Should I Buy Silber? Finance YouTuber Analysis

The analyst believes that silver is currently overvalued and will continue to correct significantly. They point to historical volume spikes coinciding with market tops and the DXY (US Dollar Index) bottoming out as indicators for a continued downtrend in silver prices. They anticipate a further drop to a target zone of $25-$39 per ounce before considering a long position.

“Wir gehen davon aus, dass wir jetzt ein markantes Hoch erreicht haben und erst einmal weiter korrigieren werden in unsere Zielzone hinein, bevor wir einen weiteren Einstieg erhalten und zwar auf der Long Seite.”

The analyst plans to short silver on a potential short-term counter-movement. They expect a temporary bounce (C-wave in an ABC correction) and intend to open a short position at the peak of this bounce, aiming to capture further downside before the long-term target zone is reached. This strategy is based on their technical analysis of market structure and volume indicators.

“Sollte die Gegenbewegung, ich wiederhole mich hier noch mal, hoch genug kommen, werden wir eine weitere Shortmöglichkeit nutzen und dann hätten wir insgesamt noch mal von diesem Level weitere 50% reine Kursbewegung ohne Hebel.”

The analyst forecasts a significant long-term correction for Silver, similar to Gold, based on historical MACD crosses on the monthly chart following all-time highs. They point to past instances where such patterns led to multi-year bear markets and anticipate a further 30-60% decline from current levels, with long-term entry zones between $26.06 and $46.52.

“Längerfristig gesehen sind das aber unsere ganz klaren Ziele.”

Sebastian Hell finds Silver interesting at its current level of $68 due to its relative strength compared to Gold. He plans to add to his position if Silver stabilizes at this level in the next one to two weeks, as he is slightly under his target allocation. He emphasizes buying Silver when it's down and holding for the long term due to its high volatility and rapid upward movements when it rallies.

“Wenn wir uns da stabilisieren sollten, ist das für mich momentan eine interessante Möglichkeit, ein bisschen Silber nachzulegen, weil ich auch aufgrund der Korrektur jetzt etwas unter meine Allokation gerutscht bin.”