Should I Buy Tesla (TSLA)? Finance YouTuber Analysis

The YouTuber highlights Michael Burry's reported short position against Tesla, grouping it with other 'hottest names' that are considered overvalued. The underlying message is that the stock's current price is driven by speculative enthusiasm rather than a sound valuation, making it an asset to avoid.

“According to reports, Burry has been betting against the hottest names, things like Nvidia, Applied Materials, Caterpillar, Tesla...”

The YouTuber advises avoiding Tesla, arguing that its current valuation is dangerously high given that over 90% of its revenue still comes from car sales, a tough business with limited moat. His discounted cash flow analysis, even with generous assumptions for future growth and non-car related segments, projects a negative 8% annual return over the next 10 years, indicating it is massively overpriced.

“This is the stock that I believe is the biggest problem right now. The one that based on my analysis could actually lose you money if you bought it today.”

The analyst maintains a 'sell' rating on Tesla, citing its extremely high valuation with a forward P/E of 192, which is significantly higher than the S&P 500 average, AI stocks, and other car manufacturers. While acknowledging improved prospects due to higher EV sales from surging oil prices and potential upside catalysts like a SpaceX buyout or regulatory progress in self-driving, he believes these are largely priced in. He also highlights downside risks such as Elon Musk's political activities and potential self-driving setbacks.

“I have the stock rated as a sell. I own put options on Tesla stock. I think it's got significant downside from where it is today while the upside is relatively limited.”

The analyst holds put options on Tesla, citing its ridiculously expensive forward price-to-earnings ratio of 190 and a discounted cash flow valuation significantly below its market price. While acknowledging several positive developments for Tesla, he maintains a bearish stance, though less so than at the beginning of the year, and plans to close his put options if the stock falls another 10-15%.

“I'm less bearish on the company. Significantly less bearish on the company today compared to where I was beginning of the year because of all those improvements I cited earlier. These were all significantly positive for Tesla, and I wasn't expecting these to be as positive for Tesla coming into the year.”

Tesla is considered the most overvalued stock, with a fair value of $132 against a market price of $383. The company faces declining EV sales due to increased competition and lower oil prices, and its driverless car segment is years away from offsetting these declines. The analyst holds a short position, expecting the share price to be lower by year-end.

“Tesla might be and no, it is the most overvalued out of all of these companies. It's trading at $383 per share. I calculated a fair value of $132. As I mentioned earlier, Elon Musk has been great at job owning this stock higher even though the actual performance of the business is nowhere near the levels of the forecasts and high hopes that Elon Musk likes to sell investors.”

The analyst suggests investors should adjust lower their growth expectations for Tesla's energy segment due to increasing competition from GM and Ford, which are entering the stationary battery market. This, combined with anticipated declines in the automotive segment for 2026 and 2027, makes the stock less attractive. The robotaxi catalyst is seen as unlikely to materialize soon enough to offset these headwinds.

“investors, I don't know if they will or if they won't, uh but it would be prudent to adjust lower the growth expectations for Tesla's energy segment along with the negative expectations for the automotive segment.”

The YouTuber identifies Tesla as the most likely to crash due to its shrinking moat in traditional EV business and a stretched valuation. He argues that even with a generous free cash flow margin, the company needs to grow revenue by 25% or more annually for 10 years to justify its current stock price, which he sees as a significant execution risk for its optionality plays like FSD and robo-taxi.

“revenue still needs to grow by 25% or more per year for 10 years to justify this stock price. And that is why that combination is why Tesla finds itself alone on the left-hand side of the market.”

The YouTuber trimmed his Tesla position from 9% to 7% of his portfolio in December 2024. He questioned the clarity of Tesla's moat given its transition to software and robots, and his valuation analysis suggested it was overvalued, requiring 21% annual revenue growth for a decade against a 17% expectation.

“I trimmed Tesla.”

The YouTuber mentions Michael Burry's short position on Tesla, implying a bearish outlook. He suggests that Burry's shorts are a hedge against a broader market burst, and that Tesla's current valuation is unsustainable.

“Tesla just doing its thing, to the moon.”

The YouTuber advises avoiding Tesla, categorizing it with other speculative assets like Bitcoin and SpaceX. He implies that investments in such companies are driven by hype and short-term gambling rather than sound value investing principles, which prioritize fundamentals, risk assessment, and margin of safety.

“Everybody else, they can make their fortunes on Bitcoin, on SpaceX, on Tesla. I'm very happy for you.”

The YouTuber suggests avoiding Tesla due to its high valuation (188x forward P/E) relative to its growth rate and profitability. While acknowledging it's a growing company, he questions if the current price justifies the capital allocation, especially when compared to other opportunities.

“Tesla, it's a growing company, but for the price that you're paying, is it growing fast enough? Is it profitable enough? No.”

The YouTuber advises against buying Tesla currently, citing that while its valuation is better than previous peaks, it remains overvalued. He notes that business fundamentals have eroded over the years, and future ventures like FSD and RoboTaxi are still years away from meaningfully impacting the bottom line, despite the energy business performing well. He believes better pricing will be available in the future.

“And right now isn't the best time to be buying Tesla in my opinion.”

The YouTuber believes Tesla is extremely expensive on valuation, with 'trash' earnings for years. They are skeptical of future promises like robo-taxi and Optimus significantly impacting the bottom line soon, viewing it as a risky play driven by hype.

“It's not cheap on a valuation. It's extremely expensive. Um, obviously earnings have been just trash for a couple years now.”

The YouTuber views Tesla as a long-term AI winner, specifically in the automotive and autonomous driving sectors, due to its extensive car data. This proprietary data is considered a significant advantage for training models for Robo-taxi and FSD, allowing them to save time, money, and energy on internal AI tool development.

“with Tesla as well. Absolutely. That's one of the reasons why I think, you know, Roboaxi long-term, FSD long-term is going to be something they're going to be ahead of the vast majority of individuals on.”

The YouTuber previously sold most of his Tesla position, reducing it to a 'spec position,' due to what he considers 'terrible earnings' compared to other companies. He views it as highly speculative with significant risk, noting that retail investors often buy it at high valuations.

“You guys know I sold out of it. Video up there tell you exactly the reasons why I didn't sell out of all of it. I sold out of most of my position there. Turned it down to a spec position. Um, I don't know what to tell you. Every other stock on this list has had incredible earnings for years now. Tesla's had terrible earnings outside of Ford.”

The YouTuber is currently holding Tesla shares, having bought them at a low average price through prudent investing. He states he will consider buying more shares if the company's execution improves this year, as evidenced in their earnings reports, and if the valuation makes sense. He emphasizes focusing on fundamentals and avoiding hype.

“So, I'll just hold and if execution gets better this year, and I see it in earnings, I will look at it back to my watch list and start buying shares again.”

The YouTuber considers Tesla a long-term 'pump it' but believes its current valuation is still too rich, despite recent declines. He expects a recession and current market conditions to hurt Tesla in the short term, advocating for buying shares only at cheaper prices.

“For me, long-term stock is still a pumpet, still what I'm looking to buy. I'm just not looking to buy these prices still, despite the fall down, still way too rich in my opinion for this particular stock.”

The YouTuber is not buying Tesla currently because he believes it is overvalued, despite not being as extreme as 2021. He already holds a full position and would only consider adding more if there's a significant discount. Potential triggers for a price drop include a disappointing new model in Q2, underwhelming guidance next quarter, or a delivery misstep.

“I don't think we will see a discount on Tesla anytime soon unless the new model coming in Q2 is just basically a refresh or something like that I don't think that's the case but that's something that could send it down more into my price range or maybe they finally give us guidance next quarter that they didn't give us this quarter and it kind of underwhelms you know it's kind of not really what wall Street's looking for it's really below what they thought it was going to be or if there's a delivery misstep of some sort or something of that nature.”

The YouTuber disagrees with the guest's 'bail' stance on Tesla, acknowledging it's currently overvalued but not 'crazy overvalued' like in 2021. They believe the upcoming cheaper model is a key catalyst that fits Tesla's niche and will drive sales. While recognizing the long-term potential of Robo-taxis, they caution against paying for a 20-year future today, noting that institutional buyers are more conservative and won't pay extreme multiples for speculative future earnings.

“I disagree with his take that it's just at some crazy valuation right now although it is overvalued it's not at some crazy level to where all of a sudden he's you know just fine paying ridiculous multiples over here for one stock but then over here with Tesla it's just that to control and ridiculous not true either.”

The YouTuber maintains a long-term hold on Tesla, acknowledging its current overvaluation based on stagnating EPS and revenue growth, and compressed margins. He believes the stock's current price heavily relies on speculative future ventures like robo-taxis and FSD, which he does not factor into his valuation until they are closer to fruition and have a clear impact on the bottom line. He plans to add more shares if the price dips, but is content with his current full position.

“I am not a Trader so I have no interest unless don't want to own as many shares as I own right now of Tesla to me trying to trade it out is a Fool's errand.”

The YouTuber is bullish on Tesla for the long term and intends to buy more shares when the stock becomes undervalued according to his valuation models. He emphasizes a prudent, conservative approach to investing, buying when prices are low rather than chasing hype, as he did when Tesla fell to around $100.

“I am bullish on Tesla... but buying more when they hit my price targets... I will be patient and then buy the stock when it's the appropriate time to buy the stock according to my plan according to my valuation and according to my price targets.”

The YouTuber is avoiding Tesla currently because he believes it was trading rich even before its recent earnings call, and its valuation has since decreased. Despite a significant stock price drop, he argues the stock is still 'extremely rich' and not cheap, requiring him to adjust his valuation and price targets before considering a purchase.

“it is still trading extremely rich right now despite the Beatdown that it's getting it is not cheap in my personal opinion.”

The YouTuber would avoid Tesla for a smaller, growth-focused portfolio due to its capital-intensive nature, sensitivity to the cyclical car market, and the potential for regulatory hurdles. He also points to the volatility and 'hype cycles' of the stock, which he believes makes it less suitable for a long-term, stable growth investment.

“I don't think anybody can debate that Elon is definitely a more eccentric character than even Alex is over there at Palantir... he's going after a lot of problems that to me are a lot of things future things that are super capital intensitive and really really hard to solve.”

The YouTuber gives Tesla a 'pump it' rating, noting that its valuation is more reasonable now that the stock is below $200. He believes the company's margins are bottoming out, which is good for long-term shareholders, and is willing to add more shares if the price drops further due to short-term market sentiment.

“Wall Street wants to get dumb again I'm happy to add so for me it's definitely a pump it there just you got to be cautious and you got to understand the Tesla train per se or the Tesla roller coaster it's going to go way up way down emotions all over the place”

The YouTuber expresses a negative view on Tesla, agreeing with Steve Eisman that its valuation is based on future product success and hype rather than current fundamentals. They note that Tesla's earnings and revenue have been declining or flat, and the EV business is capital-intensive and highly competitive. The stock is valued as a software/AI/robotics company, not a car company, which creates significant risk if future products don't meet high profitability expectations.

“Tesla's valuation is already factoring in all of these future products to work out, be highly profitable, and also grow extremely well. That leads me to also believe that these stocks in relation to Elon are momentum driven and based on basically how much hype he can create in the market and how excited he can get investors about the future story that's always going to be decades away it seems.”

The YouTuber advises avoiding Tesla stock due to its extremely high valuation (16x sales, 226x free cash flow, 293x earnings) despite flat revenue growth for two years and declining profitability. While the energy business is growing, the core automotive business is struggling, and the current stock price reflects significant future success that is speculative and not based on current fundamentals.

“Tesla's valuation does not reflect the fundamentals of the business today and therefore investors are paying for a significant amount of Tesla's future growth and that is where the risk is.”

The YouTuber believes Tesla's stock carries significant risk because its current valuation heavily prices in the success and profitability of autonomous vehicles, which he is skeptical of. He argues that the autonomous driving market lacks a strong competitive moat, leading to price competition and potentially low profit margins, making Tesla's reliance on this technology for future growth highly speculative.

“Tesla's current valuation where the stock currently is is already pricing in a lot of autonomous vehicle success and profitability, which that alone I am very skeptical of.”

The YouTuber believes Tesla is overvalued and risky, citing declining automotive revenues, gross profits, and market share. He argues that the current valuation of 45 times operating cash flow prices in too much future growth, especially given the struggles in its core automotive business and increasing competition.

“So, I don't think that a business like this deserves to trade for 45 times operating cash flows. And what that tells me is that the stock is still pricing in a lot, and I mean a lot of future growth.”

The YouTuber is avoiding Tesla, strongly disagreeing with Cathie Wood's $2,600 price target and the assumption that robo-taxis will account for 90% of its value. He argues that achieving such a valuation would require Tesla to become the most profitable company in the world within five years, which he deems unrealistic, especially given competition from Google's Waymo and BYD's faster revenue growth in EVs. He believes the stock is still extremely overvalued, pricing in too much future success as a software company.

“I simply think that this is not going to happen this is out of the realm of reality and I think that Kathy Wood is throwing out extremely high price targets to generate media noise and to basically get investors excited about Tesla's stock”

Cathie Wood believes Tesla will dominate the robotaxi market due to its extensive data from 7-8 million vehicles and a superior cost structure from vertical integration, allowing it to offer rides at a much lower price point (potentially 25 cents per mile). She anticipates a rapid acceleration in adoption as regulators recognize the safety benefits of autonomous driving over human driving, leading to a 'winner-take-most' scenario for Tesla in the mobility-as-a-service sector.

“I think Tesla will win most of the market. Much like the Uber Lift, you know, Uber taking the lion share of the market. I think Tesla will take Whimo will probably be the equivalent of Lyft.”

This creator believes Tesla holds a significant data advantage in autonomous driving due to its large customer fleet collecting video data, enabling continuous software updates for full autonomy. This vertical integration also provides a substantial cost advantage in robo-taxi operations, which is crucial for scaling and profitability in the nascent industry. They project Tesla could satisfy a large portion of ride-hail demand with its current and future vehicle lineup.

“Tesla has this immense data advantage that really no one else has. It's driven both by the fact that they've been doing this for a while, having cars roll out the assembly line with this capability, plus the fact that they have a large consumer customer fleet driving this.”

This creator highlights Tesla's immense data advantage in autonomous driving due to its large customer fleet and vertically integrated manufacturing. This allows Tesla to scale its robo-taxi service and advance technology more effectively than competitors. They project robo-taxis to generate $34 trillion in enterprise value by 2030, with the majority accruing to autonomous technology providers like Tesla.

“You can see here that Tesla globally really surpasses um any other competitor. Uh this is because they collect uh video off of their customer vehicles. Um all of the cars are equipped with sensor sets that are uh capable of um sensor sets and and an onboard compute uh system that's capable of turning the car into a fully autonomous car through software updates.”

The speaker highlights Tesla's progress in deploying robo-taxis without safety drivers, aligning with Elon Musk's predictions. They believe this scalable deployment will lead to Tesla becoming a monumentally large business in the robo-taxi sector, which they estimate will be worth over $30 trillion as it scales.

“ultimately this should lead to Tesla being able to scale Roboaxi in a profound way since they produce so many assets. Um, if you can do this scalably, it'll, you know, uh, become a monumentally large business.”

ARK believes Tesla has a significant competitive edge in the emerging robo-taxi market, with an estimated 50% lower cost structure compared to competitors like Waymo. They project a massive total addressable market for autonomous vehicles, suggesting Tesla will be a dominant platform provider in this ecosystem.

“Tesla's competitive edge over Whimo is uh is has well at least according to our estimates increased. We used to think that their cost structure Tesla's cost structure would be 35% lower than Whimo's. uh but as we have refined our analysis, we now believe it's going to be 50% lower.”

This creator views Tesla's plan to build its own chip fab as a strategic move to secure supply for vehicles and Optimus robots, similar to its vertical integration in batteries. This is interpreted as a way to gain negotiating leverage with existing chip manufacturers and ensure volume for ambitious growth targets, rather than a direct competition with major chip foundries. The discussion also highlights the potential for Tesla's chip design team to support other Elon Musk ventures like XAI and space compute, indicating a broader strategic play.

“Probably the biggest announcement, the biggest change um that we learned about was that Tesla plans on building their own chip fab.”

This creator believes Tesla is a strong buy due to its increasing confidence in robotaxi services and the potential for significant scaling of vehicle production. They highlight the company's advancements in FSD, including the addition of 'reasoning' to the car, which is expected to lead to unsupervised full autonomy and a fleet operator model for robotaxis. The firm also notes that Tesla's ability to generate substantial cash flow from robotaxis will fund further ambitious projects like humanoid robots.

“I do think Tesla is going to have good places to throw capital for return. Um yes and and I think they will aggressively do so which was great for the world to be honest.”

This creator believes Tesla is a strong buy, particularly given the proposed pay package for Elon Musk. They argue that the ambitious targets set in the package, though challenging, are achievable based on their models, especially with the potential for robo-taxis and humanoid robots. They view the package as a win-win for shareholders, Elon, and society, incentivizing continued innovation and growth, and believe the company could prove to be a deep value investment over a five-year horizon.

“This is a winwin for all of us if Elon succeeds this time around the way that he did uh the last time around.”

This creator believes Tesla is a strong buy due to the imminent scaling of its robo-taxi service, which they project will generate hundreds of billions in annual cash flow. They also see significant long-term value in Elon Musk's continued ambition to push the company into the humanoid robot market (Optimus), viewing his 'trillion-dollar' pay package as an option on this larger opportunity. The analysts argue that the market misunderstands the potential size of the robo-taxi market, even in individual cities, and that Tesla's ability to flood markets with vehicles directly from the factory gives it a substantial advantage over competitors like Waymo.

“I think that there are there are technologies that are forever out into the right. Quantum computing, I think, is in that land. Fusion has been in that land, you know, and uh in some ways the the wager we've made against the market is that, you know, robo taxi on vision only sensors on commercially available vehicles is not in that land. It's kind of commercialized. I think there is wildly abundant evidence that that's true that we're going to cross the threshold and it's we're going to cross it you know likely uh like very likely in the next 12 months let's put it that way.”

This creator expresses high confidence in Tesla's autonomous driving future, particularly its robotaxi service. They believe Tesla will achieve significant scale and cost advantages, potentially displacing competitors like Uber, due to its production capacity and ability to accumulate miles quickly. Despite current hiccups, they are bullish on the long-term potential for autonomous vehicles to exceed human safety levels.

“I'm extremely confident that we're going to have a autonomous future in the next 5 years.”

This creator is bullish on Tesla due to its impending robotaxi service launch, which they believe will transform its business model from hardware sales to high-margin recurring software revenue. They highlight Tesla's significant data advantage, lower vehicle production costs, and superior manufacturing scale compared to competitors like Waymo, positioning Tesla to undercut pricing and capture substantial market share in autonomous ride-hailing.

“So, yeah, between data advantage, cost, and production, you can tell that we're super excited for for Tesla to launch its robo taxi service in the coming days.”

The analyst suggests that Tesla's robo-taxi service, if launched as rumored, will be a superior product that could significantly disrupt the ride-sharing market. They believe that a lower price point (e.g., two-thirds the current cost) and the absence of a human driver would lead to a massive increase in demand and utilization, making current ride-sharing services look like a 'joke'.

“Tesla is going to launch the robo taxi rumored June 12th. We'll see if that's accurate or not. ... what'll really drive it is you'll get it for like 2/3 the price, same availability, and no stupid driver behind the wheel. Then it'll totally, you know, it'll make these categories look like a joke, right?”

This creator believes Tesla's Cybercabs will have a significant cost advantage in the Robo-taxi market due to vertical integration and streamlined technology, allowing them to produce vehicles at a much lower cost than competitors like Waymo. This low cost of production is seen as key to success in a 'winner-take-most' market, with Tesla positioned to capture a large share of the projected $8-10 trillion global market for autonomous mobility.

“low cost of production is going to be key to success in this winter take most Market and we do believe it is winter take most as many AI projects are we think this is the AI project out there with the biggest Revenue generating potential in the next five years.”

This creator is bullish on Tesla's potential in the robo-taxi market, anticipating a significant scaling advantage due to its verticalized manufacturing, inherent cost advantage, and non-geofenced rollout strategy. They expect Tesla's proprietary data lake to provide a competitive edge upon the launch of its autonomous ride-hail service in Austin in June.

“Tesla's data Lake and proprietary data Advantage should give it a Competitive Edge when it launches its autonomous rill service in Austin this June so while weo launched back in 2018 for commercial service um Tesla as Daniel mentioned plans to launch this year and we're excited because this could be the year of Robo taxis actually scaling”

This creator is invested in Tesla, viewing it as a key player in the humanoid robot space. They highlight Tesla's internal development of robotics, emphasizing that the company is building its own hardware because existing solutions are insufficient, and that the challenge has largely shifted to software. This positions Tesla well for the future of humanoid robotics.

“Tesla said we're not buying anything off the shelf because it doesn't exist we're making it ourselves and now it's very much become a software problem so it's like that's the excitement and like the why now humanoid robots is software plus Hardware but the capability advancements are going to be software defined and software is moving very quickly”

Cathie Wood believes Tesla will deliver a fully autonomous service this year, potentially starting in June in Austin, and expects it to roll out quickly across the country. This commercialization of full self-driving is a significant catalyst, as only Tesla and Waymo have achieved this among many initial contenders.

“we believe this year Tesla will deliver a fully autonomous Service uh they're saying in June in Austin will'll see the debut and we think that it will roll off out across the country uh pretty quickly thereafter”

The analyst suggests that the market is underappreciating Tesla's AI opportunity, particularly in autonomous driving and humanoid robots. Despite missed earnings expectations, the stock appreciated due to the focus on launching autonomous ride-hailing services, with plans for Austin in June and nationwide expansion next year. Tesla's ability to scale its software development through customer data gives it an advantage over competitors like Waymo, making its expansion more of a logistics challenge than a technological one.

“overall um even though the results missed expectations we saw the stock appreciate and it seems like it's largely um because of of what we've been excited about over the past five to 10 years which is the really we should call it the AI opportunity now but it's kind of all encompassing it's it's autonomous driving it's then moving on to human o robots”

This creator believes Tesla will be highly cash flow generative from its robotaxi service, which will allow it to reinvest in further production of cybercabs. This reinvestment will drive significant economic productivity and growth, making Tesla a strong investment.

“not only should each cyber cab be massively economically productive as it increases economic production but also um we think very cash flow generative to Tesla and so then Tesla is not going to take that money and stick it in its pocket it's going to take that money and reinvest in the production of more cyber caps”

This creator maintains a bullish stance on Tesla, primarily due to the impending launch and scaling of its robotaxi network, powered by FSD v13. They believe this service will be highly profitable, potentially accounting for 90% of the company's enterprise value in the next five years, and that Tesla's vertical integration and data advantage will allow it to scale more effectively than competitors.

“Robo taxi services versus selling the full self-driving software and I mean we think it's going to be much more profitable that's going to be almost 90% of the Enterprise value of the company over the next 5 years according to our published model”

Cathie Wood believes that Tesla, which was previously removed from the 'Mag 7' group due to underperformance, will be reinstated. She implies that the market will recognize its value again, especially as the focus shifts from large-cap safety plays to broader market innovation.

“I think they're gonna want Tesla back in they're gonna want Tesla back in they're gonna include a few more too.”

This creator maintains a positive outlook on Tesla, citing strong earnings driven by aggressive cost reductions, particularly a record low cost per vehicle. They are excited about the progress in autonomy, including the testing of a ride-hail platform and the potential for a human-driven service with a better cost structure than competitors. The long-term market opportunity for autonomous ride-hail is highlighted as a significant growth driver.

“I think likely because people were pleasantly surprised by earnings which beat expectations thanks to um pretty aggressive cost reductions on the vehicle platform they said they achieved a record cost of it's like 35,100 per vehicle.”

This creator believes Tesla is well-positioned to dominate the robotaxi market due to its manufacturing capabilities, extensive data collection from its FSD fleet, and a cost structure that can significantly undercut traditional ride-hailing services. They project a potential cost of 20-40 cents per mile for consumers, which would expand the ride-hailing market dramatically and lead to a shift away from personal car ownership in urban areas.

“ultimately we think that Tesla is the company that um is better set up to really scale this type of effort”

This creator believes Tesla is well-positioned to be a leader in the robotaxi market due to its extensive FSD (Full Self-Driving) data collection, with customers driving over 2 million miles daily in FSD mode. This data provides a significant advantage for training its full autonomy efforts, which is crucial for scaling robotaxi operations. The company's ability to leverage this data and potentially be an early scaler in autonomous ride-hail could lead to substantial earnings and market share in the future.

“Tesla has not launched fully autonomous rides yet, but it's really a question of who will get to scale first and that's where Tesla comes in.”

This creator updated its Tesla price target to 2029, with autonomous driving, specifically a robo-taxi service, projected to drive nearly 90% of Tesla's value. They believe the shift from one-time vehicle sales to a recurring revenue stream with attractive margins, supported by advancements in AI FSD and Tesla's large data advantage, will significantly boost the company's valuation. The model shows a 58% probability of robo-taxi commercialization in 2025.

“we just updated our Tesla price Target we push it out to 2029 and we also published our model as as we do every year... autonomous driving already... now we think that's actually close to 90% so ultimately we think Tesla will launch a robo taxi service...”

The speaker implies that AI acceleration will have a significant financial impact on Tesla, specifically through the delivery of Robo-taxi technology. This suggests a positive outlook for the company's future earnings and market position.

“AI acceleration that then leads to Tesla being able to deliver Robo taxi for example is a much more meaningful Financial impact on the company than some of the you know next Generation internet plays”

This creator maintains a bullish stance on Tesla, reiterating their 2027 price target of $2,000 per share, largely driven by the potential of Robo-taxis. They believe Robo-taxis could account for two-thirds of Tesla's enterprise value due to recurring revenues and significantly higher margins compared to the traditional vehicle business. The recent earnings call and the upcoming August event highlight Tesla's focus on autonomy and the potential for FSD licensing to other automakers.

“the price Target that we published for Tesla uh for 2027 that we're currently updating now $2,000 per share um in that analysis we thought that roughly two-thirds of the Enterprise Value could be attributable to Robo taxis”

This creator believes that traditional automakers focusing on hybrids are making a short-term mistake, which will ultimately benefit pure-play battery electric vehicle companies like Tesla. They argue that battery cost declines have made affordable EVs possible, and the oversupply of batteries could accelerate this trend, allowing pure-play companies to gain market share from both hybrid and gas vehicles.

“I really think these companies that are going to focus on hybrid are going to actually make it better for the Pure Play companies who are willing to push through on their investment for Pure battery electric.”

This creator believes Tesla is undervalued, with autonomous driving (FSD v12) being a major unpriced catalyst that could account for two-thirds of its future enterprise value. They highlight Tesla's cost advantages in EVs, the impending low-cost vehicle, and the safety statistics of FSD as key drivers for future growth, comparing the current market sentiment to 2019 before its significant rally.

“I do feel like Tesla today is very much where it was in 2019 where there were a lot of doubters back then it was production hell no one thought that the model 3 could scale they didn't think that Elon was going to be able to pull it off with that kind of Battery Technology on a large scale and he did and of course the stock went crazy to the upside when when analysts and investors could no longer deny that.”

This creator maintains a long-term bullish stance on Tesla, emphasizing the potential of its Robo-taxi service and the next-generation vehicle platform. They believe the current slowdown in growth is a temporary 'pause between two big waves' and that the market is underestimating the future value derived from autonomous driving and manufacturing innovations. The company's ability to execute and innovate, particularly with FSD V12 and Optimus, positions it for significant future growth.

“if you're a long-term investor I think you believe that this is the pause between two big waves”

This creator believes Tesla's Cybertruck, despite initial mixed reactions on price and range, showcases significant engineering innovations like steer-by-wire and 48-volt architecture. These advancements, coupled with Tesla's vertical integration, position the company for steeper cost declines and higher profitability compared to competitors in the long run, making it a compelling investment.

“because they are all all the way in on this new architecture they should have a steeper cost decline in terms of their their ability to manufacture these um Technologies over time and so we don't know we don't know what the gross profitability on the Cyber Tru is going to be starting out and it'll be really sensitive to the ramp of the program um but there's definitely reason to believe if they stay at this price point all competitors stay at this price point they will be like much more profitable for these vehicles relative to competitors because of the way they're set up and and pursuing these new technologies”

The speaker highlights Tesla as a prime example of a company embodying the convergence of key innovation platforms like energy storage (battery systems), robotics (autonomous vehicles), and AI (full self-driving). They note Tesla's significant lead in autonomous miles logged and its integrated approach to technology, contrasting it with traditional car manufacturers that lack their own chips and software platforms.

“currently with Tesla where we both are invested in we see that we might lose this important industry in Germany very very fast and very soon”

The analyst believes Tesla has a significant data advantage in autonomous driving due to millions of customer cars on the road, compared to hundreds for competitors like Cruise and Waymo. This allows Tesla to statistically prove its safety more effectively and learn from competitors' regulatory challenges, positioning it to be first to scale autonomous technology.

“Tesla has a massive data Advantage because it has millions of customer cars on the road compared to hundreds at Cru in whmo so a lot more data to train the system.”

This creator maintains a positive long-term outlook on Tesla, arguing that while short-term concerns exist due to macro factors and production ramps, these are misplaced. They highlight Tesla's strong balance sheet with significant cash and low debt, positioning it favorably compared to traditional automakers who may face more significant challenges in the current economic environment.

“So many people were concerned with Tesla Tesla is the lowcost provider in vehicles and they're Leading The Way with growth and electric vehicles and if people are concerned about Tesla which I think is misplaced maybe their short-term concern just as they ramp and macro factors here the real Spotlight should be shine shown Shin shown on uh traditional automakers yeah I think I think there's going to be some damage done”

This creator views Tesla's recent price cuts as a strategic move to stimulate demand and increase market penetration, aligning with their belief that the long-term autonomous opportunity outweighs short-term profits from car sales. They argue that EV costs will continue to decline due to Wright's Law, making Tesla vehicles more accessible and competitive, even with higher interest rates.

“I think this is a move by Tesla to stimulate demand... they believe that the autonomous opportunity tomorrow is much greater than the profits they get from just selling a car today.”

This creator believes Tesla's full self-driving vehicles will eventually consolidate into taxi fleets, generating significant profitability for owners. They anticipate a launch on the West Coast first, where there's a high concentration of Tesla vehicles, and expect regulators to tolerate the service given the precedent set by other robo-taxi companies.

“when Tesla commercializes there will be a lot more cars on the road and they'll be able to go to The Regulators with a packet of data being like listen these are kind of like operating in your city here you know maybe hundreds of millions of miles demonstrating kind of like how much safer we are than the human drivers operating in in your city”

This creator maintains a bullish stance on Tesla, emphasizing its leadership in electric vehicles and the significant future value expected from its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, which they project to constitute over 60% of the company's enterprise value within five years. They highlight Tesla's immense data advantage in FSD development, collecting over 2 million FSD miles daily, and its commitment to scaling production for future autonomous vehicles. Despite short-term market concerns about margins and production, ARK views Tesla's long-term growth trajectory and technological advancements as highly compelling.

“from our perspective that's great because we think it'll be you know over 60 of the Enterprise value of the company over the next five years”

This creator believes Tesla's significant investment in AI compute capacity, aiming for 100 exaflops by October 2024, will accelerate its lead in full self-driving and potentially other AI applications like Optimus robots. This vertical integration strategy, similar to their battery production, addresses a critical bottleneck and leverages their vast real-world data advantage over competitors like Cruise and Waymo, positioning them for long-term growth in autonomous technology.

“Tesla's saying they're sitting there saying you know if this is the bottleneck we're not going to wait and get price gouged here we're gonna you know verticalize as we've done with a lot of other things and drive forward to the finish line”

This creator highlights Tesla's innovation in designing its own AI chip for autonomous driving, demonstrating a strategic move to control its hardware stack. They also point to Tesla's powerful data feedback loop, where every vehicle's experience contributes to improving the AI model, creating a significant competitive advantage in the autonomous driving sector.

“one analogy I like here with Tesla is a blue stop sign so very few people know this but there are a couple of places in Hawaii that actually have blue stop sites and a human could probably Intuit rolling up to the stop sign that it's a stop sign right even though it's not red it's shaped like a stop sign and it says stop on it but an AI model that's powering a full self-driving vehicle might not know that it might roll up and say well that's not a stop sign it's blue and continue rolling on through but if the human intervenes and presses the brake it basically labels that event as a mistake and the system learns over a couple of instances that blue stop signs are also stop signs and so then if this were a Tesla every Tesla in the fleet would then realize that blue stop signs are also stop signs and that's a data feedback loop that's very powerful and hard to compete with”

Wood highlights Tesla's ability to continuously lower prices due to its position on the electric drivetrain technology cost curve, where costs decline by 28% for every cumulative doubling of units produced. This allows Tesla to maintain higher margins than competitors like Ford and GM, even with price cuts, putting immense pressure on traditional automakers.

“Tesla told us on on its last earnings call that it is going to price so that it can keep its production lines full and it can afford to lower prices because even at these lower prices its margins are much higher than Fords and higher than GMs even after these price cuts.”

This creator suggests Tesla has a significant competitive advantage in autonomous driving due to its large fleet of nearly 3 million cars on the road collecting data. This data acts as an R&D center, feeding into the autonomous neural net training system, which is a much larger data collection effort than competitors.

“while Tesla has not launched it has almost 3 million cars on the road collecting information today acting like little r d centers collecting Corner cases to then feed back to the autonomous neural net training system that helps the car improve that is much larger than that Fleet is much larger than the fleet that we see at competitors”

ARK believes Tesla is in the 'pole position' for autonomous ride-hail services, particularly in the United States. They anticipate electric vehicles will hit price parity with gas-powered cars and then experience accelerated price declines, posing a serious risk to traditional auto manufacturers.

“we believe that Tesla's in the pole position there certainly in the United States but we also highlight once again how Global oil demand is at risk because of electric and autonomous”

Cathie Wood states that This creator has been buying more Tesla during the downturn. She believes that the current market fear, evidenced by high cash on the sidelines and a high put-to-call ratio, presents the best time to average into these markets. She contrasts this with the late 90s tech bubble, arguing that current technologies are ready for prime time.

“You have been buying more Tesla and other stocks during the downturn and and yet the prices have fallen further and our performance decline has worsened with interest rates and prices fluctuating so widely and in in this case they probably mean increasing will an investment focus on Innovation work well we believe that the leading indicator correctly is inflation and it it has peace the inflation rate has peaked.”

The speaker discusses how Tesla was excluded from the S&P 500 for a long time due to its rules, causing investors in index funds to miss out on significant appreciation. They imply that excluding such high-growth, technologically interesting companies can subvert total average returns for index investors.

“The reason Tesla being denied out of the S&P 500 for so long was so terrible for end investors is because they actually missed a lot of the asymmetry.”

This creator maintains a bullish stance on Tesla, projecting a 2026 price target of $4600 per share, with a bull case of $5800. This valuation is driven by expectations of significant growth in electric vehicle sales due to battery cost declines, Tesla's strong capital efficiency in production, and the massive potential of autonomous driving (robo-taxis), which is expected to contribute 60% of the model's expected value. They highlight Tesla's unique position as both a vehicle manufacturer and a potential autonomous platform provider.

“our expected value for Tesla stock price in 2026 is 4600 per share”

Cathie Wood notes that Tesla has held up better than other innovation stocks in their portfolio, attributing this to its inclusion in the S&P 500 and other indices. While not explicitly a 'buy' call, it's presented as a resilient holding within their innovation-focused strategy.

“As you'll notice Tesla has held up much better than other of our innovation stocks it's because it was put into the s p 500 and other indices in recent years”

Wood believes Tesla, through its electric vehicles and future robo-taxis, will accelerate the shift away from oil, especially as high oil prices destroy demand. This positions Tesla as a solution to energy dependence and a beneficiary of innovation solving problems.

“Tesla is providing free supercharging uh in Poland... and of course we know that longer term electric vehicles are going to help with the demand destruction of oil I think the prices alone will destroy a lot of demand for oil and accelerate the shift to electric vehicles”

Cathie Wood believes that traditional automakers will struggle to catch up to Tesla's innovation in electric vehicles, particularly regarding battery technology (cylindrical vs. prismatic). She anticipates that traditional automakers will be stuck with inferior products and inventory, leading to 'creative destruction' that benefits leaders like Tesla.

“the more we learn about the the strategy that traditional automakers have adopted from a battery point of view the more we believe that their that they're not going to be able to catch up to the likes of a Tesla which is really driving this innovation.”

Tesla is considered expensive, trading at a 55x forward P/E. This high valuation suggests it is not an attractive investment compared to other opportunities in the market, despite its growth potential.

“Tesla ist immer noch teuer, 55 waaches Vor KGGV.”

The YouTuber suggests keeping an eye on Tesla, indicating it could be ready for a significant move in the next 7 to 14 days if it can break and hold above the $400 level. He advises patience to avoid being 'clipped' by entering too early.

“Tesla, keep your eye on that, man. is battling at 400. If we can break and hold. Breaking ain't enough. We got to hold it, guys. That one might be ready to take off in the next 7 to 14 days.”

The YouTuber advises buying Tesla if it drops to the $280-$283 range, suggesting that the current dip is due to a 'theater' between Trump and Elon Musk. He believes the stock will quickly rebound by $150 once the 'feud' resolves, emphasizing the importance of knowing key price levels.

“If we can't recapture 300 and go back up to 320, this is going to come to 286, 283, more likely 280. Okay? So, keep those levels in mind.”

The YouTuber advises avoiding Tesla due to its unpredictable volatility, citing recent 'beef' between Elon Musk and Donald Trump as an example of external factors that can cause sharp, unexpected price swings. He states that while Tesla is a good company, its unpredictability makes it too risky for his current investment strategy.

“I'm putting Tesla in timeout. I'm putting Tesla on hold and stuff like that. Not cuz Tesla is not good, but because if you're going back and forth, it's too unpredictable.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla, noting its recent price increase of over 3.5%. He implies it's a good play for those who can afford it, and offers TSLL as an alternative for those who cannot.

“I told you if you can't get Tesla with me guys, get TSLL for me.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla after a pullback, emphasizing a 'rinse and repeat' strategy of buying low and selling high. He notes its ability to make significant moves quickly and advises against chasing it when it's already high.

“We need to see how far the pullback go and then we get in again and rinse and repeat the process. Cuz rinse and repeat mean buy it here at 270, ride it up here to 340.”

The YouTuber suggests Tesla has momentum and could reach $351 next. He advises buying on a pullback to maximize gains, indicating a short-term trading opportunity.

“Tesla woke up and went crazy today. Sitting at 339. This might go to 351 next for those of you that need to make some money with this.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if its price drops to $180, viewing it as a significant buying opportunity. He believes the company has strong future potential with robotics, FSD, and other ventures, expecting it to take off once Elon Musk focuses more on the business.

“they have earnings this week for example if they are to fall for say they come to 180 and you see it down there you might think coach they ain't coming that low trust me when I tell you guys stuff okay if they come to 180 that's a real possibility first and foremost you need to be looking like okay this is buying opportunity of a lifetime.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla for short-term gains, expecting it to continue its upward momentum from a recent surge. He believes it could reach $281, potentially $290, or even $300 if enough buyers step in, as it tries to recover recent losses.

“I wouldn't be surprised if this goes back to 281 on tomorrow. Might even go towards 290. And if enough buyers step in, we might even hit 300.”

The YouTuber notes that Tesla is making lower highs and has broken key support levels, entering a bear market. He suggests that while it will eventually bounce, the current trend is to the downside due to profit-taking and negative sentiment around Elon Musk's rhetoric. He advises respecting the current downward trend.

“for the time being guys breaking through 340 we are down here now closer to 327 328 okay and so the next significant level we can fall to guys is 315 and eventually that $269 level okay”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it drops to support levels around $415 or $400, anticipating a rebound. He also notes that a break above $440 could lead to a run to $464, and then potentially $500, especially if there's post-inauguration market euphoria.

“if they sell after tomorrow's inauguration and this is down then I want you to think about these support levels let none of it spook you out always trade with of plan and manage your risk okay that's Tesla guys know your levels change your life okay support that mean if we go down look to go down to around 415 to 400 okay but if we go up so if you was to buy it here and we go up boom you go from 428 426 to 440 if we go down you're going from 415 or 400 you getting the call there and you ride it back up to 428 430 445 460 the lower the better okay”

The YouTuber strongly recommends owning Tesla shares for long-term wealth creation, stating it can make one rich and help achieve financial goals. He advises embracing both up and down days, suggesting that the stock's consistent upward trajectory on green days allows for profit-taking, and that options can be used to profit from retracements.

“If you learn to embrace Tesla, I'm talking about the good meaning the up days and the down days, this alone one it'll make you rich, two it'll change your life, three it'll help you hit all your financial goals.”

The YouTuber bought Tesla when it was at $380, noting it's now at $412. He believes that if it breaks above $416, it will open the way for further gains to $426 and eventually $484. He emphasizes buying when the market is fearful or oversold to capture subsequent upward moves.

“I told you you guys Tesla was going back to 394 okay we way up here at 412 now okay we get above 416 boom that open the flood gates for 426 426 lead us back to 484 guys it's just like this but you got to know it you got to be on top of your game and you got to be nimble and flexible so when the pivot happen when it Market change course on you you are ready to do the same and you're not on the wrong side of the trade”

The YouTuber expects Tesla to gap up on Monday, providing specific upside targets between $412 and $430. He emphasizes that money can be made in both directions with this stock and encourages viewers to be ready to take advantage of movements.

“look for a gap up to either 412 or 4 I'm I'm going say 14 to 17 okay because they're trying to establish the range so you you guys know the low end is 365 and we got to see what the new high end or or lower high end is and we're going to look for 412 414 417 I have it up as high as 430 before I can see us being that range 430 to 365.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla calls or shares if the stock drops to the $360-$365 range. He anticipates it will find support there, potentially forming a double or triple bottom, before rebounding to $400. This is presented as a short-term trading opportunity.

“if you don't know how to do puts wait till it get to 365 355 and then buy cars cuz it's going right back up to 400”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it drops to the $410-$415 range, noting that previous drops to this level have led to significant rebounds. He believes the stock will climb back up, offering a good opportunity for a quick profit.

“if it get down here look what happened when it got down here boom 410 it shot all the way up to 445 okay that type of move will end your holiday on the right note.”

The YouTuber is bullish on Tesla, expecting it to reach $500 soon, with intermediate targets of $475 and $480 for tomorrow. He advises using pullbacks, similar to how a previous trader profited from a dip to $416, as opportunities to buy. He notes the stock is already up significantly and continues to show strength in after-hours trading.

“This one stock alone can change your life this one stock alone can make you rich one beautiful thing about Tesla when it gets to rain like this you guys it ain't too late it ain't too late you guys can make money with this matter of fact it's going to 500 next.”

The YouTuber recommends buying Tesla on a pullback to the 422 support level, citing strong momentum and higher highs. He believes it will then target 439 and potentially 445, based on technical analysis of the 5-minute chart.

“What we're looking for on Monday whether it's off a pullback whether it's off a dip to 422 if it get down there that don't change our thesis long as those numbers hold up let me know if that makes sense if our support holds up we're going to 439 let that be Target number one everybody you you play the game in levels I'm an athlete so I speak in terms of sports so it might be a hurdle for those of you that might run track okay it might be bases for those of you that play baseball okay hurdle number one right this down is 439 for next week once we get through that and only if we get through that then we look for 445 okay 445 so 439 that's Target number one that will open the door for 445”

The YouTuber is bullish on Tesla, noting its recent short and gamma squeeze. He expects it to continue its upward trend towards $450, and potentially $500, but advises caution against overstaying due to the need for a pullback.

“this play is headed to 450 next... and then 500 okay but focus on 450 for me don't over stay you're welcome cuz we still need a pull back”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it stays above $399, predicting it will reach $414. He notes that $400 is a psychological level but expects it to blast through if it gaps up over it, citing its strong performance last week from $344 to $399.

“Tesla sitting at $3.99 it's already up $10 okay if this stays above 3.99 in the morning guys this is going to 4:14 tomorrow okay”

The YouTuber is bullish on Tesla, stating it's headed to $400 next week and then $500. He mentions technical analysis as the basis for these price targets, indicating a surgical approach rather than guessing.

“I'm telling you in advance we're headed to 400 next week we're headed to 400 next and then if we happen to rip through the forest I told you the price Target was already 500 on this but hopefully you guys see what I be talking about hopefully you guys see the manifestation of these plays and the technicals that help me get to that realization of where they're going”

The YouTuber recommends buying Tesla, noting its recent breakout above the $350 level due to an intraday short squeeze. He sets short-term price targets of $364, $372, and $411, suggesting it will continue to run.

“Tesla is sitting at 35672 it broke out at the end of the day today coach was in it with 100 contract so you guys know I ate really really good.”

The YouTuber recommends buying Tesla, expecting it to reach $363-$364 this week, which would then pave the way to $400. He notes its year-to-date performance of 41% and attributes future favorable outcomes to Elon Musk's alignment with Trump, as well as advancements in FSD and robotics. He also states that as long as it stays above $311, it's going higher.

“My price Target on this one for this week guys we need to get to 363 if we can get to 363 364 it is Off to the Races.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla call options with a September 19, 2025 expiration, targeting $400. He recommends waiting for a pullback from the current $353 price and considering the $340 or $330 strike prices, noting the $330 call has a 65 Delta and a break-even of $409. He emphasizes holding through dips for a long-term gain.

“Tesla has the potential to be at $400 by the end of the year but definitely by this expiration that I'm giving you guys so 400 is my target.”

The YouTuber indicates he would buy Tesla if it experiences a 5% or greater pullback from its recent highs. He views such pullbacks as opportunities to dollar-cost average into a position, aligning with his principle of buying low.

“an example would be Tesla okay Nvidia those both have fa at least 5% so here's the thing I wouldn't buy my extreme position but I would dollar cost average and buy a decent position size”

The YouTuber advises caution with Tesla due to recent news regarding California's proposed exclusion of Tesla from EV tax credit eligibility, which caused a significant stock drop. He emphasizes that news moves the market and recommends taking profits quickly to avoid unforeseen events that can negatively impact the stock.

“I told you and I taught you guys news moves the market they pulled this hit piece out on Tesla today to drop the stock... this is why I say don't overstay your welcome you don't never know what's coming down a pipe.”

The YouTuber identifies $330-$332 as a key support level for Tesla, suggesting that buyers have historically stepped in around this price. He advises buying if the stock approaches this range, noting that if this support fails, the stock could drop to $320 due to a previous gap up.

“this is where you buy your cars at around 330 332 stuff like that is where you want to be looking for”

The YouTuber is bullish on Tesla, stating it's going to $500 long-term but focusing on short-term moves. He expects it to reach $365 later in the week, with support at $335, and emphasizes taking advantage of $10 incremental moves.

“Tesla ticker symbol TSLA sitting at$ 355 it was up $29 today guys again I told you yesterday this was going to 350 but again I don't like to I want you guys to focus on the base hits okay I want you guys to focus on the base hits ultimately this is going to 500 but you still need to account for pullbacks.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla on a pullback, with a target of $350, acknowledging its current run to $333. He advises waiting for it to establish new support levels around $312 or $321 before entering.

“350 is the next Target on this but 333 is already in play You guys got to let them establish levels cuz this been running so you got to wait for the pullback to see do it pull back to 312 do a pull back to 321”

The YouTuber is bullish on Tesla, noting its recent price momentum towards $300 and beyond. He attributes this to Elon Musk's influence and close proximity to the president, suggesting that Musk's position will benefit Tesla, especially given its lead in the EV space. He advises buying on pullbacks.

“Elon has positioned himself so well to be influential in this race as well as influential moving forward with the power and the access he'll have to the president... on any pullbacks I want you guys to pounce on this.”

The YouTuber is bullish on Tesla, expecting it to reach $294 this week and $300 next week, citing its strong performance and potential alignment with a Trump administration. He believes Tesla will benefit from its stronghold in the EV space and the political landscape.

“Don't rule out a trip to $300 okay that's the next Target we're looking for in this all right”

The YouTuber suggests selling or shorting Tesla if it breaks below the $245 support level, as this would turn $245 into resistance. The initial target for this downward move would be $240, with potential for further decline to $235.

“if we for whatever reason lose support so say if it comes down here and a candle closes down here okay support now becomes resistance okay at 245 five and if that's the case your next move then is to look for the break and retest it broke retest that's the retest and then boom down here to 240”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it bounces off the support level at $245 and clears resistance at $253, targeting a move to $255. This is based on technical analysis of the 30-minute chart, looking for a bounce or a break and retest pattern.

“if we can bounce off of 245 and we can clear this resistance level at 253 boom we got a nice move back to the upside”

The YouTuber identifies a technical pattern on the 30-minute timeframe that historically leads to a breakout. He suggests buying on pullbacks, specifically if the stock drops to $229, with an immediate price target of $250, and an ultimate target of $300.

“on any pullback trust the process when not teach you this stuff okay first and foremost but secondly guys I need you to know 250 is the next destination for Tesla that might be as early as tomorrow.”

The YouTuber identifies a technical setup on Tesla's 30-minute chart, characterized by a slight upward slant, which historically precedes a breakout. He suggests accumulating shares or call options, anticipating a significant upward move within the next 1-3 weeks, regardless of earnings. Key resistance levels are identified at $230, $234, $238, and $242, with support around $216.

“Tesla is primed for a move but guess what write this down coach said I got to be patient a move is coming we don't know when so we got to get in position and be patient.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla stock when it pulls back into the $202-$212 range. He identifies this as a key support zone, noting that buying within this range allows investors to dollar-cost average and position themselves for a potential rebound and end-of-year rally. He emphasizes building a position in this zone to capitalize on the eventual run-up.

“you want to buy at 212 to 202 you want to buy and we going to call that a zone so you guys can see that is your range to buy”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla after its recent sell-off following the 'robo tax event,' viewing it as a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' situation. He believes the stock will recover and bounce back, presenting a potential 'life-changing opportunity' for investors.

“Tesla sold off today after the robo tax event we deem these things as buy the rumor sell the news events okay don't freak out but you need to look for opportunity in it okay because what what you going to do when it recover and bounces back and goes back to where it fell from those are going to be again potential life-changing opportunities when you see it happen”

The YouTuber suggests that if Tesla misses its upward targets of $264 and $267, traders should look for a move down to $252, which would be a 'life-changing play' as a put option.

“if you miss that opportunity then you need to be looking for uh two 52 to the downside that's going to be a big that's going to be a life changing play but that's going to be a put”

The YouTuber indicates that Tesla is headed towards $264 and $267 next week, suggesting a buying opportunity if these levels are reached. He also mentions a potential downside play if these targets are missed.

“next week write this down we're headed to 264 and 267”

The YouTuber notes that Tesla has hit his previous target of $246 and even reached $249-$250. He advises letting it 'cool off' after hitting the target, implying a neutral stance for now while he identifies the next levels.

“I told you 246 everybody what number is this everybody write 249 and then write hash I don't miss down in the chat okay listen guys this is $3 above my target okay boom We shot up boom we hit my target right there pull back for the retest and then boom we took off two 49 250 this is beautiful”

The YouTuber describes a 'false breakout' technical pattern observed in Tesla's price action. He notes that the stock gapped up but was rejected at the $212.50 resistance level, indicating a short-term bearish signal. He suggests buying puts at resistance based on this pattern.

“it ran up it breached resistance temporarily this is why you got to stay disciplined but when that Wick showed up already knew that's called a rejection we not accepting that breakout and break through that's a force breakout and it it proceeded to go back down”

The YouTuber is watching Tesla, noting its pre-market gains. He believes that if Tesla can recapture the $220 level early in the week, it could be 'off to the races,' indicating a strong upward move.

“I would love to see this recapture to 20 as early as tomorrow cuz again once we clear certain levels we can be Off to the Races”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it falls further, specifically if it drops to $205 or $198. He notes its recent 8% decline and advises using these lower prices as an opportunity to accumulate shares, aligning with Tom Lee's insights on potential growth stocks.

“if they can't get above 226 again if you see 200 205 or 198 use that as your cue to go all in to buy more to get more to do your thing.”

The YouTuber identifies a 'bull flag' technical pattern on the one-hour timeframe, indicating an upward movement. He expects Tesla to gap up to $250 and then target $261, $262, and potentially $265-$268, suggesting a low-risk, high-reward play for the next day's trading.

“What pattern do you see I want you to see this right here do you see that okay you got to always identify your patterns what is that coach that is a bull flag what does that mean that mean Tesla is going up okay”

The YouTuber believes Tesla is forming a bull flag pattern and will head higher once upcoming CPI and PPI news is behind us, assuming positive outcomes. He expects it to break above $264, opening the door for targets like $274, $292, and $300, with options potentially doubling on a $10 move.

“I told you guys this was going to 300 but what did I tell you we had to get the 264 first okay we closed we're we're right there but we still got to clear that level.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla on pullbacks, specifically if it drops to $230 or $217, as he believes it will ultimately reach $300. He notes that the stock has cleared previous resistance levels and is now targeting $265 in the near term, with $300 as the ultimate target. He emphasizes that buying at lower support levels maximizes potential gains.

“Support is going to be 230 make a note of that okay we're going to have some other supports I always tell you three levels of support that I want you guys to make yourself aware of and familiar with okay but near term will be 230 all right but check this out 265 is the next big play you don't need 300 300 mean you being greedy this play is going to 264 next 264 that's more than a home run so if you need to double your money if you got got some money you can make more if you get it on a pullback if you just buy it at this price then you just make the 100% game does that make sense guys does that make sense let me know down in the comments below you need to know where plays are going and why they are going there Tesla has been pinned down for all of this year M mainly but have you noticed when Nvidia was up Tesla was down have you noticed when Tesla was up guess what was slightly down Nvidia that's called Divergence write this word down stock lingo Divergence sometimes they do it from other stocks sometimes they do it from the market one could be going this way the other could be going this way all right however what I want you guys to understand is you don't have to chase or have the fear missing out I talk you guys about bull Flags when you let the flag part develop and come down that's the pullback okay guess what that is when it hits support that's your cue to enter what did I just tell you support was at 230 so 230 would be a idea of course you can get in other areas than that but I'm talking about if you want the big play the big money win like man how how are these guys doing that we're buying it at 230 we're buying it at 227 we're buying it at 217 so then when it run guess what to 265 and then guess what 300 the win is that much much bigger okay our entries are the only reason our wins are big you can still win big from here but this causes you guys to overstay your welcome because you're trying to you're trying to get 400% but you didn't have a 400% entry all of us going to do 400% because we're buying it where at 230 217 okay and then we're taking it higher we're not tripping when the pullback come because we know it's going to 265 cuz now we cleared my level of 245 we know it's going to 300 so when you know where something is going you don't just buy High you wait for the red day you wait for the level to be tested on the downside let me know if that makes sense guys matter of fact don't worry I'm going do this again but I'm going bring the chart out and I'm going show you where these levels are at how you would do it in real time if you're using technicals and charts to assist you okay”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla shares if it breaks above $200, noting that it has already reached $211 after previously calling out levels of $197 and $200. He also mentions that good news on deliveries could push it into the $220-$230 range.

“Tesla is going to go to 196 7 200 and if it break 200 it's going to take off.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it stays above $197, targeting $200. He also mentions a potential pullback to $193 as a launching pad to $203, or a downside trade to $187-$184 if it breaks lower. The strategy focuses on short-term options trading for a 'double up' on a $10 move.

“above 197 around here I want you guys to be looking for 200”

The YouTuber is bullish on Tesla, stating that it was headed to $200 and has now reached $202. He emphasizes the importance of buying low and mastering entry points, suggesting that current levels are still good for those who missed earlier entries.

“I told you guys we were headed to 200 look at where we're sitting at at the time in this recording sitting at $283”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla when it pulls back to the $168-$150 range, anticipating a rebound to higher prices like $207 or $187. This is based on the idea of 'rinse and repeat' after it previously hit a target of $197, and the general principle of buying pullbacks in a bull market.

“when this pulls back now that it hit our Target okay it might repl we gonna rinse and repeat so next time it come down to 168 150 when I tell you man it's going to 207 it's going to 187 when I when I say that I want you guys to be lock loaded and ready to go”

The YouTuber identifies Tesla as a volatile play, currently trading in a range of $173 to $182. He advises buying if it breaks above $182, which would open the door for moves to $185 and then $189, establishing new higher ranges. Conversely, losing $173 would lead to lower levels.

“if you rock with me at 173 we buy cost to take it up to 177 180 182 okay if it gets to 180 182 and it doesn't go higher then we are assuming it's going to come back down to those levels.”

The YouTuber identifies a trading range for Tesla between $173 and $182, with potential upside to $185 and $192 if it breaks above $182. He advises trading within this range, taking advantage of both upward and downward movements.

“if we can get through 182 man we got a nice move to 185 and 185 opens the door for 192.”

The YouTuber identifies Tesla as a volatile stock offering opportunities in both directions. He notes its recent movement from $173 to $186 and back, predicting a climb back to $180. He emphasizes that breaking above $182 could open the door for further upside, citing his previous accurate calls on its price movements.

“they're going to be looking to go back to 180 that's going to be the next Target and then recapturing this high of 182 opens the door for us to get back to the upside.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla shares if they retest the $178 or $173 support levels, as these have proven to be strong bounce points. He anticipates a move towards $180, then $185, and potentially up to $192 if key resistance levels are cleared, citing bullish momentum and technical analysis of support and resistance.

“We talked about 178 we talked about 173 those were two areas to build your position now at this is why you also want to make sure you're not loading in too heavy at the higher Target 178 because those of us that got in at 173 we're up big just sitting right here”

The YouTuber recommends buying Tesla if it pulls back to the 178.33 or 173 levels, which he identifies as support zones after a breakout. He believes that as long as the stock stays above 173, it will remain bullish and is targeting a move to 192, with potential for 196 and 200.

“Tesla is going to fall to 178 as long as this is above 17833 I want you to remain bullish so guess what at 178 we buying a car as a family.”

The analyst suggests watching Tesla for a retest of $179 if market conditions are favorable. If not, he advises looking for support at $175 or $171, implying a buy at these lower levels.

“look for this to retest 179 tomorrow if all goes well okay if it don't go well tomorrow I need you guys to be looking for 175 okay then 171”

The YouTuber predicts a short-term downside move for Tesla (TSLA) based on technical analysis, specifically a breakdown through support on the 15-minute timeframe, a bearish crossover, and a triple top pattern. He expects the stock to fall to $174, potentially retesting $179-$180 as resistance before the drop. He advises a quick trade to capture this move, warning against holding past the $174 target due to potential reversal.

“Our Target for tomorrow is 174 okay and I want you guys to keep it simple all right get in anywhere from 177 176 okay or if it's higher 178 179 that's the highest andless they Gap up and it goes the opposite direction I want you guys to look for a nice quick play to the downside.”

The YouTuber identifies upside targets for Tesla at $174 and $178, suggesting a potential move higher despite recent 'bad earnings' that led to a pop. They also caution about a potential pullback if Jerome Powell's speech negatively impacts the market, which could be an opportunity to fill a gap from $144.

“if that don't happen guys we going to the upside I want you to look for targets like 174 and 178”

The YouTuber suggests that Tesla's upcoming earnings are expected to be poor, potentially driving the stock below $140. He views this as a long-term buying opportunity, anticipating a rebound in the following year.

“If this earnings is horrible which we're expecting to be this could be the death blow that takes it down to below 140.”

The YouTuber believes Tesla is currently being intentionally driven down by media sentiment, creating a 'rug pull' scenario. He suggests that once this period of negative news and selling subsides, the stock will experience a significant rebound due to being oversold, presenting a buying opportunity for those who are patient and average into their positions.

“Tesla prepare for the rug pull okay look at them it's down 13% nearly on the week currently sitting at 1491 it got crushed today they're trying to crush Tesla... but once this is over with guys it gets brighter on the other side we got Clear Blue Skies on the other side and so again we're going to have that rocket ship take off because you can only price in so much bad news before you get a oversold bounce.”

The YouTuber recommends buying Tesla if it drops to $158 or below, noting it's currently in correction territory (down over 20% in 3 months). He anticipates upside due to it being oversold and expects earnings to be a catalyst within the next 3-6 months, aiming for a return to $200.

“I currently have this at $158 this isn't my true level I would want it at I would want to get it at or below 158.”

The YouTuber identifies $160 as a buy zone for Tesla, but states he wants to accumulate shares and calls at $150 or below, or when it shows signs of bottoming out. He believes this level represents a significant opportunity for a 'home run' play, expecting a rebound to $170-$190. He plans to use a two-pronged approach, buying shares and then August 170 calls for quicker returns.

“I want this at 150 or below because this is going to be a huge home run”

The YouTuber advises accumulating Tesla shares, particularly if the price drops to the $160 range, viewing the recent 12-30% decline as a buying opportunity. He suggests dollar-cost averaging during this period of 'blood in the streets' and anticipates a significant rebound within 3 to 6 months, potentially reaching or exceeding $213.

“I've been backing up the Brinks trucks while this has been in the $160 range whenever I can get that level that's my cue to go heavy.”

The YouTuber advises keeping Tesla on the radar for a potential short-term trade. He suggests that if the stock can clear the $180-$183 resistance level, it could retest $194 and potentially reach $200, showing signs of life after a recent climb.

“Keep this one on your radar if they can clear 180 183 it opens the door for them to try to retest that 194 level and that again opens the door for 200.”

The YouTuber is looking to buy Tesla shares if the price drops to $150 or below. He believes that buying at a lower price will maximize his profit when the stock eventually runs up, and he is prepared to dollar-cost average if it continues to fall. He notes the stock is currently range-bound and consolidating.

“Coach said he looking for 150 and Below okay so that you guys understand I'm not tripping about if this goes down I'm looking to buy this lower because I know the eventual runout will happen”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla on pullbacks, specifically if it drops to levels like $168 or $163, as he believes the stock is set for an overall upward trend. He notes that it recently cleared resistance at $172 and could reach $180, $183, and potentially $200 if it sustains momentum.

“I'm telling you the upside Target so that you know that that's a good buy Zone does that make sense guys you need to buy on pullbacks or and or at support if you can do that your win is bigger your profit is bigger okay you can hold a little long longer cuz you're not buying at the top hoping it go higher no we're buying on a pullback and we're trusting the process”

The YouTuber has been consistently buying Tesla shares, noting that recent 6-8% daily gains significantly boost wealth. He emphasizes that Tesla has been a laggard compared to other tech stocks like Meta and Nvidia, suggesting it has room to run. He also advocates for dollar-cost averaging, especially when stocks are low, to capitalize on potential rebounds.

“I told you I've been buying Tesla buying Tesla buying Tesla and this is why I tell you guys when you do the work and then you get a 6% 8% day man um your your wealth jumps up crazy your money jumps up crazy your account size jumps up crazy okay”

The YouTuber recommends buying Tesla on any weakness, viewing its recent downturn as a buying opportunity. He emphasizes dollar-cost averaging into the stock when it's at lows, expecting it to eventually reverse and move higher.

“beating down stocks are buying opportunities understand one thing about the 1% we buy assets when they're low.”

The YouTuber plans to buy Tesla shares if the price drops to specific levels, such as $155 or $144, viewing the current downtrend as an opportunity to accumulate at a low price. He believes Tesla will eventually rebound to $300, citing Warren Buffett's advice to be greedy when others are fearful. He also mentions using options profits to fund these stock purchases.

“I told you it was coming to 167 the next buy Zone will be 155 and 144 and hopefully we don't even see those levels and it reverses and start going back to the upside making its way back to the 190s and eventually 200s.”

The YouTuber is buying Tesla shares as it approaches or falls below $167, viewing any further dips as an opportunity to accumulate more cheaply. He believes the stock will rebound significantly over the next 1-3 months and 1-3 years, especially once interest rates are cut, which will alleviate pressure on car prices and boost the company's performance.

“I told you at 167 the Brinks truck will get backed up and if it go even lower we going to steady be backing the Brinks truck up guys because this is the work I'm talking about.”

The YouTuber is buying Tesla aggressively due to its recent price drop, viewing the current levels around $175 as an accumulation opportunity. He identifies key support levels at $173-$175 and a deeper level at $161, suggesting a potential bounce back to $180-$200 for a quick return.

“I'm not tripping I'm loving the fact that I can accumulate shares I'll continue to watch this one and I'll break this one down I might do a leap call option or a long dat call option for you guys to show you if you want to make money in this and double your money in a short amount of time even though a leap is one year rout I'm not holding this to one year R I might get it at 160 take it back to one 180 200 boom easy 100% return just like this okay understand the power of options okay you can change your life in a matter of minutes when you know what you're doing okay”

The YouTuber is buying Tesla because it is significantly down compared to other household names, presenting a deal. He believes it will recover within 3 to 9 months and is accumulating shares through dollar-cost averaging.

“I bought Tesla okay number one that's the one I'm going the heaviest in they're down the most out of all the household name and Quality Companies they're down the most so you know I don't buy High you know I don't chase and I'm always looking for a deal”

The YouTuber bought Tesla in the $180s and saw a pop to $204. He suggests buying if it breaks above the $204.60 resistance level, targeting $207 and potentially $211, citing a cup and handle technical pattern.

“if we break 204 I want you guys to be looking for 207 and I won't go farther than that but 211 is on the list as well but 207 will be a gap field area I'll be looking for if we can get above this resistance at 20460”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it breaks above the critical resistance level of $197, which would open the door for a move to $207. He notes that if it fails to break this level, it could retrace to $187.

“If it can get to 197 that will be huge okay you need to know that write this level down 197 is a critical level if we can get through it then boom that opens the door for 207 if we can't get through it then that lets you know that that heavy resistance at 197 is keeping us in this range okay so you can look to come back down to 187 if we can get above it though that's a good thing keep your eye out on this one because I'm hoping we are able to get through and that will be huge to get this one finally moving back to the upside”

The YouTuber recommends buying Tesla, advocating for a dollar-cost averaging strategy. He includes Tesla in a list of 'quality Blue Chip companies' that he has been consistently buying, suggesting a belief in its long-term value and growth potential.

“buying Meta, buying Google, buying Apple, buying Microsoft, buying Tesla, buying Nvidia, buying AMD.”

The YouTuber plans to buy Tesla heavily, despite acknowledging it's in a downtrend. He expects a 'dead cat bounce' to $197 from its current $192.39, before it potentially drops further to $185, $180, or $167, and sees an opportunity to profit from the bounce.

“Tesla ticker symo TSLA sitting at 19239 I told you guys over the weekend I was going to be buying this one look these are the levels for Tesla they're going to definitely go down lower okay and I'm going to buy I'm going to be the one coming in buying it to make it go back up okay I'm buying this as heavy cuz it's going to go crazy right now look for this to go back to 197 before it come back down to 185 180 167.”

The YouTuber plans to dollar-cost average into Tesla, particularly if the stock falls below $200, citing the recent earnings miss as a buying opportunity. He believes 2024 will be a down year for Tesla in the first half, but expects a recovery in the latter half of the year and into 2025, making current lower prices attractive for long-term investors.

“195 would be a Zone write these numbers down for me guys 185 167 135 115 if I see any of those levels I'm getting excited I'm not panicking I'm not fretting I'm not flipping out I'm getting excited because those are levels I'll be looking to get in knowing what's going to come on the back end.”

The YouTuber plans to buy Tesla shares when the price drops to around $160 or below, potentially as low as $140 or $127. He believes the stock is currently in a downtrend due to an earnings miss but expects it to rebound significantly to targets of $230, $260, and $300 in the long term. He will temporarily park funds in dividend stocks until Tesla reaches his target entry price.

“I want to buy this around 160 140 and then I'm going to put the 20,000 in this and do the same thing because this is going to go back to the upside remember it's going to go to 230 260 300 those are the targets for this.”

The YouTuber advises buying Tesla (TSLA) for a long-term position if its price drops below $160, following its recent earnings miss and subsequent price decline. He identifies key support levels at $195, $185, and $167, suggesting that a move below $160 would present a strong entry point for long-term accumulation.

“under 160 would be your entry I'll make a video on that okay cuz I'm going to buy it down there as well under 160 if it gets down there”

The YouTuber suggests profiting from Tesla's (TSLA) short-term downside by buying puts, given its recent earnings miss and expected drop to support levels like $195, $185, and $167. He states he will make money on the downside, similar to his strategy with SQQQ and Exxon, to hedge his long-term holdings.

“I'm going make a 100,000 to the downside if it go to 195 18567 just like I'm showing you what to do with sqqq”

The YouTuber has a $200 price target for Tesla and would like to see that level hold and bounce back to the upside, expecting a significant gain. However, if it breaks below $200, his game plan is to target $167.

“I have a $200 price Target I'm looking for if it hold at 200 I would love to see that level hold and bounce back to the upside.”

The YouTuber believes Tesla is poised for an explosive move if it breaks through its long-standing resistance level of $257-$258. He suggests that the stock has been consolidating in a range and a breakout could lead to significant upside, potentially reaching $290 or even $300 due to the pent-up energy from being 'wound up' at this resistance.

“when we break 257 and 258 we going to hit 260 and then guys don't be surprised if we go from 260 to 293 00 that's how explosive this is going to be just because of how long we've been kind of wound up at this resistance level”

The YouTuber notes Tesla's significant gains in the past year and anticipates it will recapture its $300 high. He advises waiting for a pullback before considering an entry.

“Looking forward to recapture that level once we get through this period that we're going through and so guys again like what all these I presented so far please let them pull back before you consider jumping in.”

The YouTuber maintains a bullish stance on Tesla, stating it is headed higher after hitting a previous target of $258. He identifies $260 as the next immediate target, followed by $280, based on technical levels and resistance points. He advises caution for pullbacks but expects continued upward movement.

“Tesla up 2% today $5 if you will again preparing for 260 okay and then we'll just keep it at that for now yeah it's going higher than that but I like to teach you guys about these hurdles and how the stock market actually go and more importantly it keeps you guys grounded okay so two 60 is our next Target but 258 Target was hit”

The YouTuber notes Tesla's recent drop and potential triple bottom or inverse head and shoulders pattern. He suggests that if it can reclaim $240, it opens the door for further upside to $244, $245, and potentially $260, viewing these as 'hurdles' to overcome.

“we need to see this get back up and get back to 240 that opens the door for 244 245 and if we can get through that rocket ship right to 260”

The YouTuber identifies a buy zone for Tesla between $232 and $234.19, based on a support level at $234.19. He advises buying if the stock drops to this range and placing a stop loss just below it, emphasizing patience for the setup.

“Support is going to be down here at 23419 guess what guys that range that area is our buy zone so because it's Tesla and it's going to be a little more volatile 234 to 232 is what I want you guys to be looking for.”

The YouTuber believes Tesla is poised for another breakout, potentially this week, or next week if the holiday shortens the current week's movement. He suggests any pullback should be seen as an opportunity to buy, with targets of $236, $240, and $246.

“I do believe it's about to break out again this particular week and if they don't let it fully break out it might just be a half breakout that will be only because it's a short holiday Thanksgiving weekend... on any pullback let that be your indicator that that's your opportunity to get in.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it pulls back to the $205 level again, anticipating a stronger rebound. He believes a break above this level, potentially aided by Nvidia's performance, could lead it back to the $220-$230 range.

“I wouldn't be surprised if they bring us back down to 205 next week one more time but when we break through it this time we should have more days we should have Nvidia blowing the door wide open at 500 which will help this get up and back up to that 220 range once we get back in range we can then set our sights on at 230 Target.”

The YouTuber identifies a double bottom around $217-$218 for Tesla, suggesting it as a buy point for a short-term trade. He advises riding it up to $220-$222, taking profits due to heavy resistance at $220, $224, and $226, with a target of $230.

“This is around 28 217 and then you were able to ride this up to 220 221 222 okay get in get out don't over stay you're welcome okay they're taking the scenic route to the ultimate goal but we got a a little bit of turbulence along the way okay we got heavy resistance at 220 we got heavy resistance at 224 heavy resistance at 226 and then our Target is 230”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it pulls back to the 204.80, 203, or even the 196-193 support levels, viewing these as healthy pullbacks before a significant upward move. He notes that if it breaks above $208, it could target $218-$220.

“if we can get above 208 on tomorrow guys I want you guys to start looking for 28 220 okay that's how powerful of a move we may have but let the re be patient let the retest happen let it pull back look this is where it's going to pull back to just so you guys know the top of a breakout so 20480 is a level and a range this one here 203 so if we don't go back to the 196 level 193 198 those levels are where you can anticipate the pullback to be to that's called a healthy pullback meaning we're preparing for takeoff all right understand that about how stocks Blast Off”

The YouTuber indicates that Tesla is entering attractive levels for a potential buy, specifically if it drops to $200 or into the $190s. He believes a reversal is coming soon, possibly in November, and advises preparing for this opportunity.

“Tesla is entering a level not right here but 200 and if you see the 190s it's going to get my attention in terms of okay now it might be time to buy it and take it back to the upside”

The YouTuber anticipates a short-term trading opportunity in Tesla. They identify $255 as a heavy resistance level, expecting a rejection and a subsequent drop of $3 or more if it reaches that point. Conversely, if the stock breaks below $250, it is expected to fall to $245. The analysis is based on observed resistance and support levels.

“255 is resistance so yep it's going to run up there and touch it but soon as it touch it it's going to come back down to it $3 or more okay $10 is not out the range”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it breaks above the $255 resistance level, which would signal a breakout from its current range. He identifies an inverse head and shoulders pattern and believes clearing this resistance could lead to targets of $260, $265, and potentially $290-$300 by year-end. He emphasizes patience until these levels are cleared.

“if we can get through 253 and 255 guys boom Tesla is Off to the Races and the target would be 260”

The YouTuber identifies $266 as a key support level for Tesla. He suggests buying a call option at this support level and riding it up to $278-$279, with a potential move to $290 if it breaks resistance.

“266 that's a 10 12 move all right see these things whether you're on a Candlestick chart or a line chart okay I just wanted to point that out for you.”

The YouTuber identifies Tesla as having strong upward momentum, having already hit a target of $270 and based at $272. He projects further upside to $275 and then $280, advising traders to take profits at these levels due to the risk of a pullback to fill gaps.

“Target to the upside tomorrow from here check it out 275 and if we clear 275 it's going to 280”

The YouTuber identifies Tesla at a key support level of $245, noting potential for either a breakdown to $237-$235 or a bounce towards $252-$258. He advises watching price action closely to determine the next move.

“This one is sitting at a 245 level support okay and this one is at a key spot because from here it could either break down and go down further.”

The YouTuber warns that Tesla is at a critical support level of $245.54. If this level is lost, the stock could fall further to $237. He advises caution, noting that September is historically a down month and that Tesla's recent downward trend could lead other tech stocks to follow. He suggests waiting for a clear bounce with volume before considering a long position.

“if we lose this level which we broke through temporarily 243 look at that we touched 243 but then we bounced back up to 245 245 that just support but if we lose 245 guys of course we can test two for degree again but we're coming down much lower than that near term 237.”

The YouTuber notes that Tesla was rejected at the $260 resistance level and has since fallen to $244. He suggests that if the current support level on the 30-minute chart is lost, the stock could drop further to $240 or $239.

“Tesla got smacked back down now we're just down here at 2 44. it is sitting at a support level on the 30 minute chart do a quick homework assignment for me check your 30 minute chart check your levels on that and you'll see that it's hanging out at a support level if we lose that guys we might be opening the door for 240 and that 239 level again”

The YouTuber suggests looking for a retest of the $260 resistance level for Tesla. The stock previously hit this level but was rejected, and he expects it to attempt to break through again, with support identified at $255 and $251.

“again look for a retest of 260 to the upside on tomorrow and then you now know you got support down here at 251 at 2 55 okay 255 is your first level support 251 underneath that you know your levels change your life okay”

The YouTuber suggests avoiding Tesla if it breaks below the $230 level, as it has already filled a gap at $233.61. He anticipates a further move down to the $221 level, which would align with the 200-day support and fill another gap.

“if we clear the 230 level out completely okay so right now we filled that Gap successfully hopefully around here if you are in the Discord you were able to take the Intel that was given and make a killing okay simple and plain but now that that has been achieved and if we continue this downward movement or if we get a dead cap bounce just know the next level is that 221 level because not only will it take us to the 200-day support but it will also close and fill another gap on the downside okay”

The YouTuber suggests selling Tesla (or buying puts) when it reaches resistance levels, specifically around $240. He observes a 'three-test rule' for resistance and expects rejection at this level, offering a short-term trading opportunity to profit from the downside.

“Some of you at resistance can buy a put to write it down”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla when it hits support levels, specifically around $237-$238, after a potential rejection at the $240 resistance. He notes that the stock often bounces off these support levels after filling gaps, presenting a short-term trading opportunity.

“Some of you can at support you can buy a car to write it up”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it breaks above the $268 resistance level, which he identified as a key battleground. He notes that the stock has been rejected at this level previously and is currently finding support at $266. A move above $268 is expected to lead to further upside towards $270 and $275.

“The key for us to get back higher is to get two and through 268.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Tesla if it pulls back to the 270-275 support level, especially after earnings, as it is in an uptrend and pullbacks offer entry points. He anticipates a rebound to the $300 level and potentially $308 if earnings are positive.

“I want you guys to be looking for this 275 level as a potential level of support in terms of where this could come down to. I don't see it coming back down further than that so that means you guys have an ample opportunity to buy at support and ride this baby back up.”

The analyst advises selling Tesla, stating that its fundamentals have not lived up to expectations. He points to a P/E over 300, stagnant or falling sales, declining margins due to competitive pressure, and a lagging position in full autonomy compared to competitors. He also suggests that Elon Musk's focus may shift to SpaceX, potentially diverting attention and capital from Tesla.

“The reality for Tesla is their sales are stagnant or actually falling slightly as they sell fewer vehicles in the US and around the world. and their margins are coming down.”

The YouTuber suggests Tesla faces potential headwinds, particularly regarding regulatory credits, which have historically been a significant revenue source for the company but are now becoming a cost for traditional OEMs like GM. He contrasts Tesla's high valuation (15 times sales) with GM's more reasonable valuation, implying Tesla is overvalued compared to its operational performance and market position.

“GM is just absolutely hitting on all cylinders. Something that investors should keep in mind when a stock like GM is out of the headlines in a company like Tesla, which doesn't trade for one-time sales like GM does, it trades for 15 time sales, is far more expensive.”

The YouTuber argues that Tesla will not be a leader in autonomy, contrary to popular belief. He states that Tesla is not ahead of the competition in robotaxis, which are still geofenced and require safety drivers, while other companies are bringing integrated autonomous vehicles to market sooner. He believes the autonomy market will be modular, not winner-take-all, and Tesla's current approach is not positioned for leadership.

“Tesla is not a leader in autonomy. They are not a leading auto manufacturer. They're not a leading ride hailing company. There is nothing to tell us that Tesla is going to lead in autonomy in the future.”

The YouTuber argues that Tesla faces significant headwinds, including declining sales, worsening margins, and the expiration of tax credits, which will negatively impact its economics into 2026. He notes that Tesla's operating margin is now worse than traditional automakers and that the demand for EVs is not as strong as anticipated, especially without government subsidies.

“Tesla and Rivian got a lot of headwinds over the next couple years.”

The analyst advises avoiding Tesla due to its extremely high valuation (223x forward P/E) which assumes it has already won the autonomous driving market, a claim not yet proven. Concerns are raised about the scalability and safety of Tesla's autonomous technology, as well as potential declines in EV sales profitability in 2026 due to falling subsidies.

“Tesla is trading as if they have already won this market. $1.5 trillion market cap, priced earnings multiple even on a forward basis 223. That is just a crazy valuation for a company that's not even proven that it can actually do full autonomy yet today.”

The analyst recommends selling Tesla, arguing its $1.3 trillion valuation is not supported by its declining gross and operating margins, which now resemble a traditional automaker. Revenue peaked nearly two years ago, and the company's claims in robotics and autonomous driving are not backed by current performance, with its FSD capabilities lagging competitors and requiring safety drivers.

“Tesla's margins look exactly like an automaker today. This is not a technology company. This is a manufacturing company. And you can see that demand for their vehicles is not particularly strong.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla stock due to declining unit sales and margins, exacerbated by the loss of the $7,500 tax credit which previously boosted profitability. He argues that Tesla's operating margins are similar to other automakers, not tech companies, and that the company faces significant headwinds from increased competition and the slow progress of FSD and robo-taxis. The stock's recent surge is not supported by operational improvements.

“I think things could continue to go south for Tesla because that $7,500 tax credit was a real benefit for consumers. It was a boon for the company's margins. That's going to be going away and not and most other automakers don't have the same headwind to their business.”

The analyst strongly advises avoiding Tesla, arguing that its AI story is not driving the business, as evidenced by the disbandment of its Dojo team. Revenue is in decline, and future headwinds like the disappearance of regulatory credits and tax credits are expected to worsen its financial performance. The stock's trillion-dollar valuation and nearly 200x P/E are unsustainable for an automaker with deteriorating fundamentals.

“This is a stock that I would absolutely stay away from.”

The analyst suggests investors consider selling Tesla stock due to declining sales, building inventory, the impending loss of the $7,500 EV tax credit, and potential elimination of zero-emission vehicle credits which have significantly boosted profitability. He argues that Tesla is no longer a growth company, its core auto business is declining, and future ventures like robo-taxis and energy storage face significant headwinds and increased competition. The stock's valuation does not reflect these operational challenges.

“If you're an investor in Tesla, you got to consider what does the future look like? And I think the future is looking bleeer and bleeer by the day. But let me know your thoughts in the comments section below. Don't forget to subscribe to Asmetric Investing. Thanks for watching everybody. See you next time.”

The YouTuber previously shorted Tesla for a significant gain and is considering doing so again in the second half of the year. This is part of a broader strategy to short overvalued, speculative stocks if the market shifts away from speculation towards fundamentals, especially if the economy weakens.

“I did a special situation, as I called it, earlier this year when I actually shorted Tesla stock. And that position actually gained 260% in just a couple of months. So, it was a really nice hedge for the portfolio. And that's something I'm considering doing again in the second half of the year.”

The YouTuber is avoiding Tesla, specifically regarding its autonomous driving claims. He points to poor performance of their vehicles in geofenced areas, such as driving over curbs and sudden braking, suggesting they are far from rolling out to millions of vehicles as promised.

“Tesla, yes, they have a few vehicles driving around Austin. But if you look around, you can find plenty of examples of those vehicles, even in a very small geoenced area, performing very poorly, driving over curbs, sudden breaking.”

The YouTuber advises avoiding Tesla due to its significant reliance on subsidies for its energy storage and electric vehicle segments. The potential phase-out of energy storage subsidies and the $7,500 EV tax credit would directly impact Tesla's financials, reducing revenue and profitability, despite its past growth in these areas.

“If any of those subsidies go away, that's going to impact Tesla's financials.”

The analyst strongly recommends avoiding Tesla, highlighting its shrinking revenue and rapidly declining net income, with potential for negative earnings. He points to a significant drop in vehicle deliveries, decreasing price per vehicle, and a two-thirds reduction in gross profit per vehicle. Furthermore, he notes that Tesla's energy segment faces tariff threats and subsidy reductions, and its FSD/robotaxi ambitions lag far behind competitors like Alphabet's Waymo.

“I just think Tesla's in a very very weak position. They are relying on FSD and robo taxis becoming a huge business. But guess who's leading that business? Alphabet and Whimo doing about 250,000 rides per week.”

The analyst argues that Tesla's sales are rapidly declining in Europe, even as the overall EV market grows, indicating a loss of market share and pricing power. He highlights deteriorating operating margins, reliance on regulatory credits that may disappear, and increasing competition from other automakers. The current valuation of $1.1 trillion is seen as excessive given these challenges and the speculative nature of future products like robo-taxis and Optimus robots.

“It's very clear that their brand has taken a major hit since Elon Musk got involved in politics and in the government. That's just something that we can't overlook as investors.”

Travis Hoium suggests avoiding Tesla due to the potential elimination of the $7,500 EV tax credit and regulatory credits. He calculates these credits contribute about $9,000 per vehicle, and their removal would effectively increase prices in a demand-sensitive market where Tesla is already cutting prices and seeing falling sales and margins. Without these credits, Tesla would have been unprofitable in the last quarter.

“This could have a dramatic impact on Tesla's business. Potentially mean that they're going to lose money on every vehicle that they sell because again, they are in a price sensitive market.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla as a play on autonomous vehicles, arguing that other companies are much further along in deploying fully autonomous vehicles and meeting regulatory requirements. Tesla has not demonstrated significant miles in key operational areas compared to competitors.

“So if you're looking at autonomous vehicles maybe Tesla isn't the right way to play it.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to its deteriorating auto business fundamentals, including declining revenue, margins, and market share, coupled with increased competition. He argues that the company's current valuation relies heavily on unproven future products like robo-taxis and Optimus robots, while the core manufacturing business is struggling and would be unprofitable without regulatory credits. Additionally, potential tariffs on Chinese LFP battery cells could significantly impact the energy segment, which is currently the only bright spot.

“The market's still putting a lot of value on products that don't yet exist. But I think ultimately Tesla has proven that it's not the leading automaker or manufacturer that we thought it was a few years ago.”

The YouTuber closed a profitable short position on Tesla, but still believes there is significant downside risk. He argues that Tesla's structure is fundamentally flawed due to over-reliance on Elon Musk, leading to product stagnation. Valuation remains high compared to traditional automakers, and the company is losing market share. Furthermore, he believes FSD is not as advanced as claimed, and the energy business's profitability is heavily reliant on subsidies that may diminish.

“All of this said, I could have been wrong. And the reason that I started this trade as a put option is because if I was wrong, the most that I could lose was $500. But the upside was significantly more than that.”

The analyst believes Tesla is extremely overvalued, trading at 9 times sales and 122 times earnings, significantly higher than typical automakers. He points to slowing revenue growth in the auto business and anticipated poor Q1 2025 delivery numbers as reasons for a potential significant downside.

“Tesla, I think extremely overvalued. If you look at how most auto companies, and this is an auto company trade today, they trade at a price to earnings multiple of about six.”

The YouTuber suggests that prediction markets for Tesla's quarterly deliveries indicate a significant miss compared to analyst estimates. While analysts expect over 400,000 units, prediction markets are closer to 340,000. This discrepancy, combined with struggles in Europe and China, implies a negative market reaction when official numbers are released in early April, suggesting investors should be cautious.

“If you have read any of the news out there about Tesla, you know that they are really struggling in Europe and China. Don't have any official numbers out of the US yet, but seems like not going to be a great year here either.”

Travis Hoium argues that Tesla's stock could fall significantly further due to deteriorating operations, declining sales, and unsustainable valuations compared to traditional automakers. He highlights that Tesla's margins are now near industry average, growth is slowing (even negative in auto business), and the stock trades at extremely high price-to-sales and price-to-earnings multiples that are not justified by its fundamentals or future prospects, especially given competition in FSD and robotics.

“Tesla's stock could fall 90% and it would still be more than twice as valuable on a price to sales multiple perspective than both Ford and General Motors.”

The analyst argues that Tesla is fundamentally overvalued and its operational performance is deteriorating rapidly. He points to declining market share, stagnant production, falling margins, and a high price-to-sales multiple compared to competitors, despite generating less free cash flow. He believes the company is no longer a growth company and its brand is deteriorating, suggesting the stock could fall significantly further.

“All of this is pointing to the fact that Tesla is extremely overvalued and its operations are getting worse at a really rapid rate.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to significant sales declines in China and Europe, which were previously growth areas. He highlights deteriorating margins, declining production, and the potential loss of regulatory credits and subsidies as major financial headwinds. The company's inability to increase demand despite price cuts further exacerbates the situation, indicating a fundamental challenge to its business model as an automaker.

“if these Trends continue it looks like the first quarter and potentially all of 2025 is going to be really bad for the company and there's a bunch of work that investors are going to have to think about”

The analyst argues that Tesla stock is overvalued compared to traditional automakers, trading at significantly higher multiples despite declining automotive sales, falling margins, and increasing competition in the EV market. He also expresses skepticism about the near-term viability of FSD and Optimus, citing safety concerns and strong competition in robotics, which he believes will hinder the company's future growth prospects.

“Put all of these things together in the fact that Tesla is trading for between 10 and 40 times what competing auto companies are trading for and I think you're getting that recipe for a stock that can continue to decline.”

The analyst argues that Tesla's business is in structural decline, with vehicle sales falling in key markets like the US and Europe, and margins shrinking to industry average. He highlights the company's high valuation (12.4x price-to-sales) compared to traditional automakers (0.3x) and believes the stock has a long way to fall as business fundamentals eventually catch up to the valuation. The FSD narrative is also questioned due to lack of progress and shrinking fleet size.

“I just think Tesla's business is going to be declining throughout 2025 just as it's been declining since the end of 2022 will that matter for the stock very possible that it won't but I still continue to think that eventually a stocks valuation is more about what the business is actually doing and if that's the case Tesla potentially has a long way to fall.”

The YouTuber advises avoiding Tesla due to significant risks in the EV sector, including slowing growth, increasing competition from traditional automakers, potential loss of government subsidies, and shrinking profit margins. He highlights Tesla's high valuation compared to competitors and the growing threat from Chinese EV manufacturers, which could further erode its market share and profitability.

“Tesla is trading for 13 times sales when its Legacy automaker competitors are trading for about .3 times sales.”

The analyst argues that Tesla's valuation is not supported by its traditional auto business and its FSD technology is not demonstrating exponential improvement across all metrics, particularly city driving. He notes that other automakers are developing their own autonomous driving solutions, and there's no evidence of other companies licensing Tesla's FSD, undermining a key investment thesis.

“I think investors are just paying for a lot of potential that doesn't actually exist and may never exist and that's really problematic.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to its high valuation, which he believes already prices in its autonomy story, unlike other automakers. He also notes that Tesla is no longer a growth company and that its AI story may become less compelling in 2025 as Nvidia makes similar capabilities available to other manufacturers, potentially hurting Tesla's competitive edge.

“Tesla is the only company that has a valuation where that autonomy is actually priced in that's I think the worry for investors”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to declining vehicle deliveries and free cash flow, indicating it's no longer a growth company in the automotive sector. Despite its pivot towards AI and robotics, cars still dominate its business, and legacy automakers are gaining market share in EVs, making the competitive landscape challenging for Tesla.

“Tesla sales declining and you can see these year-to-date numbers here on the right Tesla sales are declining Total Electric Vehicle sales Ford was up 34.5% so the big story here is that the EV Market is growing not growing as much as we maybe thought it was a couple of years ago but the EV focused companies rivan and Tesla in particular but could lump Lucid into this as well they're not doing particularly well they're not gaining a lot of market share in fact they're losing market share in 2024 and the companies that are gaining market share is the Legacy manufacturers like General Motors and like Ford”

The YouTuber suggests avoiding Tesla due to the increasing competition in autonomous driving. If other OEMs achieve Level 4 or Level 5 autonomy before Tesla, it could significantly undermine the potential value creation from Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, as autonomy would no longer be a unique differentiator.

“If they get there before Tesla I think that would be really devastating to the potential value creation that FSD has for Tesla”

The analyst argues that if the $7,500 EV tax credit is repealed, it would be devastating for Tesla. He explains that Tesla is highly reliant on these subsidies, which significantly impact its pricing, cash flow, and profitability. The removal of the credit would make Tesla's vehicles less competitive and could severely reduce its cash flow per vehicle, especially given its high capital expenditures on AI development.

“if that $7,500 goes away it's going to have a huge impact on Tesla's income statement and profitability”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to its high valuation (60x earnings) compared to slower-growing auto business. While energy storage and services show growth, the core auto segment is weak with declining revenue per vehicle and potential future margin pressure from price reductions and a new low-cost vehicle. There are also concerns about the sustainability and transparency of regulatory credits and IRA subsidies contributing to energy storage margins.

“definitely not a stock that I'm interested in at the current price you can get a company that's growing faster like General Motors at five times earnings whereas Tesla at least prior to these results were trading for 60 times earning so much much more expensive”

Travis Hoium argues that Tesla's Cybertruck is a flop, indicating a significant demand problem for the company's newest product. This, combined with declining margins, revenue, and increasing capital expenditures for AI infrastructure, suggests a deteriorating business model. He believes the stock's valuation is still too high compared to auto industry competitors, making it an asset to avoid.

“I think the fact that the Cyber truck is pretty clearly a flop is much worse news than investors are en counting for”

The YouTuber argues that Tesla's vision-only autonomous driving strategy, while aiming for a cheaper vehicle, incurs massive and unproven AI infrastructure costs. He believes the technology is not yet safe enough for full autonomy and the path to regulatory approval is uncertain, making it a high-risk investment compared to competitors with proven hardware-based solutions.

“much much higher risk to take Tesla's business model which yes has a lower cost vehicle but has a ton of infrastructure cost behind that and has not yet proven to be safe enough to get regulatory approval to actually be on the roads”

The YouTuber argues that Tesla's robotaxi concept is far from deployment, with testing and regulatory approvals still years away. He contrasts this with companies like Waymo and Cruise, which already have operational and scaling robotaxi fleets, suggesting that Tesla's claims are premature and that other companies offer more immediate investment opportunities in the space.

“The common narrative is that Tesla's robotaxi is going to be the first robotaxi on the road, but that's not the case at all.”

The YouTuber argues that Tesla's focus on future, uncertain products like robo-taxis and Optimus robots, while neglecting its core automotive business, makes it a risky investment. He highlights declining revenue, shrinking margins, and intense competition in the EV market, suggesting that the company's financial position will be stressed by massive R&D investments with no clear near-term financial impact. He believes there are better investment opportunities with more attractive risk-reward profiles in the autonomy space.

“I still think Tesla has a ton to prove in this space they need to prove that FSD can go from supervised to unsupervised which is no small task and I think we may be years away from that happening if it ever does so something to be aware of if you are a Tesla investor or if you're interested in autonomy in the future I think there are other better bets where the risk reward profile is much more attractive for investors.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla if their upcoming 10/10 event fails to provide concrete timelines and regulatory pathways for Level 5 full self-driving. He argues that investors are currently paying for a future robotaxi business that doesn't exist, and Tesla is significantly behind competitors in deploying truly autonomous vehicles with regulatory approval. Without clear progress, the stock is overvalued relative to its current autonomous driving capabilities.

“If this is just some sort of prototype and and there's no clear deadlines on when FSD is actually going to be level five approved by Regulators to actually drive itself around cities and do so safely and report all of that data just the way that every other company does then I think it's going to be terrible for Tesla because they're going to be falling behind a lot of their competitors.”

The analyst argues that Tesla is significantly behind competitors like Waymo and Cruise in the robotaxi space. Tesla is not currently testing fully autonomous vehicles without safety drivers in key states like California and Texas, and their vision-only approach is viewed with skepticism. Competitors already have operational robotaxis and established partnerships, giving them a multi-year head start.

“I think those are much better risk reward benefits from an investor perspective than Tesla is today.”

The analyst argues that Tesla's auto business is struggling with declining margins and profitability, heavily reliant on tax credits. The promised AI and robotics ventures, like FSD and Optimus, lack clear market demand or regulatory approval, and the FSD adoption rate is very low. He believes the stock's high valuation (P/S of 8 vs. GM's 0.3) is unwarranted given the current financial performance and unproven future narratives.

“I don't think that there's any way there's going to be any sort of Robo taxi product on the road in the next few years but I think that's why the stock is down today and the question is do you want to believe in the numbers that we saw yesterday or do you want to believe the story that Elon Musk is telling that's really the conflict for investors today because the numbers are telling us that this is not a great business right now.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to concerns about declining auto margins, increasing competition, and a lack of new vehicle models. He notes that the company's shift to an 'AI and Robotics' narrative might be a distraction from weakening core auto business fundamentals, and questions the adoption rate and revenue generation of FSD.

“if that business is getting weaker that is really notable for the investment and for the stock price”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to its declining margins, dropping sales, and potential to become free cash flow negative in 2024. He notes that Tesla's valuation, with a high price-to-sales multiple, prices in significant growth that the company may struggle to deliver in an increasingly competitive and price-sensitive EV market.

“Tesla generated $7.6 billion in free cash flow at its peak in 2022... since then they've had to lower prices and their sales are now dropping down 5% in the second quarter so Tesla may actually go to free cash flow negative in 2024.”

The analyst argues that Tesla's recent stock surge is not justified by fundamentals, citing declining automotive gross profit and revenue, and the CyberTruck's failure to be a growth catalyst. He questions the long-term viability and profitability of the robotaxi business and believes the energy storage segment's margins are artificially inflated by subsidies that will eventually erode due to competition. He concludes that the stock is extremely highly valued based on current business realities.

“I don't think that the pop is Justified and I definitely think as earnings come out over the next few quarters and we start to see what reality looks like for this business Shares are going to start coming down.”

The YouTuber argues that Tesla's valuation heavily relies on its unproven robotaxi ambitions, which are significantly delayed and face fundamental technological and regulatory hurdles. Competitors like Waymo, Cruise, and Zoox are already deploying autonomous vehicles, while Tesla has yet to demonstrate a viable Level 5 system or even prototypes, making its current premium valuation unwarranted.

“I'm not going to be willing to pay a premium to get the product that doesn't yet exist.”

Travis Hoium argues that Tesla's business fundamentals are deteriorating, with year-over-year declines in deliveries and production, and continued margin compression. He highlights that the stock trades at a significant premium (58x earnings, 117x forward P/FCF) compared to competitors (4-6x P/E) despite negative revenue growth and declining free cash flow, suggesting it is overvalued given its current trajectory as a 'slowing growth company'.

“fundamentally Tesla is not in a great place now I also question the future of things like Robo taxi and a humanoid robot but that's a story for another day the auto business as it stands today is not as strong as it was 3 years ago and yet the stock has not dropped to where you would expect it to if it was going to trade similar to competitors still potentially 80 90% downside if it would if it were to do that”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to new tariffs in Europe and the US impacting its cost structure and profitability. Tesla's reliance on its Shanghai facility for production, coupled with declining revenue growth, falling gross margins, and negative free cash flow, indicates a challenging competitive environment. The company's pricing power has eroded, making it difficult to maintain high margins in line with traditional automakers.

“this is going to make it harder and harder for Tesla to make money and we have already seen the Tesla's free cash flow went negative last quarter”

The analyst recommends avoiding Tesla due to its extremely high valuation (P/S of 5.9, P/E of 44.7) which prices in significant future growth that is not materializing. He notes that Tesla's margins and free cash flow are shrinking due to increased competition and normalized demand, and its reliance on unproven technologies like Full Self-Driving for future profitability is a significant risk.

“Tesla's business is just not living up to the expectations that investors are putting on the stock.”

The analyst recommends avoiding Tesla stock due to its high valuation (P/E of 45 trailing, 64 forward) despite declining revenue growth and significant pressure on margins. He argues that Tesla is no longer a high-profit automaker, operating at margins similar to traditional car companies, which contradicts the growth narrative priced into the stock.

“This is the biggest reason that I'm just simply staying out of Tesla stock because I think it's extremely expensive and it's not a high-profitable automaker anymore and that's what we were promised a few years ago.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla despite its recent stock pop, noting that China is a crucial market for the company where it produces many vehicles. Tariffs on Chinese EVs could negatively impact Tesla, and the broader EV market faces oversupply and price wars, which tariffs historically have not resolved for other industries like solar.

“Tesla also up 10.6% despite the fact that China's actually a really important market for Tesla they produce a lot of their vehicles there so if there is protection coming from products that are produced in China that can't necessarily be sold in the US or Europe that's potentially a negative for Tesla”

The analyst argues that Tesla's strategy of introducing lower-cost vehicles will be detrimental to its profitability. He believes this move will cannibalize sales of existing models, reduce profit margins per vehicle significantly, and make it harder to cover manufacturing investments, a challenge exacerbated by increasing competition and aging designs. He suggests Tesla should focus on high-end vehicles and refresh existing models rather than competing on price in a low-margin market.

“I don't think this is a good Trend and I don't think it's the right move for Tesla as a company they should be staying on the high end and try to refresh their vehicles and lean into the advantages that they already have in the market not try to outcompete everyone else on price because that's just not a battle that they're going to win particularly in China but even in the US.”

The analyst advises against buying Tesla stock due to a 'no good, very bad quarter' characterized by declining revenue, gross margins, and negative free cash flow. Inventory is building up, indicating a demand problem, and the company's valuation remains high despite these issues and increasing competition in the EV market. He believes the focus on future products like robotaxis and Dojo are distractions from the core automotive business, which is struggling.

“would I want to buy the stock today and the answer to that continues to be no because the automotive business is still in Decline that is the reality of the business”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla stock due to declining delivery numbers, recent layoffs indicating reduced demand, and continuous price cuts impacting margins. He highlights that Tesla's valuation remains significantly higher than competitors despite its financial performance increasingly resembling that of a traditional automaker, with falling free cash flow and rising inventory.

“The bottom line is that Tesla is making more Vehicles than they can sell they're having to Discount those Vehicles there's more competition coming into the electric vehicle market and at the same time interest rates continue to rise which is going to make it more difficult to sell vehicles.”

The analyst argues that Tesla faces significant downside due to weakening demand, evidenced by price cuts, increasing inventory, and recent layoffs. He highlights that Tesla's valuation (P/E of 36, P/S of 5.3) is still significantly higher than traditional automakers (Ford P/E 11, GM P/E 6; Ford/GM P/S 0.3), despite its margins and growth rates declining to levels more in line with traditional auto companies. This suggests a massive amount of downside as the premium valuation is no longer justified.

“I am not in any way arguing that Tesla shouldn't trade it at premium to some of the Legacy automakers but I am arguing that that premium probably shouldn't be 10 to 20 times where they're trading especially given the current trends for Tesla's business.”

The YouTuber notes that David Tepper has avoided Tesla because its margins began declining in late 2022 due to vehicle discounting, which continued into 2023. The stock's valuation remains significantly higher than traditional automakers on both price-to-sales and price-to-earnings multiples, making it an unattractive investment for Tepper given the deteriorating fundamentals.

“given the valuation of the stock which is about 10 times more expensive than traditional automakers on both a price to sales multiple and on a price to earnings multiple teer has just stayed away from that stock.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla stock, arguing that recent price cuts for FSD are a desperate attempt to generate revenue amidst declining deliveries and margins in its core automotive business. He believes the focus on FSD and robo-taxis is a distraction from fundamental issues, and the stock is currently priced for a future that is not yet a reality, especially given regulatory hurdles for autonomous driving.

“At the end of the day I think this is ultimately a distraction from the really important things at Tesla and that is their deliveries and their pricing.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to uncertainty surrounding its future strategy, particularly regarding the $25,000 vehicle and the shift towards robo-taxis. He highlights declining margins, increasing competition from Chinese EV makers, and a lack of clear communication from management about how they plan to address these challenges and monetize their FSD technology.

“So there's a lot of questions about what is the strategy what is the plan to turnaround operations and where does all this technology go go Tesla is putting a lot of money into artificial intelligence and full self-driving but there's not a huge business behind that today so what is that business model in the future that is ultimately what I think the company needs to answer.”

Travis Hoium argues that Tesla's Q1 2024 delivery numbers were very poor, indicating flat production and declining demand despite price cuts. He highlights significant inventory build-up and notes that the company's high valuation (EV/Sales of nearly 6, forward P/E of 60) is unsustainable given its struggles with growth and declining margins. He believes Tesla was a pandemic beneficiary and is now facing increased competition and a lack of new compelling products, suggesting the stock has a long way to fall.

“I think this stock has a long ways to fall and that's just the reality for Tesla today and this quarterly report showed that demand is the problem for Tesla.”

Travis Hoium suggests avoiding Tesla due to stagnating revenue growth, collapsing margins, and declining free cash flow. He argues that Tesla is no longer a high-growth company and its current valuation, trading at 41 times earnings, is not justified given its performance, which increasingly resembles a traditional auto manufacturer that should trade at a much lower multiple.

“Tesla is just not living up to be the phenomenal growth stock that a lot of investors expected looks a lot more like a traditional auto manufacturer and auto manufacturers trade for five six seven times earnings not 50 to 100 times earnings like Tesla was trading for”

The analyst questions Tesla's business model for Full Self-Driving (FSD), arguing that their approach of selling FSD as an add-on to individual car owners who then might operate a personal robo-taxi service is flawed. He highlights that Tesla lacks the necessary permits for driverless testing and commercial deployment in key states like California and Texas, unlike competitors such as Waymo, Cruise, and Zoox, which are building a 'transportation as a service' model. He believes Tesla's current strategy is unlikely to succeed given regulatory hurdles and the impracticality of individual owners operating unsupervised vehicles for ride-sharing.

“I question whether the business model of selling FSD to individual people and then hoping that they build a network of ride sharing vehicles for you I don't think that that's going to be successful especially if these other companies continue to scale their their transportation as a service model.”

The analyst warns that even industry leader Tesla is experiencing declining gross and operating margins, which could eventually lead to negative free cash flow if the trend continues. He points to demand challenges in the US and incentives in China as evidence of a weakening market, suggesting that the high valuations for EV stocks are unsustainable given these pressures.

“Even the industry leader like Tesla is having to face falling margins gross margins and operating margins are on decline now they're still generating positive free cash flow but that won't be the case for long if margins continue to decline”

The analyst argues that Tesla is significantly overvalued, trading at a massive premium to peers despite declining revenue growth and gross margins. He highlights increased competition, particularly in China, and a lack of clear catalysts for growth in 2024-2025, suggesting the company is now a manufacturing entity facing supply/demand pressures rather than a high-growth tech company.

“I think it's still very very overvalued could potentially fall 50 75% more and only then you would get to a pretty reasonable multiple multiple compared to a lot of its competitors”

Travis Hoium argues that Tesla, like other EV manufacturers, is significantly overvalued. He points to declining gross margins due to price wars, especially in China, and the inherent difficulties of the manufacturing business model which historically leads to low profitability for automakers. He believes the market is not accounting for increased competition and supply, which will continue to pressure margins.

“I think that alone makes all of them overpriced and I wouldn't be surprised if we see a massive pullback in electric vehicles even though electric vehicle sales themselves are going to go up that doesn't mean the profitability is going to go up along with it because of these Dynamics in supply and demand.”

The YouTuber views Tesla as significantly overvalued, trading at P/E multiples (47x trailing, 63x forward) far exceeding traditional automakers (4-7x), despite acting more like an auto manufacturer than a tech company. While Tesla has a stronger balance sheet than competitors, its valuation carries substantial risk, with a potential 80% downside if it re-rates to industry averages.

“I think it's hard to argue that this is anything but a very overvalued stock right now”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to declining market share, flattening sales growth, and significant margin compression caused by increased competition and the need to lower prices to stimulate demand. He argues that Tesla's valuation is still too high for a manufacturing company facing these challenges, proposing a fair value closer to 10 times earnings, which is significantly lower than its current trading multiple.

“Tesla trading at 45 times earnings now I don't think they should maybe trade at the same price but Tesla at 10 times earnings is maybe a little bit more reasonable price that's 75 80% lower than where the stock is trading today.”

The YouTuber has never owned Tesla due to concerns about its challenges as a manufacturing company, particularly regarding margin pressure from increasing supply and high fixed costs. While acknowledging its phenomenal past growth, he questions the sustainability of this growth and notes its high valuation compared to traditional automakers.

“this is the reason that this is not a stock that I have ever owned because I think we've seen some of the challenges that the company has had with margins and profitability coming down”

The analyst advises avoiding Tesla due to its declining gross and operating margins, which are a result of continuous price cuts to move inventory in an oversupplied EV market. He highlights Tesla's high valuation (P/E of 68) compared to legacy automakers, arguing that it is priced to perfection despite not executing flawlessly and facing increasing competition.

“I think the troubling things for Tesla is they continue to increase Supply and they're having to lower prices and this is at the same time as more competition is coming into the market so I don't see any way in the future they're not going to have to continue competing on price that means lower margins both from a gross perspective and an operating perspective and worse free cash flow on top of that the multiple the price to earnings multiple price to sales multiple however you want to look at it for Tesla is about 10 times higher than it is for some of these Legacy automakers so yes electric vehicles may be the future but investors are paying an insane premium to get to that future and that's I think fundamentally going to be the biggest downfall for Tesla is it is just priced to Perfection and this is in no way a company that has been operating to Perfection for the last 12 to 18 months”

The YouTuber advises caution on Tesla, despite its high 5-year CAGR of 40%, because its margins are under pressure due to recent price reductions. He argues that the market is bidding up Tesla's stock based on potential AI growth, which may not justify its current high price-to-earnings multiple given the declining profitability.

“Tesla's had the lower prices margins are starting to come down so that I could argue that there would be some reasons you would want to pay a lower price to earnings multiple for Tesla given the pressure on their bottom line.”

The analyst advises against buying Tesla stock due to a worsening supply/demand imbalance leading to price reductions and declining gross profits per vehicle. He also points out that the full self-driving (FSD) and robo-taxi promises have not materialized, and the company's valuation metrics (P/E of 81x, P/S of 8.3x) are astronomically high compared to peers, pricing in future products that may never deliver value while the core automotive business declines.

“I think there are a number of reasons not to buy the stock right now despite the fact that the stock price is up operations are actually getting quite a bit worse and I think there are a few bad things coming on the horizon.”

The YouTuber argues that Tesla faces significant headwinds due to higher-than-expected operating costs and lower resale values for its vehicles, as evidenced by Hertz's recent earnings call. This trend is likely to lead to continued price reductions and margin compression, impacting sales to fleet buyers and potentially individual Uber drivers, making the stock less attractive.

“I think at the end of the day that's going to just mean we're going to see lower prices and lower margins at Tesla.”

The analyst argues that Tesla's Q3 earnings show significant deterioration in margins and flat production, indicating supply exceeding demand. He believes the valuation is out of line with the company's performance, especially given the challenges with new products like the Cybertruck and the unfulfilled promises of Full Self-Driving, suggesting the stock is overvalued compared to competitors.

“I think the valuation for Tesla today this has always been my criticism of the stock is just completely out of line with the performance of the company.”

The YouTuber argues that Tesla is facing a significant demand problem, evidenced by continuous price cuts and declining average revenue per vehicle, which are severely impacting gross margins. Production growth has stalled, indicating supply now outstrips demand. Increased competition from traditional automakers and Chinese EV manufacturers further pressures Tesla's market position, making its current valuation as a high-growth stock unsustainable given operational realities.

“Add all of this up and I just think there's a lot of negativity coming from Tesla from a operational standpoint I don't know what's going to happen with the stock but that's what I'm going to be keeping an eye on is what's going on with the operations”

Travis Hoium identifies three red flags for Tesla: declining margins due to price cuts, delays in expansion plans (specifically the Mexico plant), and rapidly increasing inventory. He argues these factors indicate a loss of pricing power and will continue to negatively impact profitability and free cash flow, making it a risky investment despite its growth stock valuation.

“Not everything is going really well for the company, in fact there are some major red flags that I have seen over the last six months that continue to get worse.”

Travis Hoium suggests avoiding Tesla stock due to continuous price cuts on its vehicles (Model S, Model X) and Full Self-Driving software, which are eroding profit margins. He argues that these cuts indicate a demand problem and will lead to further declines in gross margin, operating margin, and net income margin over the coming quarters, undermining the long-term software profitability thesis.

“I think that we're going to see all three of those things decline the indicators are there the trends are there these price reductions can only go so far before they end up eating away all of your profitability and I think that's where Tesla is headed.”

Travis Hoium argues that Tesla's North American Charging Standard (NACS) deal is not as beneficial as commonly perceived. He cites comments from Elon Musk and Rivian's CEO indicating that Tesla is not licensing the standard for revenue or receiving data from other automakers' vehicles. This suggests that the expected financial upside from NACS becoming the industry standard will not materialize, making the stock less attractive based on this catalyst.

“I would like to emphasize very strongly this is very important that just as with the North American charging standard although we're not Licensing in that case not licensing we're just making it available.”

The YouTuber suggests avoiding Tesla due to declining cash from operations, which is now less than half of General Motors and lower than Ford. He notes that while production grows, the company is making less money per vehicle due to continuous price reductions, indicating that demand is not keeping pace with production capacity, and management is reducing production in Q3.

“Tesla is making more Vehicles than it can naturally sell on the market the only remedy that it has if it wants to increase production is to lower prices and prices are coming down faster than costs are coming down.”

The analyst highlights three red flags for Tesla: rapidly rising inventory, falling margins due to aggressive price cuts, and increasing competition in the EV market. He argues that Tesla's manufacturing business model requires high sales volume, but demand is not keeping pace with increased supply, forcing price reductions and impacting profitability. This challenging position, despite strong deliveries, makes Tesla a stock to be cautious about.

“The reality for Tesla is that this is a manufacturing company... if you keep increasing Supply and there's not also an increasing amount of demand you only have really one choice and that's to Discount your vehicles.”

Hoium advises against buying Tesla for exposure to robotaxis, stating that the company has been talking about robotaxis since 2016 without delivering a functional product. He points out that Tesla's 'Full Self-Driving' is merely a Level 2 autonomy feature requiring driver supervision, contrasting it with truly autonomous services already operating from competitors. He suggests investors are paying for a service that doesn't exist.

“if you're interested in Robo taxis don't look at Tesla”

Travis Hoium views Tesla's move to standardize its charging technology as an incremental benefit for the company and the industry, but not a significant financial catalyst. He notes that while it makes the Supercharger network more valuable, the licensing fees are not expected to materially impact Tesla's bottom line, and the network will become less exclusive.

“This is going to be an incremental benefit for Tesla. It will continue to make the supercharger Network very valuable but it will also make it Fuller as more Vehicles get more access to it so a lot of balancing going on there but I think this is an incremental benefit for the industry as a whole and for Tesla but don't expect this to be a big impact on the bottom line.”

The analyst questions Tesla's recent decision to start advertising, viewing it as a sign of weakening demand and a potential waste of resources. He notes increasing inventory, falling margins, and a limited product line as challenges, arguing that advertising may not effectively address these issues given rising competition and the company's historical reliance on word-of-mouth. He suggests the stock might be overvalued.

“I'm really questioning whether this stock is really overvalued right now.”

Travis Hoium suggests avoiding Tesla due to a growing inventory problem. He notes that Tesla's inventory levels have significantly increased over the past year, leading to price reductions and a decline in the company's cash balance. This trend indicates that demand is not keeping pace with Tesla's aggressive production targets, potentially impacting future margins and profitability.

“inventory is becoming a much bigger problem than it's ever been”

The YouTuber suggests avoiding Tesla due to the commoditization of battery technology, specifically the 4680 cells. He argues that the expected competitive advantage from these batteries will be eroded as other manufacturers like GM, LG Energy Solutions, and Chinese competitors also ramp up production, potentially at the same time as Tesla. This negates a key differentiator Tesla has been promoting.

“the caution here is that sometimes these technology pieces are not really a competitive Advantage for a company”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to significant deterioration in gross margins. Despite price reductions, costs per vehicle have not decreased proportionally, leading to a nearly 50% drop in profit per vehicle from Q1 2022 to Q1 2023. The core manufacturing business's profitability is declining, and future revenue from autonomous driving is speculative.

“The bottom line here is that the price reductions that Tesla is putting in place is really impacting their margins that's why net income was down in the first quarter 2023 that's why investors are questioning how much pricing power Tesla really has.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to significant inventory build-up and continuous price reductions, indicating a struggle with demand at current price points. This strategy of prioritizing growth over profitability is expected to lead to substantial pressure on gross and operating margins, a trend already evident in recent price cuts and inventory data.

“The fact that they're lowering prices and they're continuing to build inventory I think is really troubling.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla stock despite acknowledging its positive global impact and strong business model. He argues that the company's future profitability is uncertain due to increasing competition, potential margin compression from price cuts, and the transition from a high-growth phase to a more mature, cyclical automotive market. The current stock price is seen as too high, already baking in an overly optimistic future that may not materialize.

“I just I don't want to own the business because I think there's so much risk about everything you were talking about about what could it possibly be versus what is it actually going to be and the price you're paying for that future that's already baked into today's share price.”

The analyst advises against buying Tesla due to significant concerns about declining pricing power and increasing inventory. He highlights recent deep discounts, a projected drop in gross and net margins due to fixed costs spread over fewer vehicles, and a substantial build-up of unsold inventory, indicating demand issues. He believes the stock will likely get worse before it gets better.

“I think things are going to get worse for Tesla before they get better. We don't know where the bottom is, we don't know where demand actually is when its competitors are actually producing as many vehicles as they can so that's another problem that and our headwind that the company has in the future so I think Tesla has a lot of challenges in 2023 this is a stock that I am not going to be buying and I would caution investors against it right now.”

The analyst is uncomfortable with Tesla's current valuation premium, especially given potential demand drops in 2023 due to rising interest rates and falling used car prices, which he believes will impact Tesla more than Rivian. He also cites concerns about Elon Musk's potential departure as CEO and his recent stock sales.

“Tesla is one where I'm just I'm not comfortable paying the premium that the stock still trades for with everything that's going on not only with the company's operations but also with Elon Musk.”

The analyst believes Tesla's stock is overvalued even after its recent pullback, trading at a high P/E multiple compared to competitors. They argue that while Tesla deserves a premium, current market assumptions about its future market share in the EV space are too optimistic, especially with increasing competition and potential demand issues in 2023 due to economic factors and brand perception challenges.

“I think there's a strong case that you could say man that's that's maybe two times more valuable than it should be even uh even forecasting very robust growth going forward.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to its ambitious but unproven approach to Level 5 autonomous driving. Unlike competitors like Cruise and Waymo, Tesla is not currently testing driverless vehicles with regulators, making its 2023 robo-taxi launch claims questionable. The business model for owners to recoup FSD costs through ride-sharing is also seen as unfeasible.

“I'm not a believer in the idea that people are going to buy a vehicle for a hundred thousand dollars spend fifteen thousand dollars on autonomous driving and then go let it drive itself around for a few dollars uh to do ride sharing I don't think that's a feasible business model either for Tesla or for the owners of vehicles.”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to several headwinds, including rising interest rates potentially impacting auto sales and recent vehicle discounting, which indicates demand may not be keeping pace with production increases. The stock remains very expensive compared to traditional automakers, trading at 8.8 times sales, and could pull back further if it faces typical cyclical challenges.

“Tesla hasn't had to do those kinds of things in the past so it's possible that the company is facing some headwinds we also did see Elon musk's acquisition of Twitter closed that could impact Tesla's brand negatively even though they're not technically related so we will see what some of those impacts are but investors were definitely selling Tesla in the month maybe taking a little bit more of a cautious approach remember this is still a very expensive stock trading at 8.8 times sales right now”

The analyst suggests avoiding Tesla due to recent discounting of its vehicles, indicating potential demand issues and margin pressure. He highlights the impact of rising interest rates on auto loan affordability and the cyclical nature of the auto industry, which Tesla has not previously faced as a public company. Additionally, the company's high valuation compared to competitors, coupled with potential declines in regulatory credit sales and brand impact from Elon Musk's other ventures, makes it a less attractive investment.

“I was a little bit alarmed to see the fact that they were discounting just to sell vehicles in the next 30 days.”

The analyst suggests investors should be cautious with Tesla due to several headwinds in 2023. These include changes in inventory management that could impact cash flow, increased competition from other compelling EVs, rising interest rates making car purchases more expensive, and the potential for a recession reducing demand for high-priced vehicles. These factors could put pressure on Tesla's gross margins, which is a key metric to watch.

“investors just simply don't know how Tesla is going to handle a potential recession coming up and consumers not buying vehicles that can reach upwards of a hundred thousand dollars over the next few years so we will see how that plays out”

The analyst argues that Tesla's sustainable competitive advantages, such as its direct-to-consumer sales model (no dealerships), lack of traditional marketing costs, and software-as-a-service (SaaS) revenue from Full Self-Driving, give it a superior business model and better operating margins compared to legacy automakers. These factors are difficult for competitors to replicate due to existing infrastructure and costs, making Tesla a strong long-term investment.

“I think this is another case of business models really mattering what you see on the surface is not necessarily the real differentiation for Tesla it's these details in the business that have really driven value for shareholders.”

The analyst argues that Tesla is significantly behind competitors like Cruise (GM) and Waymo (Alphabet) in true autonomous driving technology (SAE Level 3-5). He points to Tesla's own statements classifying their FSD as Level 2 and their lack of permits for driverless testing or deployment in California, unlike competitors who have millions of miles of testing and active deployment. This suggests that the market's perception of Tesla as a leader in this area is flawed, which should be considered in an investment thesis.

“I think it's worth investors understanding that Tesla is not the leader that they seem to be with full self-driving and it's evident based on their own statements and what we see from regulators in the state of California.”

Tom Nash is extremely bullish on Tesla, viewing it as misunderstood by the market and having one of the best setups. He emphasizes its future in human robotics, energy, FSD, and robotaxis, rather than just vehicles. He notes its 15x sales valuation, $6 billion in free cash flow, and strong expertise in key areas, despite near-term volatility.

“I'm buying Tesla and been buying Tesla for is because of the human robotics, because of the energy, because of FSD and robot taxi.”

The analyst believes Tesla's future lies in robotics and autonomous technology, but notes current news doesn't support immediate breakthroughs. He advises waiting for the stock to pull back into the $300s before buying, as the current valuation is high for a company still primarily reliant on car sales.

“but I would wait for the stock to come back off of its highs into the 300s to start buying.”

The analyst suggests Tesla might be entering value territory despite recent stock declines and sales weakness. He anticipates a rebound in sales next year to $118 billion due to refresh cycles and new models. He calculates that at this sales level, the current price would be just eight times on a price-to-sales basis, a significant discount.

“If Tesla can even reach that $118 billion in sales next year, the current price would be just eight times on a price to sales basis. That is a huge discount to the valuation multiple we've seen in the past.”

The YouTuber rates Tesla as a 'hold', noting weak volume, a significant drop in social sentiment, an overbought RSI, and expensive valuation metrics. Despite potential for a turnaround if Elon Musk refocuses, the current indicators suggest caution, with a lean towards a short-term sell if not for Musk's influence.

“So, putting all this together, while I do think there's potential for Musk to surprise investors as he refocuses on the company, and that could recharge some of the sentiment, given the volume weakness, the social sentiment that has plunged and RSI into overbought territory and relatively expensive shares, Tesla scores a 43 on our investor momentum index, still in that hold zone, but only just barely.”

The analyst advises waiting for Tesla shares to drop to around $175 before buying, citing concerns about its low revenue growth (2% last quarter), declining auto segment revenue, and significant drop in profit margins. He also notes the uncertainty surrounding Elon Musk's focus on Robo-taxis over core auto production.

“I'd wait until this one gets back down to maybe $175 a share to start buying again”

Despite a recent rally, the analyst sees little to be excited about for Tesla in the short term. The highly anticipated Robo-taxi announcement has been postponed, and its revenue contribution is years away. EV sales sentiment remains negative, and Musk's political outspokenness might be costing sales. The company is expected to report significant drops in revenue and earnings for the current quarter and full year.

“Tesla ticker TSLA is set to report earnings Tuesday with the shares up 33% in the past month on that massive rebound but I'm afraid here there just isn't much to get excited about over the next few months that big Robo taxi announcement scheduled for August that was responsible for our a lot of that rally has been postponed to October and even that might be a disappointment as investors realize how long it's going to take for this segment to start contributing to revenue”

The analyst is avoiding Tesla, despite a recent earnings pop, due to concerns about slowing revenue growth, declining earnings per share, aggressive price cuts, and increased capital spending. He also notes the long-term nature of autonomous driving and ride-hailing revenue, and competition from Chinese EV makers. He would reconsider if the stock falls to $130.

“I might take another look at here if the shares fall closer to about $130 each but for now I'm setting this one out too.”

Despite recent challenges and a significant drop from its 52-week high, the analyst believes Tesla could be nearing a bottom. The current valuation of 4.7 times this year's revenue is less than half of last year's, making it an attractive entry point for long-term investors, even with slower growth expectations and delayed revenue from new initiatives like robo-taxis.

“long-term investors can feel confident here buying at this level”

The YouTuber suggests Tesla is looking attractive after its 2024 tumble, implying it has entered value territory. He believes it has less room to fall if the broader market experiences a downturn.

“and even apple and Tesla are looking attractive after their 2024 tumble already down and in value territory these stocks are going to have less room to fall if the market plunges”

The YouTuber mentions Tesla as an AI play due to Elon Musk's promise of a ride-hailing service with full self-driving Teslas, which some analysts believe could account for nearly half of the stock's forecast valuation.

“For his part old Elon is still promising that launch of the ride haling service in full self-driving Teslas with the service amounting to almost half the Stock's forecast valuation by some analysts.”

Tesla still dominates the EV theme, but its expected revenue growth is slowing to 9% this year before potentially bumping to 20% next year. The stock trades at about 9 times sales, with much of its current valuation dependent on the hope for a future robo-taxi service, which the YouTuber implies is speculative.

“a lot of this stock price current valuation is is pinned on a robo taxi service that they're expecting to roll out next year”

The YouTuber highlights Tesla as a stock with a red flag due to receivables growing at a faster pace than revenue in four of the last five years. This indicates that Tesla might be extending more credit to customers to achieve its strong revenue numbers. While not a definitive reason to avoid, it's presented as a critical trend to monitor, as it could lead to future write-downs if the receivables are not collected.

“We can see here in four of the Last 5 Years receivables grew at a faster Pace than Revenue taking a loan it doesn't mean you shouldn't invest in Tesla but it's definitely something you need to be watching for to make sure it doesn't get out of control.”

The YouTuber suggests using Tesla (or any growth stock) as part of a covered call strategy to generate monthly income while still benefiting from growth. By selling monthly call options, investors can collect premiums, effectively turning a growth stock into a dividend payer. He emphasizes that this strategy is best for stocks one intends to hold long-term, as there's a risk of shares being called away if the price rises significantly.

“We're going to use Tesla as an example but you can do this with any stock if we go to the options available on Tesla you're going to see there are lots of dates available for these call options but we want to use the monthly options for that monthly cash flow.”

The YouTuber acknowledges Tesla's long-term growth potential and its advantage in lower-cost EV production. However, he finds the current valuation of 9.3 times revenue still too high, preferring to wait for the price to come down further before adding to his position.

“long-term growth is intact but I'd like to see the price come down just a little bit more before buying any more shares”

The YouTuber believes Tesla has a defensible advantage beyond its EV technology, specifically in its labor costs and manufacturing efficiency. He notes that Tesla's production is non-union, leading to lower wages, and that EVs require fewer parts, resulting in fewer workers needed per car.

“Another defensible advantage in tech stocks here I believe Tesla winning in cars not just because of that breakthrough EV technology but also because something nobody is talking about wages.”

The analyst believes Tesla's EV business alone, assuming a 40% annual production growth and a 10x price-to-sales ratio, could lead to a $660 share price by 2027. While skeptical of Ark Invest's aggressive robo-taxi revenue projections, he still forecasts a significant upside from a more conservative estimate of robo-taxi revenue, leading to a potential $1015 share price by 2027.

“I'm going to be a little bit more optimistic than that and estimate that Tesla won't be so constrained on demand that it's going to keep opening up those new new gigafactories and can maintain at least maybe a 40 annual production growth from 1.3 million cars last year that gets us to 7 million cars produced in 2027.”

The YouTuber suggests that a 'DIY approach' to investing in Tesla stock, potentially combined with options, is preferable to the new TESL ETF. He notes that Tesla has high volatility but has shown an uptrend since mid-August, with technical indicators like MACD supporting continued momentum. He concludes that buying and holding Tesla shares over the long term is a sound strategy.

“I think I would rather just do the DIY approach and shares a Tesla myself buying shares of Tesla stock plus the options to really play that momentum... it's hard to beat just buying shares of Tesla and sticking with them over the long term.”

The YouTuber recommends buying Tesla regularly, despite its current high valuation (11x price-to-sales). He acknowledges its dominance in the growing EV market, even with projected market share declines. He particularly highlights the potential of the robo-taxi market, citing Ark Invest's estimate of it contributing nearly $450 billion in revenue and a significant portion of the company's future market value, suggesting massive revenue growth could still make it a good long-term investment.

“Even with the shares looking expensive here at 11 times on a price to sales basis if the company increases its Revenue 11-fold to over a trillion dollars in that estimate this will still be a very good stock to own.”

The YouTuber proposes investing in growth stocks like Tesla and selling shares periodically to generate cash flow, arguing it can lead to significantly higher total returns than high-yield dividend ETFs. He notes that long-term capital gains from selling growth stocks are taxed at the same favorable rate as qualified dividends, offering a tax-efficient way to create income while benefiting from capital appreciation.

“you can get the same thing even with shares of Tesla a non-dividend paying stock because here is what your portfolio would look like if you invested a hundred dollars a month in Tesla over the last five years and sold enough stock each year to equal that same dividend payment you would have gotten from qyld”

The analyst prefers Tesla over Nio due to its greater scale, higher gross margins (24%), and established competitive advantages in supplier power and having already navigated early production challenges. Tesla also has diversified revenue streams like Megapack and self-driving, which are further developed than competitors.

“I personally do prefer Tesla on this one”

The analyst suggests buying Tesla shares in the near term due to strong order reports following recent price cuts and incentives. He anticipates Elon Musk will provide an optimistic 2023 outlook during the upcoming earnings call, which could sustain the current rally. However, he warns that the rally might fizzle out later in the quarter as price cuts may have pulled forward future orders.

“I think now is a really good time to pick up shares there especially in the near term and while the fourth quarter numbers are expected to show a kind of slowing Revenue growth compared to what we've seen in the past is what the company could say about the first quarter that I really think is going to continue that rally in shares of Tesla.”

The analyst expresses concern about Tesla's near-term production numbers due to incentives used to pull forward 2022 orders, potentially leading to disappointment in early 2023. While its valuation is discounted from its five-year average, it remains significantly more expensive than traditional automakers. A large portion of its valuation relies on highly speculative autonomous driving and ride-hailing revenue, making it a high-risk, high-volatility investment.

“Now I will say that this is the toughest matchup because there's really so much uncertainty in Tesla right on production numbers on orders on that self-driving and really electric vehicles in general you know I do believe that given 10 years Tesla can produce the higher Returns versus Amazon so versus the two but it's going to be with a lot more risk and a lot more volatility”

The analyst suggests that Tesla's recent sell-off is likely overdone, attributing production cuts to normalization rather than weak demand. However, he expresses concern that Elon Musk's increasingly partisan political stance could negatively impact the company's brand favorability and sales in the longer term, particularly among Democrats.

“The article goes on to argue and I agree with it here that that recent sell-off in shares of Tesla is likely overdone on the production cut news that production cut is more likely a result of just ramping up production over the last couple of months than any real weakness in demand or production on that side but that longer term production may be at risk is as Elon Musk becomes more of a partisan figure and over certainly political.”

The YouTuber acknowledges Tesla's significant revenue growth (56% year-over-year) which supports its growth stock status and high valuations. However, he points out that analysts have an 'average hold' rating and a price target below the current share price, indicating that the stock may have run too far too fast, leading to a neutral stance.

“Tesla is another one where the shares have just gone too far too fast for analysts. Analysts have an average rating of 2.7 which would be about an average hold and a price target of just 860 dollars per share under the current thousand dollars per share.”

The YouTuber suggests Tesla, noting its significant growth phase with 121% year-over-year delivery increases and 151% production growth. He highlights the doubling of revenue to $12 billion and quadrupling of operating income, with future growth expected from new factories and the potential of robo-taxis.

“deliveries were up 121 on a year-over-year basis last quarter to 200 000 shipped and total production topped 206 000 in the three months alone that's up 151 percent over the year.”

The YouTuber states that Tesla looks very strong as long as it continues to hold its uptrend line, which has been forming higher lows since mid-May. While not an explicit buy, it implies a 'hold' or 'continue to monitor' stance, with strength contingent on maintaining the technical trend.

“Tesla looks very very strong as long as it continues to hold this trend line.”

The YouTuber suggests a put spread strategy on Tesla, expiring in November, if one anticipates the company will disappoint on Q3 earnings, potentially due to the chip shortage. Historically, Tesla's stock has fallen around earnings reports despite beating expectations, making a bearish options play attractive.

“if i thought tesla was going to disappoint on those earnings again maybe because of that chip shortage then i could use what's called a put spread for the november 19th options”

Tesla is highlighted as the top holding in the ARK Innovation Fund, representing over 10.5% of the fund. The YouTuber emphasizes Kathy Wood's thesis on Tesla's dominance in electric vehicles and its potential in the autonomous ride-sharing market, which could be worth trillions. He notes its progress in Level 5 autonomous driving.

“now a lot of kathy wood's thesis on tesla is not only that dominance in electric vehicles which is expected to benefit from a 20-fold increase in ev sales to 2025 but also its ride-sharing future with autonomous vehicles a market that could be worth 3.8 trillion dollars over the next few years”

The YouTuber points to Tesla's extremely high valuation, with a P/E ratio around 250, as a major concern. He argues that the stock is significantly overvalued due to the AI hype, with an 'enormously optimistic expectation' priced in that is detached from its fundamental performance, making it a risky investment.

“Tesla liegt, glaube ich, gerade so bei 250 im KGV. Palantier 400 erwartet 266 Kursatzverhältnis von 100. Also wirklich, das ist enorm enorm.”

The YouTuber expresses concern over Tesla's proposed compensation package for Elon Musk, arguing it's excessively high and based on unrealistic growth projections. He believes the package is not a genuine incentive for Musk, who already holds a significant stake, and highlights potential stock dilution for existing shareholders, making the investment less attractive despite optimistic scenarios.

“Was gerade mal wieder bei Tesla passiert, halte ich für ziemlich bedenklich und dabei ist vielleicht nicht mal das bedenklichste, dass Elon Musk bis zu einer Billion US-Dollar verdienen könnte, sondern wie er selber dafür Stimmung macht, wie darüber diskutiert wird und was dann passieren würde, wenn Tesla gar nicht mal so gut performt und wie viel er dann noch verdient.”

The YouTuber suggests that Elon Musk's current public perception and personal issues are negatively impacting Tesla. While Musk was once a significant asset for the company, his current behavior and potential drug use, as reported by the New York Times, could be detrimental. A more discreet CEO might better serve Tesla's interests now.

“Ich glaube das würde auch die Käuferschaft in vielen Bereichen wieder vergrößern, weil viele einfach nicht mit Elon Musk assoziiert werden wollen.”

The YouTuber states he will continue to avoid investing in Tesla, despite acknowledging it as a good company with growth and surpluses. He argues that its current valuation does not reflect an attractive return expectation for the next 5-10 years, especially considering the risks and the company's recent financial performance, such as declining margins and lower-than-expected revenue growth in its core automotive business.

“ich selber bin nicht investiert und ich werde auch weiterhin nicht investieren die Gründe sind hoffentlich klar geworden ich finde Tesla ist nach wie vor ein gutes Unternehmen ist schafft das Wachstum zu erzielen ist hat Überschüsse ist investiert stark aber es ist in meinen Augen nicht so gut wie oft man es dargestellt wird und wie ist die Bewertung widerspiegelt bzw wie die Bewertung sein müsste damit es für mich ein attraktiver Rendite Erwartung liefert auf sich der nächsten fünf ist zehn Jahre und auch für das Risiko entschädigt was vielleicht durch ein paar ja unsichere Komponenten hier reinkommt”

The YouTuber expresses skepticism about Tesla's valuation, particularly concerning the optimistic projections for its humanoid robot, Optimus. He argues that many valuation models contain factual errors, such as unrealistic profit margins, and that the market's current optimism for Tesla may lead to persistent overvaluation, even for investors who are generally positive on the company. He highlights that the robot's success is binary; it either works perfectly or generates no revenue, making highly optimistic forecasts risky.

“Das Problem ist aber hier wird über die rommage gesprochen einfach nur die Herstellungskosten abgezogen aber es muss ja auch ein Unternehmen betrieben werden wir haben Themen wie Buchhaltung wir haben sales marketing diese ganzen Positionen gehen erstmal runter bis wir dann irgendwann zu operativen marche kommen und dann gibt es noch Zinskosten die müssen noch irgendwo Fabriken gebaut werden müssen irgendwie finanziert werden und Steuern sind davon auch ab also es ist gar nicht möglich eine 95 prozentige netto-mage zu haben das ist das was sie angenommen wird und das dann mit dem Kurs gewinnt Verhältnis zum multiplizieren also das sind halt faktische Fehler die hier in so einem Bewertungsmodell stecken.”

The YouTuber believes Tesla's stock is overvalued, as its current price implies an expectation of selling 40 million cars annually, which is unrealistic. He argues that while Tesla has strong margins and products, competition is increasing, and its technological lead is diminishing. The 'full self-driving' and 'robotaxi' potential is already priced in, and other ventures like solar or robotics are not significant enough to justify the valuation.

“Die Frage ist doch aber welche Bewertung und welche Erwartung ist dann heute im Aktienkurs enthalten und vielleicht auch welche Erwartung ist dann in den Aktienkursen anderen Unternehmen enthalten durch den Anstieg der Tesla Aktie liegt sie jetzt wieder bei einem Börsenwert von knapp 600 Milliarden Dollar.”

The YouTuber argues that Tesla's approach to autonomous driving, relying solely on cameras and Elon Musk's over-optimistic predictions, carries significant risk. He believes that if Tesla's strategy fails to deliver true full self-driving, it could lead to a massive competitive disadvantage and dissatisfied customers, potentially making Tesla just 'a normal car company' rather than the robotaxi leader many investors expect. He highlights that other companies like Waymo, backed by Alphabet, use a more comprehensive sensor suite and have demonstrated more advanced capabilities in real-world scenarios.

“Ich finde Teslas Ansatz persönlich sehr gewagt, es gibt da für mich auch viele Warnzeichen auch inklusive dieser Intransparenz und am ersten glaube ich das Tesla in der Lage ist ein sehr gutes fahrassistenzsystem jetzt schon in der Breite anzubieten was ja auch schon einen Mehrwert für sich ist aber Orthese einige Tesla Aktionäre wonach in den nächsten Jahren der Durchbruch bevorsteht Tesla als einziges Unternehmen eine riesige robotaxi Flotte aufbauen wird die uns allen im Schlaf Geld verdienen daran glaube ich nicht.”

The analyst advises against investing in Tesla, despite its recent price drop making the valuation more reasonable. He believes Tesla is primarily an automotive manufacturer, not a software company, and its competitive advantages are diminishing. Concerns include the unproven full self-driving technology, increasing competition, significant China risk, and negative impacts from Elon Musk's controversial public image and divided attention.

“ich investiere trotzdem noch nicht und zwar aus sechs gründen und wenn du meine Videos schon länger verfolgt oder auch meine Aktienanalysen Invest weißt du es gehört für mich immer dazu Pro und Contra abzuwägen Stärken und Schwächen Chancen und Risiken hier glaube ich dass eben diese Risiken überwiegen oder sie dazu führen dass Tesla nicht die Aktie ist die für mich als Anleger gemacht ist”

The YouTuber reacts to a segment where someone buys Tesla stock based on the opening of the Gigafactory and pictures with Elon Musk and the Chancellor. He criticizes this as a naive, short-term trading thesis, arguing that such news is already priced in and doesn't reflect the company's global operations or true valuation. The segment's participant then sells the stock for a small profit, reinforcing the idea of short-term trading rather than long-term investment.

“ich entscheide mich meine Aktie jetzt wieder zu verkaufen Tesla oh oh okay das ging aber schnell also tatsächlich hier an der Stelle reines Trading 858 Euro über 12 12 oder 13 Euro mehr als wir vorhin gekauft haben”

Bill Gates has reportedly shorted Tesla stock, indicating a bearish stance on the company. This aligns with previous skepticism from Michael Burry regarding Tesla.

“abseits dessen ist auch bekannt geworden dass bill gates wohl die tesla aktien geshortet hat”

The analyst argues that Tesla's fundamentals do not support its current valuation, citing shrinking profit margins, increasing R&D costs, and intense competition. While acknowledging the growth in the energy business, he believes it's not enough to offset the declining profitability in the auto segment. He suggests the stock is overvalued for a company acting like a manufacturer rather than a high-growth innovator.

“I'm staying out for now. I want to see real margin recovery, real cost discipline, and proof that the energy and AI bets can scale profitably. Until then, I'm watching, not buying.”

The YouTuber argues that Tesla is currently an 'avoid' due to deteriorating fundamentals, including declining revenue, shrinking margins, and a significant drop in free cash flow. He believes the company's 'moat' is gone, and its long-term growth narrative is based on unproven future technologies like robo-taxis and Optimus, rather than current performance. He states he sold his position in January and will only reconsider if fundamentals improve.

“The core business is declining. Margins are compressed. Growth is stalled. And all the upside, AI, robo taxi, Optimus, is still potential, not profit. You don't invest in what might happen. You invest in what's happening. And right now, Tesla is sliding, not scaling.”

The YouTuber argues that Tesla's core car business is shrinking, with declining profit margins and negative revenue forecasts. He highlights the potential loss of a $7,500 federal EV tax credit, which would further erode competitiveness. Additionally, he criticizes Elon Musk's recent public behavior, suggesting it damages political leverage crucial for Tesla's future projects, and states the stock is still overvalued despite recent declines.

“Even now, it's trading at a PE over 150. That's not a beaten down value play. That's a company still priced like it owns the future while the rest of the world quietly moved on.”

The YouTuber has a small position in Tesla but wants to rebuild a large one when technicals improve. He acknowledges concerns about revenue growth slowdown and competition but sees massive long-term potential in Tesla's AI, energy, robotics, and automation ventures like FSD, Robo-taxi, energy storage, and Optimus.

“I'm watching closely for my next big buy artificial intelligence is not just about generating writing emails or making chat Bots sound human.”

The YouTuber identifies humanoid robots as an emerging technology and notes that Tesla is currently the only publicly traded company in this space. This makes Tesla a potential 'long' candidate based on the creative destruction framework.

“Only Tesla is publicly traded at the moment.”

Tesla is identified as clearly overvalued with a value ratio of almost 60, significantly higher than its peers and benchmarks. The YouTuber's analysis suggests its current price does not reflect its earnings potential and higher risk profile, despite potential high growth assumptions.

“The clearly overvalued one appears to be Tesla at almost 60.”

The YouTuber believes Tesla is very overpriced, with a value ratio of 52, which is double the market median. This assessment holds even after accounting for potential margin expansion and 25% growth, suggesting the current valuation is not justified by its fundamentals.

“Tesla on the other end is very overpriced at 52 is double the market even considering margin expansion and 25% growth Elon no thanks”

The YouTuber advises avoiding Tesla due to its high valuation (PE over 100) which already prices in significant future growth and perfection. While acknowledging positive catalysts like CyberTrucks, CyberCab, self-driving, and Optimus, he notes rising competition, margin pressure, and declining sales in the last quarter.

“Despite all this Tesla stock remain a c 65% gain last year massive fomo and mask personality makes it irresistible for many Do you own it”

Cathie Wood maintains high conviction in Tesla, projecting a significant price target based on its future potential in robotaxis and humanoid robots. She believes these emerging technologies will drive substantial growth, despite recent short-term challenges in EV market share and financial performance.

“Creemos que en 5 años las acciones alcanzarán un valor de $2,600, esto sin incluir las nuevas tecnologías de los robots humanoides.”

The YouTuber recommends selling covered calls on Tesla due to its consistently high implied volatility, which makes it almost always a good candidate for this income-generating strategy. This approach is suggested for stocks that have seen significant price appreciation and where one doesn't mind selling shares at a certain price.

“Right now, Nvidia, Palunteer, uh Tesla in general has high implied volatility. So, it's almost always a good time to sell covered calls on Tesla.”

The YouTuber is holding Tesla, viewing it as a growth stock with potential for a $10 trillion market cap driven by robo-taxis and Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology. Despite Q1 revenue declines and lower vehicle deliveries, he emphasizes the strong growth in its energy division and believes the company is strategically shifting direction.

“That's what Tesla's trying to do now with robo taxis and its unsupervised full selfdriving technology, right? Or FSD. FSD is the most exciting thing about Tesla.”

The YouTuber prefers to acquire Tesla shares by selling put options to get in cheaper, specifically targeting a price below $250. He states he doesn't want to buy it for over $250 and will only sell puts when capital is available.

“I prefer to sell put options to get into Tesla cheaper. I want it at 250. I don't really want to buy it for over 250.”

The YouTuber believes Tesla is a good long-term investment, especially after its significant pullback. He sees the scaling production of the Cybertruck, with its high average selling price and strong pre-order demand, as a significant catalyst for profitability in 2025. He also emphasizes Tesla's strong global brand recognition and effective marketing as key advantages, viewing the current price under $250 as a fantastic entry point.

“I think you'd have to be silly not to buy this stock I think Tesla has good long-term story.”

The YouTuber has reduced his Tesla position due to concerns about Elon Musk's political involvement negatively impacting the company's image and sales, particularly in Europe. He also notes the stock's significant pullback and the potential for Chinese government influence. While still long-term bullish on Tesla's innovation like FSD, he prefers to be lighter on the stock until there's a clearer focus from Musk.

“I have reduced my Tesla position and I've told all my Discord members who are part of my community that we're just going to be lighter on Tesla and I got out of a lot of my Tesla shares at $ 2875 which is actually a pretty genius move so far.”

The YouTuber is holding Tesla, emphasizing that it's an investment, not a trade, and believes it's a 'golden buying opportunity' despite recent pullbacks. He cites Dan Ives's view of Tesla's autonomous driving and robotics as a trillion-dollar opportunity and Elon Musk's projections for significant growth in 2026-2028, expecting the stock to reach $500+ per share in the next 12-24 months.

“I'm still holding. I'm bullish, and I think, you know, we saw a Dan Ives. He said that this thing's still the golden goose.”

The YouTuber is extremely bullish on Tesla, recommending buying shares and selling $400 put options. He believes Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology will transform the company into a $500+ stock in 2025 by unlocking a high-profit margin revenue stream through subscriptions and one-time purchases. He also suggests the stock is becoming cheap around $400, offering a significant margin of safety.

“Full self-driving has the potential to transform Tesla into a $500 plus stock in 2025... the valuation of Tesla is between 400 to 500.”

The YouTuber states he is holding his leaps on Tesla, expressing belief that the stock will continue to do well.

“I am personally holding my leaps on paler I'm also holding my leaps on Tesla both of those stocks are going to continue to do well”

The YouTuber is buying Tesla stock, having invested $1 million, and believes it is undervalued. He cites potential deregulation and favorable policies under a Trump presidency due to Elon Musk's relationship with Trump, a dovish Fed making debt cheap for tech companies, and institutional money flowing into the stock. He also suggests using leap options for leveraged returns.

“I just put $1 million more dollars into Tesla and I think it's undervalued for three main reasons that I will cover in this video as quickly as possible.”

The YouTuber places Tesla in a 'safe category' for holding, citing its high momentum. However, he advises caution and recommends selling covered calls with a 40 Delta to hedge against potential market corrections, as he views current low inflation expectations as unrealistic.

“I put Nvidia and paler and Tesla into the safe category of of being careful because they have high momentum and statistically speaking I think that these stocks are going to rise but everything else guys be cautious on sell sell covered calls around a 40 Delta”

The YouTuber is highly critical of Tesla, highlighting a 12% year-over-year revenue decline, decreasing operating margins, and flat revenue for over two years. He argues the stock's high P/E ratio (136) is unjustified by fundamentals and relies solely on a speculative narrative around robo-taxis and humanoid robots, which he believes are unproven and face significant competition. He advises against investing based on 'hope' rather than 'well-grounded fundamental research and reasonable valuations.'

“When I look at Tesla, my honest opinion is that it's an incredibly difficult, unpredictable stock that has a lot of downside risk.”

The YouTuber is currently avoiding Tesla due to excessive market noise, Elon Musk's divided focus on politics and other ventures, and potential negative impacts from the removal of the EV Tax Credit. He also notes a decline in sales in key markets and concerns about the company's ability to fund future initiatives like autonomous driving and robotics if core automotive profits shrink. He will reconsider if fundamental data improves and Musk refocuses on Tesla.

“Ich selbst bin aktuell nicht in Tesla investiert, plane auch erstmal nicht in Tesla zu investieren, weil mir einfach zu viel Lärm da draußen herrscht.”

The YouTuber maintains a long-term bullish stance on Tesla, emphasizing its potential beyond just EVs in autonomous driving and robotics, which are expected to see massive growth. Despite current revenue stagnation and high financing costs impacting sales, Tesla's strong cash position, efforts to reduce manufacturing costs, and growing energy business provide a solid foundation. The current stock price, down significantly from its all-time high, is considered attractive for long-term investors, with the expectation that the company's diverse ecosystem will drive future growth and stock appreciation.

“ich persönlich kann nach wie vor sagen die aktuellen Kurse langfristig betrachtet sind attraktiv so sehe ich das ganze”

The YouTuber, already invested in Tesla, sees current prices as less attractive for adding to his large position. However, he would consider buying if the stock drops to around $343, or more aggressively at $308, and especially at $248. He believes Tesla is not just an auto manufacturer but a broad ecosystem with strong growth in its energy business and future potential in autonomous driving and robotics, making it a good long-term investment despite current market volatility and high financing costs for vehicles.

“ich bin so ein Fan davon dann wie gesagt wie ihr mitbekommen habt hier einzusteigen ne aber wie gesagt das ist mein persönlicher Stil ihr könnt auch ganz anders vorgehen wenn ihr anders analysiert oder anders vorgeht wie auch immer jetzt aktuell versuchen wir hier irgendwo ein Support zu bilden bei Tesla sieht man ja auch z.B im Wochenchart hier an diesem Schwänzchen dass hier ganz viele Käufer reingekommen sind für mich aktuell scheinen die Kurse jetzt nicht super attraktiv zu sein um ehrlich zu sein also ich da ich ja sowieso schon eine Position habe würde jetzt hier nicht einsteigen sondern tatsächlich also weil ich ja schon investiert bin sondern halt eben warten bis ich nachkaufe wenn ich jetzt noch gar nicht in Tesla investiert wäre dann wäre es wahrscheinlich okay hier zumindest eine kleine erste trche reinzuballern aber das ist immer eure eigene Entscheidung”

The YouTuber is extremely bullish on Tesla, viewing it as an ecosystem beyond just an auto manufacturer, similar to Amazon and Apple. He highlights improving cost efficiency, stabilizing gross margins, 8% annual revenue growth, and a robust balance sheet. Elon Musk's projection of 20-30% vehicle growth for next year and analyst expectations for double-digit revenue growth from 2025 onwards further support his positive outlook. Technically, he notes the stock is in an uptrend, with all moving averages below the current price, and believes a break above $308 resistance will lead to a rapid ascent to its all-time high, potentially by 2025.

“Ich persönlich warte immer noch darauf, dass wir die 308 USDollar als resistance durchsprechen, denn sollten wir diese hier durchsprechen, wovon ich persönlich auch ausgehe, dann wird es so richtig bullig und dann wird es gar nicht mal so lange dauern, bis wir hier dieses Allzeithoch von Tesla wieder erreichen.”

The YouTuber suggests that a drop in Tesla's stock price to the $248 level would be a 'gift' and an excellent buying opportunity for those not yet invested. He notes that this level previously acted as a strong support after being tested as resistance, and a retest would confirm its strength as a buying zone within the current uptrend.

“sollte der Kurs hier noch mal warum weshalb zurückkommen zu den 248 dann wäre das hier wirklich ein Geschenk so würde ich das ganze interpretieren und dann könnte man hier nach oben steigen logischerweise für die Leute die hier noch nicht eingestiegen sind.”

The YouTuber is bullish on Tesla long-term but advises buying on dips rather than chasing highs. He personally added to his position when the price pulled back, emphasizing the importance of using chart analysis even for long-term investments to optimize entry points.

“ich hatte gesagt hier persönlich würde ich meine Tranche jetzt nicht verteuern bzw nicht das erst mal einsteigen sondern ich würde darauf warten dass der Kurs noch mal zurückkommt und dann meine Kurse verteuern”

The YouTuber is bullish on Tesla, having bought in earlier and seen significant gains. He believes it's a fundamentally strong company and expects it to continue rising, despite not having predicted the rapid 60% increase. He emphasizes its strong fundamentals as the primary reason for his long-term conviction.

“ich wusste fundamental super starkes Unternehmen ich versuche einfach nur meine Position aufzubauen und irgendwann wird das ganze Ding schon steigen”

The YouTuber is bullish on Tesla, having bought below €150, and would buy aggressively if it falls below $100 due to strong fundamental conviction. He notes that Tesla is not just an automotive company but a leader in AI and autonomous driving, with superior margins compared to competitors. He also anticipates a strong rally if the long-term downtrend line is broken, especially with impending interest rate cuts benefiting the company.

“sollten wir hier drunter fallen da habe ich ganz oft schon gesagt wenn das passieren würde dann wäre ich ein ganz crazy Käufer Leute also dann würde ich komplett austicken und Kredite aufnehmen um hier in Tesla einzusteigen weil ich so von fundamental davon überzeugt bin”

The YouTuber is invested in Tesla and sees a very attractive risk-reward ratio. He believes Tesla is often misjudged as just a car manufacturer, similar to how Amazon and Apple were initially underestimated. He highlights the potential of robotaxis as a key growth driver, especially with Elon Musk's compensation package approved, and points to Tesla's strong balance sheet, low debt, and high profitability as reasons for his conviction.

“Ich selbst bin ja wieder in Tesla investiert... generell das chancenrisikoverhältnis bei Tesla aktuell für mich sehr sehr attraktiv.”

The YouTuber believes Tesla will perform well in the 3- and 5-year timeframe, expecting significant impact from Megapacks and the Optimus robot, despite current automotive struggles. He acknowledges the high-risk, high-reward nature of these 'moonshot' projects. A 5-year forecast using a constant PE ratio is $488, a 72% upside.

“Now, on the flip side, I do believe that they will do quite well at the three and the 5-year because they're going to be doing a lot more in the mega packs and also those robots should hopefully be making an impact.”

The YouTuber advises avoiding Tesla in the short term, citing sinking car profits and sales, and the need for FSD and robo-taxis to materialize. He notes the DCF model doesn't work for Tesla due to its innovative nature, and even with a constant PE ratio, the 1-year forecast is negative. He expresses skepticism about Elon Musk's past FSD timelines.

“But the reality in the one-year, I don't think they're going to meet or beat the S&P 500.”

The YouTuber sold his entire position in Tesla at $395 per share due to concerns about declining top-line revenue and margins, increased competition in China, flat vehicle sales for 2024 and 2025, declining vehicle margins since 2022, potential tariffs, and the risk of reduced EV tax credits. He believes the stock is set for further corrections.

“I sold my entire position of Tesla at $395 a share. All of the facts were telling me that a major pullback was about to happen.”

The YouTuber plans to buy back into Tesla around $320 per share, ideally within the next two months. He acknowledges the company's long-term potential and expects tremendous growth over the next five years, especially with the future of Robo taxis and autonomous driving, but wants to avoid overpaying.

“I am looking to buy back into Tesla at around $320 a share hopefully within the next 2 months.”

The YouTuber expresses a love-hate relationship with Tesla, noting its high P/E ratio and flat revenue with declining gross profit due to price cuts. While acknowledging its strong future potential in areas like robo-taxis and AI, he believes its current fundamentals make a 10x return in 10 years unrealistic, suggesting it's a good investment but not a 10x opportunity.

“I still see them as a great investment just not one that's going to 10x my money in 10 years”

The YouTuber identifies Tesla as a robotics powerhouse, not only for its self-driving vehicles but also for its heavy investment in automating production lines. The announcement of the Optimus humanoid robot, which uses the same autopilot software, further solidifies its position, suggesting it might be ideal to invest now rather than later despite Optimus being years away.

“the downside to Tesla is that Optimus isn't going to be available for another three to five years which means that it may be more ideal to invest in Tesla Now versus later”

The YouTuber identifies Tesla as an obvious AI stock due to its extensive work in autonomous driving, leveraging millions of hours of real-world data. They argue that Tesla's cars serve as a training vehicle for AI, and the company's expertise in situational awareness and automated decision-making positions it for future leadership in areas like flying cars, robotics, and potentially licensing its autonomous software.

“When flying cars start to become a reality who do you think will be ahead of the competition because they already have the roadmap for all things AI situational awareness and automated decision making or when robots become mainstream and take on repetitious and labor and intensive jobs like warehouse work cleaning and cooking once again who's going to have the software hardware and models to easily take on those situational environments.”

The investor holds Tesla as part of his single stock portfolio, believing it has good future return potential. He actively follows the company's quarterly reports and is passionate about the business.

“Perché io credo che nel futuro possano avere buoni rendimenti”

The YouTuber points out Tesla's extremely high price-to-earnings ratio (183x), indicating that investors are buying in ahead of time and are willing to wait for earnings to catch up. However, they warn that if earnings do not rise sufficiently within investors' expected timeframe, share prices will be re-rated accordingly, suggesting it's overvalued.

“We can see that today with Nvidia and Tesla's monster 50 and 183 price to earnings ratio but all this means is that investors are buying in ahead of time and are willing to wait for the earnings to play catchup at which time the earnings multiple should write itself thanks to the denominator increasing but as soon as this phenomenon happens in a stock it kind of starts a ticking Time Bomb of investor patience.”

The YouTuber expresses caution on Tesla, noting that despite recent positive margin surprises (attributed to lower raw material costs) and growth in energy storage, the core automotive business lacks significant new models and faces strong competition. The stock's valuation remains high, and much of its future potential relies on speculative ventures like FSD and robotaxis, making it less attractive for new investment at current levels.

“für mich momentan allerdings Tesla kein Kauf”

The analyst advises against buying Tesla, stating that the stock is currently too speculative and overvalued. Despite a recent 13% drop, its price-to-cash-flow ratio remains above 50, significantly higher than its historical low of 25 during previous corrections. Declining profits due to weaker EV demand and increased competition, especially from Chinese manufacturers, make the stock's high valuation unsustainable, with future growth heavily reliant on unproven ventures like FSD and robotaxis.

“aus meiner Sicht drängt sich in Aktienkauf von Tesla der tesla- Aktie derzeit nicht auf also kann sein dass die Aktie noch deutlich weiter korrigiert dass das hier erst der Anfang war wie gesagt sehr spekulative Aktie derzeit”

Despite recent poor sales figures and a significant stock price drop, the analyst maintains his long-term investment thesis for Tesla. He believes the shift to electric vehicles is still intact, and Tesla remains a technology and market leader, as evidenced by its ability to innovate with existing hardware and its strong financial position. He acknowledges risks like political pressures on Elon Musk but finds the core investment case sound.

“mein Investment Case ist nach wie vor intakt das heißt ich werde die Tesla Aktien einfach behalten”

Tesla is considered an investment for conviction investors due to its high valuation but strong turnaround story and efficient production methods. Despite recent margin pressures, the analyst believes margins will recover as the economy improves, leading to an expected annual return of around 14%. Key catalysts include Full Self-Driving, Cybertruck production, and the Model 2.

“wie NV würde ich mal sagen ist auch Tesla eher ein Investment für Überzeugungstäter vielleicht noch mehr als Nvidia weil wir hier tendenziell es mit sehr hohen Bewertungen zu tun haben.”

The analyst plans to hold Tesla stock, acknowledging recent disappointments due to Elon Musk's comments and lower-than-expected Q3 results, but remains positive on the long-term vision. He highlights strong fundamentals like a debt-free balance sheet, positive cash flow, and future growth drivers such as the Cybertruck (contributing positively from 2025), Model 3 refresh, next-gen platform for cheaper EVs, and progress in energy storage and FSD. He notes that Tesla prioritizes innovation over short-term profit maximization, which can lead to volatility but also significant upside if visions materialize.

“ich werde die Tesla Aktie halten ich halte Tesla für ein interessantes Investment die Frage ist eben ob man damit zurecht kommt dass dieses Unternehmen nicht den Gewinn kurz und auch nicht mittelfristig optimiert sondern langfristig visionsgetrieben quasi unterwegs ist”

The analyst briefly mentions Tesla as a highly speculative stock, noting its high P/E ratio and the difficulty in accurately estimating its future earnings. Concerns are raised about its crisis resilience and recent demand slowdowns in China, making it a risky investment.

“Tesla habe ich diese Woche analysiert in einem 48 Minuten Video das heißt ich werde das hier verlinken könnt ihr euch das angucken und das ist die Sparplan aktiennummer 5 der beliebtesten der Deutschen tatsächlich”

The analyst believes Tesla is currently undervalued, trading at a forward P/E ratio lower than Procter & Gamble and Coca-Cola for 2023. Despite Elon Musk's controversial Twitter behavior, Tesla's operational performance, manufacturing lead, and FSD development remain strong, with robust demand and significant growth potential. The current stock price offers substantial upside based on conservative valuation models.

“Das Vorwort KGV für 2023 von Tesla ist niedriger als das von Procter und Gamble und von Coca-Cola.”

The YouTuber, a long-term Tesla investor, remains bullish on the stock despite recent delivery misses and concerns about weakening demand in China. He believes the issue is primarily logistical, with 20,000 cars produced but not delivered in Q3, which should shift to Q4. He highlights Tesla's technological leadership in EV production, potential for cost advantages through new battery tech, and future growth drivers like FSD, robotaxis, Cybertruck, and Semi. He also notes Tesla's strong balance sheet and the increasing geopolitical importance of the company for the US.

“Ich bin nach wie vor und das sollte euch nicht überraschen bullisch Beziehungs bezüglich Tesla ich halte Tesla weiterhin für den Technologieführer vor allem auch in der Produktion von E-Autos.”

The analyst is invested in Tesla, viewing it as a quality stock with a speculative character due to its high volatility and risk. He notes its positive and growing margins, strong balance sheet, and market leadership in the automotive electrification and digitalization, contrasting it favorably with Okta's financial struggles.

“Tesla ist eine für mich eine qualitätsaktie mit einem Stecker mit spekulativen Charakter wo man mit hoher Volatilität Volatilität und auch hohen Risiko klarkommen muss.”

The analyst suggests that while Tesla's recent earnings were not spectacular, the stock had too much pessimism priced in, leading to a post-earnings rally. Despite current valuation being high, long-term investors who can tolerate volatility may consider buying, as the company remains competitive with strong advantages in production and supply chain management, and has a positive outlook for future growth.

“Wer von Tesla überzeugt ist und meint er kann mit der Mieter Volatilität zurecht kommen auch auf langfristige Sicht der kann sich wieder aktien freundin wesentlich günstig momentan mit den 800 15 us-dollar aber er kann sich mit aktien dieses anfreunden und wichtig ist dass man als langfristiger investor dann hat auch die höhen und tiefen dieser aktie quasi mitmachen kann dass man das erträgt weil ihr seht die ist sehr schwankungsfreudig in beide richtungen”

The YouTuber believes Tesla is not as overvalued as it appears when considering its price-to-sales ratio and strong projected revenue and margin growth. He argues that the market is increasingly valuing Tesla's sales more highly due to improving profitability, suggesting that despite recent price drops, it's a good long-term hold, though he did not add to his existing position.

“Tesla habe ich im Depot, habe ich aber nicht nachgekauft, also das ist auch nicht die Aktie, die ich gekauft habe.”

The analyst suggests buying Tesla on the dip, citing its strong operational performance, innovative product features, and efficient manufacturing processes. He believes the company's vision, execution, and ability to scale production make it a compelling long-term investment, despite its high valuation multiples. He advises a staggered entry due to volatility.

“beide tipp wenn du überlegt hast in tesla einzusteigen dann kam sohn isaak und richtige moment gekommen ist jetzt ja oder nein da würde ich sagen einfach mal irgendwann an in tesla zu investieren aber macht das ganze zu passive mit dem geld das du langfristig nicht brauchst g purple rain und ja dann las sie einfach liegen und guck was passiert”

Despite strong and growing cash flow, Tesla's market multiple is considered far too high and is now 'coming back to Earth.' The analyst previously identified the stock as overpriced because conservative forecasts would not beat the market.

“cash flow is strong and growing they are issuing shares... but mainly it's just the market multiple here that the market the multiple on cash flow is far far too high for their market and it's finally coming back to Earth”

The analyst believes Tesla, despite its recent 50% drop, is still overvalued at 40 times earnings. While it meets the criteria for a 'well-priced stock' based on its own forecast, the projected 11% IRR is not compelling enough given the aggressive growth assumptions (10x car volume in 10 years) and the availability of other stocks with higher free cash flow yields and lower growth requirements offering similar or better returns.

“I still think paying 40 times earnings for a stock is too much not in this market when there are stocks that are yielding 10 12 free cash flow yields that only have to grow two percent you can make 20 irrs and those stocks by the way are listed in the cash flow Club.”

The analyst believes Tesla is a 'bad investment' due to its current valuation, which he argues is not supported by current cash flow or even aggressive future growth forecasts. He calculates a fair value of around $1200, only slightly above its current trading price, leading to a low projected return. He also criticizes the highly optimistic assumptions in other bull cases, particularly regarding autonomous ride-hailing revenue, which he finds unsubstantiated in the company's official filings.

“I'm giving it a bad investment because I still think as much as I love the company, the technology, the cars, the enthusiasm, I think everybody is in this trade is way too crowded.”