upcoming launch of their Xaira platform and partnership with Bio Optimus for AI integration are expected to significantly expand their addressable market, offering tremendous upside if the turnaround continues.

“But, if it works, the opportunity could be tremendous. And that's why it's my favorite.” — ▶ 45:50

The YouTuber recently bought Tenable, a cybersecurity company focused on 'exposure management' by identifying vulnerabilities before hackers. He believes the market is underpricing the cybersecurity tailwind, especially with the exponential growth of AI-related attack surfaces. He notes the stock is recovering from a significant drop, showing signs of institutional money inflow, and sees an asymmetric risk-reward given its current valuation compared to its potential in a growing market.

“Because I believe the market is underpricing the cybersecurity tailwind. I can start to see the money pouring into it. So, I see an asymmetric risk reward.” — ▶ 39:50

The YouTuber views Rigetti Computing as a highly speculative but potentially transformative investment in quantum computing. He highlights a $100 million letter of intent from the CHIPS Act, indicating strong government backing for quantum infrastructure, and notes their in-house processor development. However, he stresses the company is pre-revenue, trading at a very high sales multiple, and carries significant risk as quantum computing technology is still nascent.

“Rigetti is the most speculative stock on our list. Government backing, real technology, and so on.” — ▶ 21:50

The YouTuber suggests buying Regetti Computing due to its ownership of a quantum chip fabrication facility, which provides vertical integration and control over technology. Upcoming catalysts include a new chip launch (Lyra), a $100 million UK government contract, an $8 million India contract, and Nvidia platform integration. Despite current low revenue and cash, the company's R&D investment and unique fabrication process position it for potential significant growth.

“They own their own fab. They have a quantum chip fabrication facility which most of the competitors don't. That means they own the technology sort of Tesla style, right? You vertically integrate and they got a new chip coming out later this year called Lyra.” — ▶ 12:50

The YouTuber considers Oracle an underestimated AI story, building essential cloud infrastructure for AI models and data centers. He points to accelerating revenue growth, 40% insider ownership, significant R&D and data center investments, and a $500 billion order backlog, including from OpenAI. While acknowledging debt, he sees Oracle as building the 'highway for AI' but notes execution risk.

“But, the way I think about it is that these guys are basically building the highway for AI.” — ▶ 27:50

The YouTuber describes Dynatrace as the 'air traffic control for AI,' monitoring and managing AI systems to prevent issues like hallucinations or crashes. He highlights their strong cash generation, high margins, lack of debt, and a $1 billion share buyback program. While revenue growth is steady rather than explosive, he sees it as a 'slow compounder' with a decent business model.

“So, it's sort of a slow compounder. It's sort of like that steady grower. It's not your immediate moonshot.” — ▶ 34:50

The YouTuber argues SpaceX is a generational opportunity due to its massive total addressable market in space, connectivity (Starlink), and AI (space-based data centers). Structural factors like tax disincentives for early investors to sell, the ability to borrow against shares, and Nasdaq's rule changes forcing index funds to buy will create a 'structural squeeze' post-IPO, driving the stock significantly higher.

“If you get even a few hundred shares at IPO price, and the squeeze plays out the way I think it might, there is some upside here.” — ▶ Watch clip

The analyst advises avoiding SpaceX's IPO due to the typical dynamics of such offerings, where early investors cash out, creating 'exit liquidity' for retail investors. He highlights the risk of a significant price dip around the six-month lockup period expiration, citing historical examples like Uber and WeWork. While acknowledging SpaceX's strong fundamentals and long-term potential, he believes the initial IPO valuation will be too high for substantial short-term retail gains.

“The IPO is not designed to make you money. It is designed to make the early investors rich.” — ▶ 04:50

The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) is recommended as a 'boring' but effective way to gain exposure to SpaceX. Due to recent Nasdaq rule changes, SpaceX will be added to the index within 15 days of its IPO and overweighted due to its small float, forcing QQQ to automatically buy SpaceX shares. This allows investors to benefit from the 'squeeze' without active trading.

“If you own QQQ, the index is automatically buying SpaceX for you. So, you get the squeeze without trying to time the squeeze.” — ▶ Watch clip

TSMC is positioned as a key supplier for SpaceX's new AI chip, the AI 5, as they manufacture nearly all advanced chips. This makes them a critical component of the AI side of SpaceX's business, which the YouTuber believes is significantly undervalued by Wall Street.

“Every SpaceX chip will go through their factory. They're the most dominant company in the market in the world.” — ▶ Watch clip

Amkor, a chip packaging company, is a crucial part of the AI chip supply chain, having built a factory near TSMC's Arizona facility. This strategic positioning suggests it will benefit from the increased demand for advanced chip components, including those for SpaceX's AI initiatives.

“Amkor just built a factory 7 miles from TSMC's Arizona facility, which isn't a coincidence. That's the supply chain reorganizing in real time.” — ▶ Watch clip

Voyager Technologies, previously recommended, has shown strong performance. The YouTuber advises buying on a pullback, anticipating further growth driven by the expanding space sector and the SpaceX IPO.

“If you didn't get into these, I would buy these only on a pullback.” — ▶ Watch clip

The YouTuber identifies Compass Pathways (CMPS) as a speculative buy, operating in the mental healthcare sector with its psilocybin therapy (COMP360) for treatment-resistant depression and PTSD. Despite currently having no revenue or margins, the company is in early-stage clinical trials, representing a potential 'textbook innovation curve' play. The thesis is that the stock is currently out of favor after an initial hype cycle, presenting an opportunity for long-term investors willing to take on high risk.

“They developed comp 360, which is a psilocybin therapy that completes phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of treatment resistant depression and is in phase two clinical trials for the treatment of post-traumatic stress disorder.” — ▶ 19:00

The YouTuber suggests buying Compass Pathways as a calculated speculation due to its potential for significant returns if its drug, COMP360, receives FDA approval in late 2026 or early 2027. He highlights the large addressable market for treatment-resistant depression and the company's advanced stage in clinical trials, making it the furthest along in the psychedelic therapy space. Despite current lack of sales and patent uncertainty, the potential for a 4-8x gain based on Johnson & Johnson's similar drug success makes it an attractive, albeit risky, opportunity.

“If Compass got anywhere near to like Johnson Johnson and Johnson's numbers because Johnson and Johnson is guiding to for 5 billion sales a year, you'd be looking at well some pretty crazy stuff right now.” — ▶ 10:00

The YouTuber suggests Compass Minerals (CMP) as a buy, highlighting its position as a hard asset play in salt and specialty fertilizers, which are in constant demand and not susceptible to AI disruption. The company owns significant assets like a salt mine in Ontario and a potash operation in Utah, providing a strong moat. Catalysts include rising fertilizer prices, recent positive earnings, and institutional money inflows, with the company's balance sheet improving after debt restructuring.

“They mine salt, the stuff we put on roads in the winter, the stuff that food companies uses. And there is always demand for that. And they also mine specialtity fertilizers, something called sulfate or potachsh, which is the kind of thing you put on premium crops.” — ▶ 21:00

The YouTuber suggests Compass Minerals, a company that mines salt and specialty fertilizers. They highlight the consistent demand for salt and the higher margins for specialty fertilizers. The company holds hard assets (mines) which are becoming more attractive in a rapidly changing world. Despite recent struggles and debt restructuring, the stock is out of favor and showing signs of institutional money inflow, with fertilizer prices rising.

“I'm liking it again wouldn't bet the farm on it but I'm liking it for that reason and I'm also liking it because it isn't an AI stock.” — ▶ 22:50

The YouTuber recommends D-Wave (QBTS) as a potentially safer quantum stock due to its focus on quantum annealing for optimization problems, which is a technology that works today with 135 customers. The company boasts software-like gross margins (65%) despite manufacturing complex hardware, indicating pricing power. An upcoming investor day in June and a strong cash position (eight years of cash on hand) are cited as catalysts.

“What I like about D-Wave is that they're producing software margins while they're manufacturing a incredibly complicated hardware. So their gross margin here, which is sort of their moat indicator, you know, how easy is it to replace them, is the 65% range.” — ▶ 14:50

The YouTuber suggests INQ (IONQ) as a buy, highlighting its position as a revenue leader in quantum computing with 428% year-over-year revenue growth and guidance for over $200 million this year. The company has substantial cash reserves, enabling investment and potential acquisitions. A key catalyst is the proposed $1.8 billion acquisition of Skywater, a US semiconductor foundry, which would make INQ a vertically integrated quantum company approved for US military chip production.

“It is a pure play quantum company. They did $62 million in revenue just last quarter which is pretty cool. 400% growth. They're guiding to over 200 million in revenue this year. So, it's it's a real business.” — ▶ 16:30

The YouTuber recommends Big Bear AI (BBAI) as a speculative buy, noting its involvement in AI analytics for defense, national security, and supply chain, benefiting from both AI compute spending and war spending. Expected catalysts include new government contracts due to increased NATO rearming and a pivot towards US AI vendors for national security. Despite volatile margins and a small float, the company's setup is compared to Palantir's early growth, with potential for a 10x return.

“They're sitting here and there are two money flows that are the biggest money flows you've got right now. One is AI compute spending. If I could write AI, even two letters are too much for an ex banker. And war spending, they get money from both of those.” — ▶ 24:00

The YouTuber likes Big Bear AI (BBAI) despite its 'AI' name, noting it's down significantly from all-time highs. He highlights its role in providing AI software for the US military and federal agencies, benefiting from growing defense budgets for AI. He observes the stock appears to have bottomed around $3 and is showing early signs of moving up.

“And what are we seeing? Well, we're seeing a stock that seems to bottom out around $3 and is actually moving back up.” — ▶ 17:20

The YouTuber is bullish on Oklo, highlighting its selection by the US Department of Energy for advanced negotiations to utilize surplus plutonium as fuel, effectively giving them a government-backed head start. They also note partnerships with major tech companies like Meta, Nvidia, and Equinix, and a strong cash position of $2.5 billion. The stock chart shows a 'base pattern' or 'heartbeat pattern' after a previous collapse, suggesting a potential rebound.

“Okra has a partnership with Meta, Nvidia, Equinex, big pipeline, biggest tech company on Earth, want their reactors and they're sitting on about two and a half billion in cash.” — ▶ 12:50

The YouTuber identifies New Scale (SMR) as a potential buy for a watch list, noting its unique position as the only company with US Nuclear Regulatory Commission design certification for small reactors, giving it a significant competitive advantage. Despite a large shareholder selling off a stake, which caused a price drop, the YouTuber sees this as a positive as it clears selling pressure. They observe increasing volume on recent recoveries, suggesting accumulation, but advise waiting for a clearer upward trend as it is still gently trending down.

“It's still trending down gently. So, it's still a little early, but it's definitely one for my watch list, which is where it sits right now.” — ▶ 15:50

The YouTuber highlights that ServiceNow is being bought by politicians with insider knowledge, its CEO, and even the President, suggesting a strong belief in its future. Despite a recent 50% stock drop due to 'SaaS apocalypse' fears, the company is transforming into an AI platform, with its AI product growing rapidly and a shift to a consumption-based pricing model. Fundamentals show strong revenue growth, cash generation, and high customer retention, with a forward P/E of 14.8 making it appear undervalued compared to its growth prospects.

“Wall Street sees AI as a threat. Service Now sees AI as the biggest growth opportunity in its history. And so far the numbers indicate that they might just be right.” — ▶ 20:00

Voyager is building the Starlab commercial space station in partnership with Airbus, positioning itself to replace the International Space Station after its decommissioning. The company also has defense contracts providing stable revenue, allowing it to fund its space ventures without burning excessive cash. The analyst notes a technical setup with the stock repeatedly hitting resistance, suggesting a breakout could lead to significant upside, potentially reclaiming all-time highs.

“If we break out of this meaningfully on the back of the excitement around SpaceX, there is a very decent chance this stock could go much much higher and we could actually reclaim potentially its all-time highs which in itself will be about 80% up.” — ▶ 17:40

The YouTuber strongly advises avoiding DFEN, a 3x leveraged defense ETF, for long-term investing. He explains that despite the sector being up, DFEN is down due to 'path decay,' a characteristic of leveraged ETFs that reset daily, causing losses over time even if the underlying trend is positive. He states these are designed for short-term traders, not buy-and-hold investors.

“So, don't use leverage defense or leverage ETFs rather for buy and hold investing. They're designed for short-term traders.” — ▶ 38:50

The YouTuber advises avoiding Drone Shield Limited, an Australian micro-cap pure-play in drones, due to its illiquidity and low trading volume. While it benefits from the drone theme, he warns that its thin trading means significant bid-ask spreads, making it difficult to enter or exit meaningful positions without moving the market against oneself, and introduces Australian dollar currency risk.

“It's terribly illiquid. So you're going to the difference between the price you are buying and the price someone's selling at is huge, which means when you're getting out of it, you're not going to get what you think it's worth.” — ▶ 46:00

The YouTuber advises avoiding Rheinmetall for the specific counter-drone theme, despite its strong financial performance from the Ukraine war. He notes it's a German company listed in Frankfurt, with no clear catalyst from the US-specific Cuba counter-drone narrative. He also mentions currency risk for US investors and plateauing European defense spending as reasons for avoidance in this context.

“The Cuba counter drone narrative is a US-specific catalyst. So whether you love Rin Metal or you hate it, doesn't matter. They're not going to benefit directly.” — ▶ 44:00

The YouTuber recommends Axon, known for police body cameras and tasers, as a way to gain exposure to the counter-drone theme without pure-play risk. He highlights its acquisition of a counter-drone company and the 300% growth in that division last year, alongside its stable recurring revenue from police departments. Although the stock isn't cheap, its core business provides a solid foundation.

“So, you're getting exposure to the counter drone theme, but you're not taking a pure play risk at it because you know they're going to get that police revenue every single month, right?” — ▶ 18:50

The YouTuber suggests Elbit Systems, an Israeli defense company with diverse offerings including unmanned aircraft and countermeasure systems, as a potential opportunity. He notes its decent business fundamentals, growing dividends, and combat-validated systems, despite a 25% pullback from its peak. He advises watching for a rebound, similar to past buying opportunities when it touched its longer-term trend line.

“Right now it could be setting up for another opportunity. So I want to make sure that I'm watching this. It's a little early, but I want to make sure I'm watching it. I want to wait for the rebound.” — ▶ 32:50

The YouTuber recommends Kratos, a developer of unmanned aerial systems and hypersonic weapons, as a higher-risk, higher-potential opportunity. Despite a 60% drop from its highs, the business is growing with a $2 billion backlog and stable margins. He suggests adding it to a watchlist and waiting for a clear rebound as the counter-drone sector gains attention.

“So when the business is doing well and the market is pricing it for disaster, you have an opportunity. We don't buy it yet. We wait for the money to start pouring in.” — ▶ 29:50

The YouTuber suggests buying XAR, a defense ETF, as a foundational investment in the counter-drone theme. He notes its diversified holdings, including smaller specialized companies, which could capture more upside from the emerging counter-drone catalyst. While currently early, he advises waiting for a clear breakout above recent highs or the $200 mark for a higher probability entry.

“I like XR for the reason that if you go back into the wind snap here with all the ETFs and all the stocks and all our research and everything else in there, they are not just holding the big boys, right?” — ▶ 14:00

The YouTuber suggests L3 Harris, specializing in electronic warfare and sensors, as a potential buy. He notes its strong earnings, improving margins, and cash flow, despite a recent stock pullback. He advises waiting for the stock to hit at least $320 and show more buying volume before considering an entry.

“I'd like to see it at least hit 320 before I'd even think about buying this. And I'd like to see a bit more buying happening here.” — ▶ 24:50

The YouTuber identifies Northrop Grumman as a contrarian pick due to its oversold status, being down 30% from post-war highs. While not a 'buy now,' he suggests adding it to a watchlist because its low RSI indicates it's potentially oversold, presenting a future opportunity for a rebound.

“Now I wouldn't buy it quite yet at this level, but it's certainly something that deserves to be on our watch list for that simple reason that it's just very very oversold.” — ▶ 21:00

The YouTuber recommends ATAI Life Sciences as a 'diversified play' in the psychedelic therapy market. Unlike Compass, ATAI has five drugs in clinical development, offering a broader pipeline and potentially safer bet due to diversification. It also has partial exposure to Compass through a stake and licensing agreement, and is backed by Peter Thiel. While currently pre-revenue and with patent protection varying by compound, its platform approach makes it an interesting, high-risk speculation.

“ATI is the platform bet. They're a clinical stage biotech company built like a venture portfolio. Not one drug, not two drugs, not three drugs, not four drugs. No, they have five drugs that are in clinical development.” — ▶ 16:00

The YouTuber suggests GH Research as a 'technology bet' in the psychedelic therapy sector, focusing on a compound that could enable much shorter treatment sessions (30 minutes vs. 6-8 hours). This efficiency could lead to faster commercial adoption and higher patient throughput for clinics. Although it's a pre-revenue biotech with a single compound focus, making it higher risk, the potential for operational leverage in a clinical setting makes it an interesting speculation.

“To take the GH drug, if it works, it's potentially a 30 minute session. So, if you're a clinic, do you want to sell a drug that takes like 6 hours to deliver or 30 minutes to deliver? What do you think?” — ▶ 17:30

The YouTuber strongly advises against holding the S&P 500 index, arguing that while the overall index may be at all-time highs, it masks a significant divergence between winning and losing sectors. He contends that holding the S&P 500 means actively destroying returns by owning underperforming companies alongside winners, and that a 'buy and hold' strategy is outdated in the current market rotation.

“So, if you own the S&P, um even diversified ETFs and so on, you are actively destroying your returns by owning these.” — ▶ 27:40

The YouTuber recommends Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), calling copper the 'new oil' due to its critical role in the modern economy, especially in EVs, solar, wind, and data centers. He points to a projected million-metric-ton deficit in the copper market and FCX's position as the closest pure-play copper company, suggesting it will benefit significantly from rising demand and shrinking supply.

“My stock pick here is, and again, don't bl these things blindly obviously uh read the report. come and join us on Saturday and learn is FCX. It's called Freeport McMuran.” — ▶ 14:20

The YouTuber suggests Broadcom (AVGO) as a key player in the chip sector, particularly for custom AI chips supplied to major tech companies. He emphasizes that money is flowing into this area due to the massive spending on data centers and AI infrastructure, making AVGO a strong beneficiary.

“My pick in in in all of those industries would be first of all chips. Yeah. Broadcom, AVGO, huge company, children and a half market cap. They supply custom AI chips to the biggest, you know, Microsofts and Amazons and so on on the planet.” — ▶ 20:50

The YouTuber recommends TotalEnergies (TTE), noting that energy is the top-performing sector in the S&P 500. He argues that inflation, largely driven by energy costs, benefits companies that produce energy. TTE is highlighted as a diversified energy giant with strong money flow into its stock.

“The stock here I would look at is TTE, total energies. Energy overall is up about 20 odd percent so far this year. It's the number one performing sector in the entire S&P.” — ▶ 16:50

The YouTuber recommends Newmont (NEM) as a blue-chip gold miner, citing gold's role as an inflation hedge and increased central bank buying. He notes that gold miners, particularly NEM as the largest, tend to outperform the metal itself during such periods, indicating strong underlying fundamentals and market momentum.

“A stock I like is called NEM new because gold's at, you know, 4,700 or something. It's up almost 50% in the last year.” — ▶ 10:00

The YouTuber recommends avoiding WPP, the world's largest advertising company, as it falls within the 'advertising' industry, which is down 29%. He highlights that WPP's stock is down two-thirds, indicating significant value destruction for investors holding it, particularly within index funds.

“Advertising is down 29%. WPP, world's largest advertising company, is down 2/3.” — ▶ 29:30

The YouTuber advises avoiding Reuters, categorizing it within the 'publishing' industry, which is down 43%. He notes that Reuters, as one of the largest information news companies, has seen its stock drop almost 50%, indicating a struggling sector that is dragging down index fund returns.

“publishing is down 43% Reuters right is one of the world's largest information news companies down almost 50%.” — ▶ 29:00

The YouTuber suggests avoiding companies like Booz Allen Hamilton, placing them in the 'professional services' industry which is down 30%. He argues that AI, specifically Claude, can now perform tasks previously handled by consultants, making such companies less necessary and therefore vulnerable to decline.

“companies like Boo Allen uh Bruce Allen are down 50%.” — ▶ 28:40

The YouTuber advises avoiding Nike, citing its significant decline (down 54%) and its position within a struggling industry (shoe manufacturing, down 37%). He attributes this to the impact of negative real wages on consumer-facing industries, suggesting that companies like Nike are particularly vulnerable.

“shoe manufacturing, it's down 37%, Nike being the uh the horror show there down 54%.” — ▶ 28:00

The YouTuber recommends MasTec (MTZ), specializing in infrastructure construction, power lines, and pipelines. He links this to the ongoing construction boom in the US, driven by initiatives like the Chips Act and the Inflation Reduction Act, which will fund infrastructure projects for decades.

“One stock here to look at, maybe write these down, is Maztech, take a symbol MTZ. They specialize in infrastructure, construction, power lines, pipelines, that kind of stuff.” — ▶ 25:40

The YouTuber suggests RTX (formerly Raytheon) as a more conservative defense blue-chip company. He believes it is on the 'right side of the money rotation' due to increased global defense spending and NATO commitments, despite its more modest gains compared to other picks.

“A little bit more conservative would be RTX. Used to be called Rathon. Massive company. Defense blue chip company. basically only up about 69%.” — ▶ 24:20

The YouTuber recommends Rocket Lab (RKLB) for its role in space launch and defense technology, noting its significant growth (up 2700%). He connects this to increased NATO spending and global rearmament, positioning RKLB as a beneficiary of the defense sector's massive backlogs and future spending.

“Where would I rocket lab? RKLB hits up 2,79% from this 2700%. Yeah, it's a 40 billion company. They do space launch and defense technology.” — ▶ 23:40

The YouTuber suggests Celestica (CLS) as a company involved in electronic manufacturing, specifically making hardware for cloud and AI infrastructure. He highlights its substantial growth (up 700%) as evidence of its strong position in a booming sector driven by technological advancements.

“Another one is worth mentioning is Celestica, ticker symbol CLS. They do basically electronic manufacturing stuff. So, they make the hardware that powers the cloud and the AI infrastructure massively up 700%.” — ▶ 22:30

The YouTuber recommends Seagate (STX) for data storage, identifying it as a massive winner in the infrastructure boom. He notes its significant market cap and its role in supporting the cloud and AI infrastructure, which requires substantial data storage solutions.

“Another stock I think really worth hooking up, we talked about this before, is Seagate, ticker symbol STX. data storage.” — ▶ 22:00

The YouTuber mentions Southern Copper (SCCO) as another well-positioned company in the copper sector, similar to FCX. He suggests it as an alternative or additional consideration for investors looking to capitalize on the strong demand and deficit in the copper market.

“Southern Copper. The ticker there is SECO. That's about 160 billion. It's bigger. Uh also well positioned I think.” — ▶ 16:00

The YouTuber suggests buying the XSSW ETF if it breaks above $160, based on the 'rubber band effect' theory. He argues that software stocks have been heavily shorted due to the 'AI will kill software' narrative, creating an extreme lopsided positioning. A break above this resistance level would signal the start of a short squeeze and forced buying, leading to a rapid upward movement.

“And right now, we're at that same point again. And that point sits at basically $160. We break above that. It changes things.” — ▶ 10:40

The YouTuber identifies Coreweave as a specialized cloud provider for AI training, equipped with powerful GPUs and long-term contracts. He notes its partnership with Nvidia and growing demand for its services. He suggests a more cautious entry point if the stock breaks above $140, indicating a cleaner breakout from recent highs.

“And if you wanted to be a little bit more cautious on this, you'd be looking more at like the $140, which is a few dollars above where we are trading right now. And that would be a cleaner kind of breakout.” — ▶ 16:00

The YouTuber suggests Unity Software, which provides an engine for game development and AR experiences, is potentially undervalued after an 87% decline from its highs. He notes its new AI tools and streamlining efforts towards profitability. He observes the stock appears to have bottomed around $17.50 and could be poised for a meaningful rally.

“And what are you seeing again, it appears to have bottomed out around $17.50, which is pretty much the same level we were at the previous year 2025, 2026, and we seem to actually be looking at potentially a meaningful rally here.” — ▶ 18:50

The YouTuber recommends Fortinet, a cybersecurity company, arguing that AI advancements are making cyber threats more dangerous, leading to increased cybersecurity budgets. Fortinet's custom chips provide a competitive advantage, and its recurring subscription revenue model is attractive. The stock has recently pulled back and is now at a 'perfect entry moment' according to technical patterns.

“For me, this is pretty much perfect moment.” — ▶ 20:00

The YouTuber recommends MKS Instruments, a company that provides precision instruments for semiconductor manufacturing. They argue that as semiconductor investment goes parabolic globally, MKS, which sells into every major chip fab, is well-positioned. The business is cyclical, but currently at a turning point with accelerating semiconductor equipment orders, and its valuation is reasonable.

“So the bull case is very simple. Semiconductor investing is going parabolic. Every country wants their own chip fabs.” — ▶ 24:50