Should I Buy Exxon Mobil (XOM)? Finance YouTuber Analysis

The YouTuber recommends buying Exxon Mobil, highlighting its lower valuation with a PEG ratio of 0.93, which he considers a good value despite slower revenue growth compared to smaller drillers. He believes it's a solid choice even when adjusted for its growth rate.

“I'd pick up some of XOM .93 times adjusted valuation basis.”

The YouTuber recommends Exxon Mobil due to its ability to generate massive, consistent cash flow, especially when energy prices are strong. This allows the company to pay dividends, buy back shares, and invest without relying on cheap financing, making it resilient in a high-borrowing-cost environment.

“Here, for example, companies like Exxon Mobile or Chevron generate massive cash flow, especially when those energy prices are strong. They can pay dividends, buy back their shares, and invest in their business all without needing that cheap financing.”

The potential for Exxon to benefit from Venezuelan oil production is limited due to the high cost of upgrading outdated fields and significant political risk. The current low oil price environment further diminishes the attractiveness of such investments.

“I would say despite some of the upside we saw in some of those oil companies, Chevron was a big winner over the last few days just because it is the only major US oil company that has continued to work in Venezuela. We saw also saw some upside from some of the other explorers though. Exxon, some of the other uh oil explorers there as well. I would say avoid those names because they're really not going to get anything out of this.”

The analyst suggests ExxonMobil as an undervalued energy stock. Despite being down 3% over the last year due to lower oil prices, he sees significant upside potential as part of the value-oriented energy sector.

“Devon Energy here down 18% over the last year. You got EOG Resources, big name in natural gas there, up down 2 and a.5% over the last year. Exon Mobile, one of the largest there, down 3%. So, a lot of the developers getting hit on those lower oil prices, but with a lot of upside potential.”

The YouTuber suggests Exxon Mobil for its 3.2% dividend yield, noting it's a solid pick in oil stocks with double-digit revenue and earnings growth. While primarily an upstream company, pairing it with a downstream player like Philips 66 provides complete energy exposure. The payout ratio is within industry norms, and shares are attractively priced.

“XOM is a solid pick in oil stocks as well with double digit revenue and earnings growth the payout ratio is higher than Philips but still around the industry norms and the shares are attractively priced”

The YouTuber suggests buying Exxon Mobil (XOM) and other oil stocks. Despite an 8% year-to-date decline and flat performance since May, oil prices have recently jumped to near $77 a barrel. Higher oil prices should translate into improved cash flows and dividends for oil companies, potentially leading to a quick rise in share prices.

“Another sector I'm watching oil here and Chevron Court ticker CVX going to be reporting its earnings on Friday along with Exxon Mobil with the shares down eight percent this year and really flat since May most energy stocks have lagged the market despite the price of oil jumping back to the top of its range recently near 77 a barrel a higher oil should start showing through an oil company cash flows as well as dividends and could raise these shares pretty quickly”

The YouTuber prefers Chevron over Exxon Mobil due to Exxon's higher production costs ($50/barrel vs. Chevron's $30/barrel), making it less profitable if oil prices fall. While Exxon might offer better returns in a booming oil market, its higher cost structure and less efficient production lead to a lower valuation multiple compared to Chevron, and analysts are hesitant on its upside after a recent jump.

“Some of this and the reason I own Chevron instead of Exxon is the production cost while Chevron's average breakeven per barrel is around $30 each Exxon's fields are in those more expensive place and it's closer to about $50 per barrel on its break-even.”

The YouTuber identifies Exxon Mobil (XOM) as a play benefiting from the current oil spotlight due to the Iran crisis. He advises buying if the situation persists but warns to be nimble and sell if the conflict ends, as the stock would likely retreat.

“If they remain in the spotlight, this is one of your players. Simply put, okay? But you have to be flexible and nimble to know that when the sentiment changes, when the war comes to an end... you need to know, okay, it is going to retreat from these levels.”

The YouTuber recommends buying ExxonMobil (XOM) if the market crashes due to geopolitical conflict, stating it will benefit from such a situation. He advises buying it at the lowest possible price, ideally around $102 or $98, for a potential return to $112.

“Exon Mobile is going to benefit from this. Ticker symbol XOM want this to be on your radar for tomorrow. The lower the better. So for instance, this play is always like 102. Anybody that get this at 102 and 98, you're up big when this is at 112.”

The YouTuber suggests buying Exxon Mobil, noting its recent bullish turnaround since the election results. He implies that the new administration's policies will be favorable to the oil and gas sector, reversing its previous downward trend.

“Look at how all of a sudden Exon was going down guys up until the election soon as president Trump was announced the winner all of a sudden Exxon turned bullish.”

The YouTuber suggests ExxonMobil will perform well under a Trump presidency, citing that energy stocks historically do well under his administration. He advises considering XOM or the XLE ETF for exposure to the energy sector.

“Under President Trump you will see energy do extremely well.”

The YouTuber recommends buying Exxon Mobil on a pullback to the 117-118 range, citing its current uptrend and strong chart patterns. He sets a short-term price target of 120, advising traders to exit quickly as Wall Street is waiting to push it back down.

“if you want to take part in this 118 to 117 you would buy a car and your target would be 120 don't over stay past that all the Bears all of Wall Street is waiting to smack it back down”

The YouTuber advises buying ExxonMobil if it pulls back, anticipating it will rise when tech stocks decline. He references a previous successful call on XOM from $80 to $120, suggesting a similar pattern will emerge.

“if they pull back understand that's your chance to have them ready for when Tech come down these will go up let me know if that makes sense”

The analyst advises selling Exxon Mobil when it reaches its historical target of $120, or potentially $122-$124 this year, as he expects it to eventually come back down. He notes a pattern of buying between $80-$100 and selling at $120, and anticipates a broader market crash by September, which would bring XOM down as well.

“I told you 120 is the target if You've been with me let me break this down for you guys we buy X mobile between $80 and $100 that's the range okay it always goes to 120.”

The YouTuber plans to initiate put options on Exxon Mobil when it reaches higher price levels, specifically around $120-$122, anticipating a rejection from these resistance points. He notes that the stock previously hit $122 and was 'smacked down', indicating a potential reversal.

“this is going to be a play that I'm going to do uh some plays or puts to the downside to take advantage of this okay but you see how 120 was the Target but I told you be patient cuz this can go as high as 122 now this can go higher than this obviously but what I'm saying and although this may take off next week I am going to be building out my downside put play at these high levels”

The YouTuber notes that Exon Mobile consistently reaches a resistance level around $120, sometimes overshooting to $122, before pulling back to $106 or even below $100. He plans to buy puts when it hits $120, expecting a short-term drop. He also states he has already taken profit on his shares as it approaches this level.

“it is getting closer and closer to 120 120 sometimes it overshoots a tad bit to 122 but then it comes all the way back down to this 106 level and then it comes back down to under 100”

The YouTuber recommends buying Exxon below $102, highlighting its dual benefit as an energy sector play and a dividend stock with growth potential. The strategy is to 'buy low' on pullbacks.

“I like it under 105 it's currently sitting at 10369 and then it was down on the week or we call this flat 7 Cent ain't really much but nevertheless if you guys see it down here 102 or below you always want to buy low no matter what you do”

The YouTuber is buying Exxon Mobil as a dividend play, positioning for a potential shift from tech into energy. He is playing it as a defensive move in case the energy sector wakes up.

“the last one was another dividend play which was Exon Mobile okay now I'm playing that two ways just in case energy wakes up and just in case we get some uh shift or a transition out of tech into something else maybe health care or energy”

The YouTuber intends to dollar-cost average into Exxon Mobile, especially if the stock drops below $100, with specific interest in levels down to $86-$85. He views Exxon as a blue-chip dividend stock that performs well in various market conditions, and sees any post-earnings decline as a buying opportunity for long-term holding.

“I'm going to buy and start dollar cost averaging at this level now I feel comfortable with that mix I got hyper growth and then I just got a a blue chip Beast okay and so and I'll get a dividend from the exom as well.”

The YouTuber is watching XOM Mobile and will go long if it breaks above the $105 resistance level, targeting $120. However, if it gets rejected at $105, he anticipates a drop to $86, at which point he would complete his position.

“keep your eye on on xim mobile for me okay resistance is around 105 okay if it gets to 105 I'm going long again I'm going start I'm going come back on here and we're going back to 120.”

The YouTuber suggests selling Exxon (XOM) by buying puts if it reaches the $100 resistance level and gets rejected. He plans to ride it down to $97.50 or $95, based on previous price action. He emphasizes using a stop-loss to manage risk if the stock breaks above $100.

“100 is resistance okay so if we get 100 right here guys is 29 92 but where do I think it will fall last time it fell to 95”

The YouTuber has been stopped out of his Exxon Mobil (XOM) position at $97.50 and believes the stock is currently in a downtrend. He is now playing the downside by buying put options, anticipating a further drop to the $88.69 level, which is supported by larger time frame technical analysis and the 200-day moving average.

“right now it's showing me it's going down on the bigger time frames the bigger time frames are stronger than the smaller time frames and so I'm trusting the chart I'm respecting the trend the trend is your friend even when the trend is going down and for Exon right now it's telling me it's going down”

The YouTuber plans to re-enter Exxon Mobil (XOM) if its price drops to $88.69, which aligns with the 200-day moving average and a key support level identified on the chart. He believes the stock is currently in a downtrend and will reach this price point, allowing him to buy back in at a more favorable valuation after being stopped out at $97.50.

“This is headed to $88.6 and that's will be the next time I Reby this.”

The YouTuber is accumulating Exxon Mobil as a dividend play, viewing it as a counter-balance to high-flying tech stocks like Nvidia and AMD. He has a long-term price target of $120 and emphasizes risk management with a stop-loss at $97.50, stating he will either hit his target or exit the position.

“This is my divid in play okay guys X mobile when I got my tech stocks going to new alltime highs like Nvidia and AMD you want to be behind the scenes building out the things that are down and that's how I look at this Exon play”

The YouTuber recommends Exxon Mobil as a dividend play and a contrarian hedge against tech stocks. He notes that energy stocks tend to perform well when tech is selling off, and it helps diversify a portfolio. He highlights its recent performance and suggests taking profits when available.

“This is also my dividend play this is also my contrarian play I always keep energy on Deck because it lets me know like when Tech goes down I saw that this was going up that's why we hit a home run today.”

The YouTuber recommends buying Exxon Mobile as a swing trade and dividend play, specifically when the stock is in the $98-$100 range. He aims to sell between $118-$120 and uses a stop-loss at $97.50 to manage risk, emphasizing buying low and collecting dividends.

“buy Zone I get Exon Mobile at $100 to $98 that is my range the price Target I always like to swing this from 100 or 98 range to 118 to 120 those are my price targets okay I'm not overstanding my welcome”

The YouTuber plans to accumulate shares of Exxon Mobil (XOM) when the price drops to around $100, with buy orders set at $100 and $99. He views XOM as a reliable dividend and energy play that consistently moves between $100 and $120. He expects it to reach $120 within three months, emphasizing a long-term outlook and risk management with a stop-loss at $97.50.

“this is xon mobile ticker symbol XOM this is my energy play okay it is also a dividend play but it goes up to 120 like clockwork once it comes down to 100”

The YouTuber suggests buying Exxon Mobil, particularly if it drops to the $98-$99 range, as he has successfully traded it between $100 and $120 previously. He views the current price as an opportunity for a 'rinse and repeat' strategy, aiming to profit from its established trading range.

“This has been a rinse and repeat and with it being down here again this is going to be another opportunity for a rinse and repeat whether you want to do cars or whether you want to buy shares of this at this level and definitely if it's lower the name of the game is to buy low so if you see 98 99 that's a good thing because the resistance level the top level is 120.”

The YouTuber recommends buying Exxon when it's in the $99-$105 range, as it tends to run up to $120 before pulling back. He describes it as a 'rinse and repeat' play that is currently trading in a specific pattern.

“This play comes to 105 120 $105 to $99 that's the range that you buy it at and it runs to 120 and then it comes all the way back and do it again.”

The YouTuber recommends buying ExxonMobil (XOM) as it has pulled back to its previous buy zone of $105-$107 after hitting a price target of $120. He views this as a 'rinse and repeat' opportunity, expecting it to run back up to $120 again. He also notes it's a great company and a good dividend play.

“now that same 25 30% play that you guys made off of exm you can repeat it all over again because it has came all the way back down to these levels 105 that was the level we started with we start buying it at 105 10399 we took it up to 120”

The YouTuber recommends locking in profits on Exxon Mobil as it has reached his previously stated price target of $120. He suggests selling at least half of the position for those who held it as a swing trade, noting that it can be re-entered at lower prices like $105-$112.

“I told you months and months ago Exxon Mobil will go to 120. everybody do me a favor now time to lock in profits.”

The YouTuber is closely watching Exxon Mobil with a $120 price target, aiming to take profits in increments. He notes the stock is near recent highs and suggests its movement could indicate a return of energy stocks and value plays to leadership in the bull market.

“I have a hundred and twenty dollar price Target on this okay not that it can't go higher guys but I like to play and make money in increments.”

The YouTuber highlights Exxon as a dividend play that has recently broken out of a range, clearing $110 and now trading at $113. He maintains a $120 price target and views it as an indicator for the energy sector, suggesting it's a good long-term investment.

“finally this time we have broken out and we clear 110 111 112 and now guys we're sitting at 113... I still have a 120 price Target on this one that's why I'm expecting this one to go to guys don't sleep on Exxon as well it pays a dividend”

The YouTuber suggests buying Exxon Mobil if it breaks above $108-$109 this week, viewing it as a sign that money is shifting from tech into energy. He highlights its role as a dividend play and a barometer for market shifts, performing well when tech stocks are down.

“if Exxon Mobil can get above 108 109 this week Mark this down guys class is in session then attack will continue to stay down and you will see energy and health care take the ball and begin to run with it to the upside”

The YouTuber views Exxon Mobil as a well-run company with strong cash flow and a good PE ratio, also highlighting its dividend-paying nature. He suggests buying when the stock is under $105, ideally around $101, $100, or $99, seeing these as buying zones. He maintains a $120 price target.

“this is not only a great and well-rant Company cash flow looks great PE looks great but in addition to that this is a great dividend paying company so as I often say any time this is under 105 okay preferably 101 100 and if I see 99 these are buying zones of buying opportunities for this particular stock I still have a hundred and twenty dollar price Target on this.”

Danial is holding Exxon Mobil, which she previously recommended. The host notes it is on the verge of a major breakout, and Danial confirms her continued holding of the stock.

“You were on in January. Uh you gave that to us. It's it's on the verge of making a major breakout. Are you holding? Yes, I'm holding.”

The YouTuber advises avoiding Exxon Mobile, despite its 189% stock increase over the past 5 years, due to its P/E of 22. He points out that the company's net income has actually declined over the past 20 years, and investors are now paying a premium for a non-growth stock, increasing the risk of multiple compression.

“Exxon Mobile stock is up 189% over the past 5 years. Priced to earnings multiple is up to 22. Now, that may not seem like a huge multiple to be paying for a company like Exxon Mobile, but look at what's happened to their net income over the past 20 years. This chart goes back 20 years. Net income is actually down over that period of time.”

The analyst recommends buying Exxon Mobil due to its strong profitability, having generated over $50 billion in net income in the past year. This is supported by the company's reduced capital expenditures on expanding oil production, leading to higher cash flow. Despite potential long-term shifts in oil demand, Exxon Mobil is expected to remain highly profitable in the near future.

“I don't see that changing in the near future because the company is just simply not spending as much on Capital expenditures to expand oil production as they have in the past.”

Hoium recommends Exxon Mobil as an integrated supermajor that leverages its scale to generate significant cash flow. Reduced capital spending combined with high oil prices has made it a strong cash flow business, capable of returning value to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

“they know how to make money off of their scale and we have seen in recent years that as they have cut back on Capital spending and oil prices have remained high they have just become flush with cash”

The analyst views Exxon Mobil as a great value, highlighting its strong financial position with a P/E ratio of 11 and a 3.6% dividend yield. He notes the company's focus on returning capital to shareholders and its comfort in being solely an oil producer, rather than pursuing less successful ventures into renewable energy.

“this looks like a great value going forward”

The analyst believes Exxon Mobile is currently fully priced at its trading level of around $103-$106 per share, offering an expected 9% IRR which is in line with the S&P 500's long-term return. He would consider it a 'buy' if the stock price drops to the $70 range, as this would represent a significant value opportunity with a projected 15% IRR based on a 10-year average free cash flow valuation.

“I think this stock is fully priced... if you find this stock later on you're watching this video and you're like oh um I've got a little distribution chart down here if this is in the 70s range you're looking at a 15% irr that's that's 15% on your money every single year for a decade that is a tremendous return and I think at that point it would be a good investment.”